Kvikk Lunsj Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 Horrible top 30 list. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 BP Nominee Predicts (based on chance of winning):Based on AFI Top 10 list.10 the least, 1 the most.10. Beasts Of The Southern Wild9. Django Unchained8. Moonrise Kingdom7. Life Of Pi6. Silver Linings Playbook5. The Dark Knight Rises4. Zero Dark Thirty3. Les Miserables2. Lincoln1. Argo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 DKR won't even be nominated. The blockbuster slot, if there is one, is going to Skyfall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 BP Nominee Predicts (based on chance of winning):Based on AFI Top 10 list.10 the least, 1 the most.10. Beasts Of The Southern Wild9. Django Unchained8. Moonrise Kingdom7. Life Of Pi6. Silver Linings Playbook5. The Dark Knight Rises4. Zero Dark Thirty3. Les Miserables2. Lincoln1. ArgoTDKR ahead of SLP and Pi because of the AFI list of all things? Jeez. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLK Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 I think people are underestimating LOP. It has passed the Box Office test which it needed to given its high budget and it will be a factor in this year's race. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sims Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 Life of Pi is a lock for a nomination. It made AFI and BFCA. The NBR omission is odd but insignificant. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 2 horse race between Zero Dark 30 and Lincoln IMO Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 DKR won't even be nominated. The blockbuster slot, if there is one, is going to Skyfall.Beasts seems vulnerable...I think Skyfall could take that spot.And yes, TDKR will be nominated. People are pressuring the Academy to Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pieman Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 Thankfully, TDKR has no chance at getting nominated. It's not a case of a film being snubbed, it just isn't good enough. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted December 11, 2012 Share Posted December 11, 2012 (edited) Thankfully, TDKR has no chance at getting nominated. It's not a case of a film being snubbed, it just isn't good enough.It isn't good enough? How?You sound like the 60 year-old men in the Academy. The difference between "quality entertainment" and "exciting entertainment" needs to be closed.Like say from last year, The Artist may have had great acting and great direction, but to general audiences it was tremendously boring.From this year, The Dark Knight Rises may not have been the most realistic film, but at least almost everybody who saw it liked it. That is, the other few who didn't are cinephiles who just look for the good acting in their, instead of actually enjoying the film.This year is honestly turning out better...Argo was both quality and exciting entertainment. Same with Silver Linings Playbook and Django Unchained. Maybe not so much Lincoln, but I guess half the U.S. population enjoyed it.I'd like to see Skyfall get nominated for BP too. If I had to take one movie off of my top 10 list, it would be Beasts. I only put it on there because it (somehow) appeared on the AFI Top 10 list. Honestly, that movie was polarizing in my mind. Edited December 11, 2012 by Alpha 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Beasts seems vulnerable...I think Skyfall could take that spot.And yes, TDKR will be nominated. People are pressuring the Academy to The Academy almost never bends to pressure, TDKR's gonna be nothing but a tiny blip on their radar. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 2 horse race between Zero Dark 30 and Lincoln IMONot necessarily. AMPAS could still resurrect Argo. It`s thematically similar to ZDT but it also has Hollywood producers as heroes and patriots. And AMPAS supposedly loves movies about Hollywood business. So Argo and ZDT could split votes allowing Linc to win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sims Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 I laugh at all of you counting out Les Mis for the win. It's just too damn big a production not to be in the running. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 And AMPAS supposedly loves movies about Hollywood business. So Argo and ZDT could split votes allowing Linc to win.This is more of an argument that people use to justify their beliefs without too much basis. I'm sure it is somewhat true, but it's more about the heart. If the Hollywood movie is cold and intellectual it'll still fall flat with the Academy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Zero Dark Thirty will get nominated, no doubt, but I don't know about winning. People are obviously upset about Hurt Locker winning in 2009. Just my opinion... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Zero Dark Thirty will get nominated, no doubt, but I don't know about winning. People are obviously upset about Hurt Locker winning in 2009. Just my opinion...Why would the Academy care if people upset with them picking Hurt Locker as Best Picture. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sims Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 I think a more likely reason ZDT is still very vulnerable is that its reviews, while unanimously favorable, praise the movie on its apolitical and clinical approach to the situation; it's all reminding me of TSN a little too much, and if there's one thing we can say about the Academy for certain, it's that they love sentimentality. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Maybe a better reason is that ZDT is too political...Bigelow keeps trying to say it's not partisan but critics keep shifting it left. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 Maybe a better reason is that ZDT is too political...Bigelow keeps trying to say it's not partisan but critics keep shifting it left. They always say it's not political Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted December 12, 2012 Share Posted December 12, 2012 They always say it's not political Of course it'll be political. It's hard to make a film like this and not be political. Wonder if this will hurt it though? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
