DOCTOR STRANGE | 445.1 M overseas ● 677.7 M worldwide

[fmpro]

7 hours ago, zackzack said:

 ..closer to $700M imo

 

7 hours ago, John Marston said:

 

 

No way. It's wrapping up its run. Nothing wrong with 650 range 

 

Around the middle yes

[AStarWarsFan]

How much do you guys think it will make in Argentina?

[terrestrial]

On 11/21/2016 at 1:23 AM, terrestrial said:

Just for the fun of it (did it for the dom thead)

 

title	Argentina	Japan	sum
Avengers 1	17,331,732	45,256,010	62,587,742
IM 3	13,556,234	25,185,661	38,741,895	(after Avengers 1?)
Avengers 2	9,280,502	26,373,434	35,653,936	(Japan: following weeks quite some competition)
CA 3	8,314,077	24,366,759	32,680,836	(maybe Spidey for Japan?)
IM 2	2,566,778	12,831,962	15,398,740
GotG	4,651,901	9,504,440	14,156,341
Ant-Man	4,126,139	9,670,913	13,797,052	(Japan: child actor/story involved)
Thor 2	5,646,086	6,017,520	11,663,606
CA 2	4,575,831	6,628,830	11,204,661
IM 1	1,538,696	8,658,784	10,197,480
Thor	2,399,738	5,737,436	8,137,174
CA 1	3,537,279	3,431,374	6,968,653
IHulk	935,727	1,692,037	2,627,764

 

1 hour ago, AStarWarsFan said:

How much do you guys think it will make in Argentina?

 

I think it opened with $1m, but not sure if that was OD or OW

Be aware about bad exchange rates... 

[AStarWarsFan]

Damn Ant-man did $4M there.

 

Hopefully DS makes something close to it.

[terrestrial]

8 minutes ago, AStarWarsFan said:

Damn Ant-man did $4M there.

Hopefully DS makes something close to it.

IMHO it depends a lot on translation quality, which other films are released shortly before and after,... exchange rate too and... we will see

OW multiplier Ant-Man was nearly times 4 (similar OW), but for CA 3 it was only 2,3+. Can't remember the competition out of my head

[kswiston]

21 hours ago, John Marston said:

 

 

No way. It's wrapping up its run. Nothing wrong with 650 range 

 

You have been here long enough to know how box office works.

 

Thor the Dark world made just under  $20M in the remainder of its run from this point. just that and $10M from Japan + the rest of Argentina is $646M with the rest of the world making $0 beyond yesterday.

 

Domestic has been doing better than Thor: the Dark World since just after that first weekend. $10M for Japan and the rest of Argentina's run is a pretty conservative estimate. Even with poor holds, the rest of the world (everything other than DOM, Japan and Argentina) can't miss $15M given nearly $9M this weekend.

Edited November 28, 2016 by kswiston

[Gavin Feng]

China Box Office
Doctor Strange
Day	Date		Rank	Gross	% - YD	% - LW	Gross-to-Date	Day #	Weekly Gross	% - Change
				USD / M			USD / M		USD / M
Thu	Nov . 3		5	$0.59	-	-	$0.59	0	$44.47	-
Fri	Nov . 4		1	$12.07	-	-	$12.66	1
Sat	Nov . 5		1	$17.81	40.69%	-	$30.47	2
Sun	Nov . 6		1	$14.00	-21.43%	-	$44.47	3
Mon	Nov . 7		1	$5.00	-64.24%	-	$49.47	4	$39.98	-10.09%
Tue	Nov . 8		1	$4.58	-8.40%	-	$54.06	5
Wed	Nov . 9		1	$4.08	-11.01%	-	$58.14	6
Thu	Nov . 10		1	$3.44	-15.60%	-	$61.58	7
Fri	Nov . 11		1	$5.63	63.52%	-55.53%	$67.21	8
Sat	Nov . 12		1	$9.83	74.66%	-44.79%	$77.04	9
Sun	Nov . 13		1	$7.41	-24.67%	-47.08%	$84.45	10
Mon	Nov . 14		1	$2.36	-68.14%	-52.85%	$86.81	11	$19.73	-50.64%
Tue	Nov . 15		1	$2.15	-8.90%	-53.10%	$88.96	12
Wed	Nov . 16		1	$2.04	-5.22%	-50.05%	$91.00	13
Thu	Nov . 17		1	$1.86	-8.63%	-45.93%	$92.86	14
Fri	Nov . 18		2	$2.20	17.97%	-60.99%	$95.06	15
Sat	Nov . 19		2	$5.06	130.29%	-48.56%	$100.11	16
Sun	Nov . 20		2	$4.07	-19.53%	-45.05%	$104.19	17
Mon	Nov . 21		2	$1.30	-68.16%	-45.08%	$105.48	18	$6.31	-68.02%
Tue	Nov . 22		2	$1.22	-5.99%	-43.33%	$106.70	19
Wed	Nov . 23		2	$1.17	-4.00%	-42.60%	$107.87	20
Thu	Nov . 24		5	$1.11	-4.69%	-40.11%	$108.98	21
Fri	Nov . 25		7	$0.34	-69.93%	-84.74%	$109.32	22
Sat	Nov . 26		6	$0.65	94.80%	-87.09%	$109.97	23
Sun	Nov . 27		6	$0.52	-19.69%	-87.11%	$110.50	24
Mon	Nov . 28		6	$0.20	-62.43%	-84.80%	$110.69	25

[terrestrial]

@Gavin Feng not sure if you are interested in that, BOM seems to use another exchange rate, they say till Sunday =  $107,815,315

 

I added their weekend China chart at the China forum

 

Beside that:

BOM added a bit OS, so the new total is:

 

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$205,778,872	33.4%
+ Foreign:	$411,246,554	66.6%
= Worldwide:	$617,025,426

This week's Monday/Tuesday it will/has surpass(ed) Thor 2's US/CAN total

 

 

[Gavin Feng]

10 hours ago, terrestrial said:

@Gavin Feng not sure if you are interested in that, BOM seems to use another exchange rate, they say till Sunday =  $107,815,315

 

I added their weekend China chart at the China forum

 

Beside that:

BOM added a bit OS, so the new total is:

 

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$205,778,872	33.4%
+ Foreign:	$411,246,554	66.6%
= Worldwide:	$617,025,426

This week's Monday/Tuesday it will/has surpass(ed) Thor 2's US/CAN total

 

 

I use OD exchange rate(about $1=¥6.756) for the whole running time.Someone told me that BOM used different exchange rates for different weeks.In third and fourth week of DS, depreciation of RMB(about $1=¥6.9) made BOM number become less than mine.

[Purple Minion]

DOCTOR STRANGE docket: Domestic ($215M) INT'L ($419M) WW ($634M) Globally, it has now passed IRON MAN 2.

[terrestrial]

And also OS updated = surpassed IM 2's WW also

 

7	Thor 2	BV	$644.6	$206.4	32%	$438.2	68%	2013
8	Doctor Strange	BV	$634.9	$210.6	33.4%	$419.6	66.6%	2016
9	Iron Man 2	Par.	$623.9	$312.4	50.1%	$311.5	49.9%	2010

 

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$215,300,000
+ Foreign:	$419,600,000
= Worldwide:	$634,900,000

 

next step: Thor 2

[terrestrial]

China's run is now finished

 

3 hours ago, Olive said:

Dr. Strange ends its run with 751.3M yuan, ranking #5 of all superhero movies in China.

 

[kswiston]

2 hours ago, terrestrial said:

And also OS updated = surpassed IM 2's WW also

 

7	Thor 2	BV	$644.6	$206.4	32%	$438.2	68%	2013
8	Doctor Strange	BV	$634.9	$210.6	33.4%	$419.6	66.6%	2016
9	Iron Man 2	Par.	$623.9	$312.4	50.1%	$311.5	49.9%	2010

 

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$215,300,000
+ Foreign:	$419,600,000
= Worldwide:	$634,900,000

 

 

 

Domestic likely has $15-20M depending on how hard Rogue One hits (The Dark World made another $12.5M after this point on a $4.8M domestic weekend). How much more for the overseas territories still in release? $10M? Add $7-12M for Japan to that, assuming no real breakout. 

 

$675M could still happen, but it will be close. I think at least $665M is fairly safe, even if legs are not all that great from this point forward. 

[terrestrial]

19 minutes ago, kswiston said:

Domestic likely has $15-20M depending on how hard Rogue One hits (The Dark World made another $12.5M after this point on a $4.8M domestic weekend). How much more for the overseas territories still in release? $10M? Add $7-12M for Japan to that, assuming no real breakout. 

$675M could still happen, but it will be close. I think at least $665M is fairly safe, even if legs are not all that great from this point forward. 

Possible.

Japan I thik so too (7 to 8m with a hope for +), there might be only a chance for more than $12m if the Japanese too like Cumberbatch as much as a lot of Chinese females seem to like him. I do not know about local competition or other co-releases... then neither.

 

I just realised:

there is a slight possibility for DS to surpass Man of Steel's ww ($668m). Shudder to think about the reactions of a few DC fanatics (= not fans) I know in a way

[Gavin Feng]

[terrestrial]

4 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

- snip -

It is still strange for me that a film ranked #6 gets pulled per governmental rule for how long a foreign film is allowed to play (I know, there are exceptions)

[Gavin Feng]

13 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

It is still strange for me that a film ranked #6 gets pulled per governmental rule for how long a foreign film is allowed to play (I know, there are exceptions)

That’s wrong.

 

[terrestrial]

12 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

That’s wrong.

I can not open the pdf thingie, I took the rank 6 out of your chart, in case you meant that.

[Gavin Feng]

13 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

I can not open the pdf thingie, I took the rank 6 out of your chart, in case you meant that.

China Box Office
Doctor Strange
Day	Date		Rank	Gross	% - YD	% - LW	Gross-to-Date	Day #	Weekly Gross	% - Change
				USD / M			USD / M		USD / M
Thu	Nov . 3		5	$0.59	-	-	$0.59	0	$44.48	-
Fri	Nov . 4		1	$12.08	-	-	$12.66	1
Sat	Nov . 5		1	$17.82	40.69%	-	$30.48	2
Sun	Nov . 6		1	$14.00	-21.42%	-	$44.48	3
Mon	Nov . 7		1	$5.01	-64.25%	-	$49.49	4	$39.99	-10.10%
Tue	Nov . 8		1	$4.58	-8.41%	-	$54.07	5
Wed	Nov . 9		1	$4.08	-11.01%	-	$58.15	6
Thu	Nov . 10		1	$3.44	-15.60%	-	$61.60	7
Fri	Nov . 11		1	$5.63	63.51%	-55.54%	$67.23	8
Sat	Nov . 12		1	$9.83	74.66%	-44.80%	$77.06	9
Sun	Nov . 13		1	$7.41	-24.67%	-47.09%	$84.47	10
Mon	Nov . 14		1	$2.36	-68.14%	-52.85%	$86.83	11	$19.74	-50.63%
Tue	Nov . 15		1	$2.15	-8.91%	-53.11%	$88.98	12
Wed	Nov . 16		1	$2.04	-5.21%	-50.05%	$91.02	13
Thu	Nov . 17		1	$1.86	-8.64%	-45.93%	$92.88	14
Fri	Nov . 18		2	$2.20	17.98%	-60.99%	$95.08	15
Sat	Nov . 19		2	$5.06	130.45%	-48.53%	$100.14	16
Sun	Nov . 20		2	$4.08	-19.50%	-44.99%	$104.21	17
Mon	Nov . 21		2	$1.30	-68.15%	-45.01%	$105.51	18	$6.32	-68.00%
Tue	Nov . 22		2	$1.22	-6.02%	-43.26%	$106.73	19
Wed	Nov . 23		2	$1.17	-3.98%	-42.53%	$107.90	20
Thu	Nov . 24		5	$1.12	-4.65%	-40.02%	$109.02	21
Fri	Nov . 25		7	$0.34	-69.98%	-84.74%	$109.35	22
Sat	Nov . 26		6	$0.65	94.96%	-87.09%	$110.01	23
Sun	Nov . 27		6	$0.52	-19.78%	-87.13%	$110.53	24
Mon	Nov . 28		6	$0.20	-62.36%	-84.79%	$110.73	25	$0.71	-88.76%
Tue	Nov . 29		6	$0.20	1.65%	-83.55%	$110.93	26
Wed	Nov . 30		7	$0.12	-38.01%	-89.38%	$111.05	27
Thu	Dec . 1		8	$0.12	0.36%	-88.82%	$111.18	28
Fri	Dec . 2		-	$0.02	-82.68%	-93.55%	$111.20	29
Sat	Dec . 3		-	$0.04	69.86%	-94.38%	$111.24	30
Sun	Dec . 4		-	$0.00	-87.90%	-99.15%	$111.24	31
				ExRate: $1=￥6.7534			Total Gross = $111.24 million

Edited December 5, 2016 by Gavin Feng

[terrestrial]

Thank you @Gavin Feng

Is it correct to say as the Chinese audience knows a film will get pulled, they tend to watch it preferably earlier, the last days / last week being often more or less dead?