nickitaly Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 4 minutes ago, VenomXXR said: You can repeat it until you're blue in the face but since Avatar is the domestic champion (which TFA is about to overtake) and they where released at the same time 6 years apart, Avatar is the only comparison you can make to it. Since I have no other basis of comparison, how else would you like me to illustrate that TFA is on pace for and likely to pass $1 billion? Hi, I'm new here. Seeing these number from Italy I can only say SW7 has very good chances to pass 1bln $. Here where I live SW7 is strong, but not a monster, it will probably fail to surpass Inside Out. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LinksterAC Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 5 minutes ago, Daxtreme said: Indeed. Taking Return of the King for example, after its New-Year's Week-end (Jan 4), it was sitting at $290M, which is 77% of its total domestic gross. Transposing that to Star Wars, we get ~730/0.77 = ~$950M. It might even be more if Star Wars ends up at 740 or 750 on Jan 3 And honestly, Star Wars hasn't had drops comparable to ROTK in a single day so far, so... $950M is the floor I think. Or at the very least 900 What do you guys think? I've been thinking #1B is a done deal for a while. I think $1.1B is about where it ends up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 3 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said: In 2009, nothing in the top 15, which had been playing for 3 weeks or more, dropped more than 28.5%. And that was the movie Nine, which I cant' recall much about, but I think it was a musical.....nothing else dropped more than 15% and there were 5 of the 13 films that saw increases. So if you want to go out on a limb I don't think SW is going to drop more than 28% this weekend, and will probably have an insanely good hold. Now let's use a film like New Moon....not a great comparison except that it has a massive built in audience. If you use it as a model for this week, then SW would do: Tues: 31.4 Wed: 32.65 Thurs: 21.5 Friday: 43.0 Sat: 45.55 Sun: 26.0 That's 114.55 mill weekend. And that is my prediction.....110-114 mill. That's a 24% drop. I want to wager on this but then I probably am a compulsive gambler lol. I'll just say there is zero chance it does $110m+. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 6 minutes ago, nickitaly said: Hi, I'm new here. Seeing these number from Italy I can only say SW7 has very good chances to pass 1bln $. Here where I live SW7 is strong, but not a monster, it will probably fail to surpass Inside Out. buonasera Have a lot of fun here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 10 minutes ago, Daxtreme said: Indeed. Taking Return of the King for example, after its New-Year's Week-end (Jan 4), it was sitting at $290M, which is 77% of its total domestic gross. Transposing that to Star Wars, we get ~730/0.77 = ~$950M. It might even be more if Star Wars ends up at 740 or 750 on Jan 3 And honestly, Star Wars hasn't had drops comparable to ROTK in a single day so far, so... $950M is the floor I think. Or at the very least 900 What do you guys think? The 2nd Sunday-Monday drop is very similar to ROTK, not sure if you actually looked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K1stpierre Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 8 minutes ago, nickitaly said: Hi, I'm new here. Seeing these number from Italy I can only say SW7 has very good chances to pass 1bln $. Here where I live SW7 is strong, but not a monster, it will probably fail to surpass Inside Out. Welcome to the forums! We're glad to have you! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 4 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said: I want to wager on this but then I probably am a compulsive gambler lol. I'll just say there is zero chance it does $110m+. I think the numbers are absurd too. But I think I was being fair and far from robust. Wouldn't you say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 4 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said: I want to wager on this but then I probably am a compulsive gambler lol. I'll just say there is zero chance it does $110m+. How about a $20 forum donation that this hits $1 billion by March 1st. I say it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 I don't think giantcal can keep wagering money. He'll be broke soon. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 BoxOffice @BoxOffice ALVIN AND THE CHIPMUNKS: THE ROAD CHIP took in $3.66M on Monday and has grossed $43.51M to date domestically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted December 29, 2015 Author Share Posted December 29, 2015 1 minute ago, Baumer Fett said: I don't think giantcal can keep wagering money. He'll be broke soon. Why bet? Just Donate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 I think if TFA is too beat Avatar it will need to hit 1.2b+ DOM. I don't see it doing that with these numbers, I really don't see this film having the same legs as Avatar. Considering that Avatar made around 283m/750m (DOM) of it's original run in December SW7 will have to keep up these numbers for ages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Just now, Baumer Fett said: I don't think giantcal can keep wagering money. He'll be broke soon. You are so funny man, there is a good chance it doesn't do $100m period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Just now, GiantCALBears said: You are so funny man, there is a good chance it doesn't do $100m period. Sure, I agree there is a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Shorts Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 12 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said: In 2009, nothing in the top 15, which had been playing for 3 weeks or more, dropped more than 28.5%. And that was the movie Nine, which I cant' recall much about, but I think it was a musical.....nothing else dropped more than 15% and there were 5 of the 13 films that saw increases. So if you want to go out on a limb I don't think SW is going to drop more than 28% this weekend, and will probably have an insanely good hold. Now let's use a film like New Moon....not a great comparison except that it has a massive built in audience. If you use it as a model for this week, then SW would do: Tues: 31.4 Wed: 32.65 Thurs: 21.5 Friday: 43.0 Sat: 45.55 Sun: 26.0 That's 114.55 mill weekend. And that is my prediction.....110-114 mill. That's a 24% drop. I'm with you all the way with this baumer, just gotta be cautious of the fact that none of those holdovers were also coming off a monster $140M+ 2nd weekend. Its just insane to think of a 100m 3rd weekend even when all the numbers point to it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawk the Hutt Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 (edited) 5 minutes ago, VenomXXR said: How about a $20 forum donation that this hits $1 billion by March 1st. I say it does. 3 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said: I don't think giantcal can keep wagering money. He'll be broke soon. 10 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said: I want to wager on this but then I probably am a compulsive gambler lol. I'll just say there is zero chance it does $110m+. This forum has practically become the sportsbook at the Venetian. Edited December 29, 2015 by Jayhawk the Hutt 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 3 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said: I don't think giantcal can keep wagering money. He'll be broke soon. Lol everyone wants to wager with him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 2 minutes ago, IronJimbo said: I think if TFA is too beat Avatar it will need to hit 1.2b+ DOM. I don't see it doing that with these numbers, I really don't see this film having the same legs as Avatar. Considering that Avatar made around 283m/750m (DOM) of it's original run in December SW7 will have to keep up these numbers for ages. Another new member! Coming in droves this morning, welcome! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 BoxOffice @BoxOffice THE HATEFUL EIGHT will be playing in 1,958 locations on Wednesday and in 2,474 locations on Friday. #TheHatefulEight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Let's make a wager giantcal. As long as it's over 20 million on Thursday, I'll bet you a forum donation that it does 100 million or more for the weekend. Say $25.00? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
