The Futurist Posted September 12, 2012 Share Posted September 12, 2012 (edited) Les Mis is not even Oscar bait a this point, it's Oscar's whoring. Edited September 12, 2012 by The Futurist Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted September 12, 2012 Share Posted September 12, 2012 Les Mis is not even Oscar bait a this point, it's Oscar's whoring.If Les Miserables the film hits the same quality as the stage musical then there is no whoring, there is only "HOLYSHITITISTHATGOOD!"Seriously, this film if pulled off will be strong in quality, and that's not whoring. That's being a fucking good movie that deserves some form of recognition. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 I think maybe people here are underestimating Silver Linings Playbook. Guarantee that's the movie that Harvey pushes the most in awards season, since it seems like much more of a crowd pleaser that The Master. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 Yep, SLP will have a huge advantage with winning big at TIFF, plus people are digging Jennifer Lawrence. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acsc1312 Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 Now it's really in contention for BP/BD/Actress Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 (edited) I think maybe people here are underestimating Silver Linings Playbook. Guarantee that's the movie that Harvey pushes the most in awards season, since it seems like much more of a crowd pleaser that The Master.I don't think it'll come close to winning, the other two recent TIFF winners won because they were the ONLY crowd pleasers that were in contention. SLP needs for Les Mis, and Lincoln to fail big time to win, because those two are guaranteed huge crowd pleasers if they succeed. Especially Les Mis, which I'm confident it will.I'm thinking right now:1. Les Miserables2. Lincoln3. Argo (It'll be between these the top 3 for the win I think)4. The Master5. Silver Linings Playbook6. Beasts of the Southern Wild7. Amour (By Virtue of the 1% rule)8. Life of Pi (I'm not confident in this not tanking though)9. Zero Dark Thirty10. Some Crowd Pleaser (Exotic Marigold Hotel, Moonrise Kingdom, or Quartet) or Some really inaccessible movie (a la Tree of Life last year) Edited September 16, 2012 by riczhang Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 I don't think SLP needs those other movies to fail, I just think it needs to be better than them. Which could easily happen. People are going crazy for this movie, which also has the virtue of being a Weinstein picture. I'm not saying it's definitely going to win but it needs to be considered as a very strong contender for the win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 I don't think SLP needs those other movies to fail, I just think it needs to be better than them. Which could easily happen. People are going crazy for this movie, which also has the virtue of being a Weinstein picture. I'm not saying it's definitely going to win but it needs to be considered as a very strong contender for the win.SLP needs to the others to fail to get the exposure it needs to win. Because, if Les Mis, and Lincoln are really as good as they seem, then with the reviews, and the nostalgia factor Academy members will have them way higher on their to watch list than some little film called SLP. The Average 60+ year old While male academy member really only watches a few screeners a year, and SLP needs to be watched by nearly everyone to get that win, and if a bigger crowdpleaser like Les Mis and Lincoln come along, then SLP probably won't be watched by everyone. Enough will watch it or vote for it blindly to get a nomination, but a win would be out of the question. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acsc1312 Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 After that trailer, Lincoln looks to be another War Horse. I'm really seeing only best actor as its main nomination. As for Les Mis...I'm kind of on the fence at the moment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 I think Lincoln is headed the same way as War Horse, probably won't be a critics favorite and every Best Picture winner since The Departed has a RT score up in the 90s. Not sure if Lincoln can pull it off. It looks like too much of a cheesy Oscar wank film. Les Miserables really could go either way. And if anyone's got enough power to make sure Academy members see his movie it's Harvey. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 After that trailer, Lincoln looks to be another War Horse. I'm really seeing only best actor as its main nomination. As for Les Mis...I'm kind of on the fence at the moment.I actually thought Lincoln looked pretty good, and I'm fairly sure regardless of quality it'll get nominated, kinda like War Horse. Les Mis, I'm pretty sure it'll be good, they've done some rough cut screenings without the whole orchestra done, and it's gone down very well. Though I probably shouldn't trust everything Nikki says. Every time I see that teaser trailer, I can see Hathaway walking on stage and collecting that Supporting Actress oscar, it's honestly maddening. But, then I see Les Mis, and Hooper winning again, and everything fine again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acsc1312 Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 I'm just scared of musicals these days thanks to Nine. I'm sure this will be much better with Hooper helming, but it's a "wait and see" for me. Spielberg really needs a good drama to get back into the swing of things. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acsc1312 Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 I actually thought Lincoln looked pretty good, and I'm fairly sure regardless of quality it'll get nominated, kinda like War Horse. Les Mis, I'm pretty sure it'll be good, they've done some rough cut screenings without the whole orchestra done, and it's gone down very well. Though I probably shouldn't trust everything Nikki says. Every time I see that teaser trailer, I can see Hathaway walking on stage and collecting that Supporting Actress oscar, it's honestly maddening. But, then I see Les Mis, and Hooper winning again, and everything fine again. I do get chills every time I see the trailer, so that's a good sign. I'm sure she'll win the Oscar. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 I do get chills every time I see the trailer, so that's a good sign. I'm sure she'll win the Oscar.I'm sure she will too, but I hate her, so it's driving me crazy, especially cus I love everyone else involved with the movie with the only exception of her and Cohen. She's been getting less annoying recently, and she almost made me like her during TDKR press, so maybe I won't hate her by the time the oscars come along. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 I do get chills every time I see the trailer, so that's a good sign. I'm sure she'll win the Oscar.Agreed. Mainly because that category looks thin as shit right now. I've wanted to do predictions but I've really struggled to come up with five names. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 Agreed. Mainly because that category looks thin as shit right now. I've wanted to do predictions but I've really struggled to come up with five names.Definitely, I have Judi Dench for Exotic Marigold Hotel up at #3 I think, that's how dead that category is. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acsc1312 Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 Yeah. I wonder if Gyllenhaal can get a nom for Won't Back Down Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted September 16, 2012 Author Share Posted September 16, 2012 I'm just scared of musicals these daysYeah I know they are just so scary Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acsc1312 Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 Yeah I know they are just so scary 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted September 16, 2012 Author Share Posted September 16, 2012 "Oh he died! I know! We can just go into song now!" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
