Jayhawk the Hutt Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 1 minute ago, The Panda Menace said: I don't think it'll be as frontloaded as people are thinking. Even the prequels had good legs, and those had massive openings and opened in the summer. With the Christmas opening, it's going to play well through New Years Yeah. This is the reason Disney released it over the Holidays. I'm sure they didn't expect an opening this big when they set the date, but legs will be stronger than your average mega blockbuster for the sheer fact that people have a lot of time to go to theater in the coming weeks. 230m+ and Avatar is probably going down. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 BJs Wknd Breakdown Previews: 57m Fri: 66m +15% Sat: 76m +15% (-38%) Sun: 68.5m -9% (based on very strong pre-release sales) Opening WKnd: 267.5m 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark 33Legend of the Sith Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 I think Christmas Day is going to be a staggering number a week from today. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 Just now, Dark 33Legend of the Sith said: I think Christmas Day is going to be a staggering number a week from today. agreed, 40m+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 5 minutes ago, spizzer said: Attendance Record Watch Target: 22.5M (TDK/TA/SM3) Covered: 5.5M Remaining: 18.0M Fri-Sun Record Watch Target: 190.3M (JW) Covered: 0.0M Remaining: 190.3M What if TFA can beat that JW record? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 2 minutes ago, Dark 33Legend of the Sith said: I think Christmas Day is going to be a staggering number a week from today. Yeah, maybe close to 50M. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 Just now, grey ghost said: What if TFA can beat that JW record? I want to see 200M. It would need to average 66.7M Fri-Sun to do it, so it would have to go over 70M today would be a good bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 1 minute ago, BKB IS CAPTAIN AMERICA said: KJ still bagging on this BJ??? Na, only two a three doubters left, there meltdowns come Saturday evening will be epic. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 5 minutes ago, Deathlife said: Lol, Star Wars...the king of movie franchises is back. There's no franchise that cuts across generations and geekdom like Star Wars. 4 minutes ago, Jayhawk the Hutt said: Yeah. This is the reason Disney released it over the Holidays. I'm sure they didn't expect an opening this big when they set the date, but legs will be stronger than your average mega blockbuster for the sheer fact that people have a lot of time to go to theater in the coming weeks. 230m+ and Avatar is probably going down. 4 minutes ago, B J said: BJs Wknd Breakdown Previews: 57m Fri: 66m +15% Sat: 76m +15% (-38%) Sun: 68.5m -9% (based on very strong pre-release sales) Opening WKnd: 267.5m Guys, please stop. At this rate I'll spend my 500 likes before Friday's estimates. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 I just got out and [redacted]. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 1 minute ago, spizzer said: I want to see 200M. It would need to average 66.7M Fri-Sun to do it, so it would have to go over 70M today would be a good bet. That will be unreal if it does that after blowing off $57m in previews and with people Christmas shopping/traveling during Saturday and Sunday. Seems very difficult IMHO. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawk the Hutt Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 Next weekend will still probably drop by over 50%, just because of the massive preview number, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 7 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said: Who are the people you're talking about? Most in this thread are referring to frontloadedness over the weekend, not the total run. It's gonna have a great total run considering the holidays and I think most people are pretty aware of that. Just look at the $800m predictions and whatnot. I bet in the box office casino earlier this week that TFA would beat Avatar DOM by 50 m. Only one person took the bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 I wouldn't be surprised if Friday is basically flat with previews. Then a decent jump on Saturday, good hold on Sunday. Something like 58-65-52. 232m. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 1 minute ago, grey ghost said: I bet in the box office casino earlier this week that TFA would beat Avatar DOM by 50 m. Only one person took the bet. Surprised by that considering the average prediction on the forum is $800m. There are a lot more than 1 person expecting it to beat Avatar by at least $50m. There are a number of them predicting over $1 billion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 Just now, redfirebird2008 said: That will be unreal if it does that after blowing off $57m in previews and with people Christmas shopping/traveling during Saturday and Sunday. Seems very difficult IMHO. Yeah I'm sticking with my mid 230s projection until numbers tomorrow morning. But that'd be epic indeed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 1 minute ago, Obi-Wan Telemachos said: I wouldn't be surprised if Friday is basically flat with previews. Then a decent jump on Saturday, good hold on Sunday. Something like 58-65-52. 232m. How are your Friday sellouts looking? I'm about to do a spot check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 Just now, spizzer said: How are your Friday sellouts looking? I'm about to do a spot check. Man, I'm still recovering from last night! I'll see if I can do a super-fast check later, but it won't be comprehensive. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfy01 Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 1 minute ago, Obi-Wan Telemachos said: I wouldn't be surprised if Friday is basically flat with previews. Then a decent jump on Saturday, good hold on Sunday. Something like 58-65-52. 232m. Well looking at my update we're only 30 sellouts short of my last update for yesterday, with roughly double the screens. Looking at reserved seating, most screenings (all day) are at 70%+ capacity. If walk ups are even remotely okay (I'm talking maybe 5-10 people a screening) we're looking at SW outperforming yesterday by a decent margin in the Greater Seattle Area. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 Excel is going to be denying the mainstream appeal of Star Wars even if it hits 1b domestic. He'll say Disney shoved it down the audiences throats and made them go see it, that the box office is only because the geeks bought 100 tickets each, not that, you know, Star Wars might actually be extremely popular. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
