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[HeyItsMoses]

On 7/17/2016 at 10:40 AM, WrathOfHan said:

SOTM 2:

 

I think this can finally be scored. NYSM2 needs less than 1.5M to hit 65M, Shallows needs about 4.5M for 56M, FSOJ 1M for 21.5M, and Purge 13M for 84M; all should hit those marks.

 

Money Monster: $28m Higher

Nice Guys: $60m Lower

Popstar: $25m Lower, Half

Me before You: $45m Higher

 

Now you see me 2: $65M Higher

Free State of Jones: $43M Lower

The Shallows: $28m Higher, Double

The purge: $42m Higher, Double

 

HeyItsMoses: +22k

Infernus: +20k

narniadis: +20k

DAJK: +18k

DamienRoc: +16k

24Lost: +14k

Panda: +14k

bcf26: +12k

Dexter: +12k

ExxDee: +12k

laguy03: +12k

Telemachos: +12k

Blanks: +10k

kayumanggi: +10k

Kalo: +8k

darkelf: +6k

glassfairy: +4k

ThatOneGuy: +4k

WrathOfHan: +4k

Chewy: +2k

#ED: +2k

MovieMan89: 0

Wrath: -2k

Simionski: -4k

Chasmmi: -8k

Grey Ghost: -8k

Jake Gittes: -8k

Empire: -17k

JJ-8: -22k

 

is that...is that me on top? fuckin finally!

 

but then again, i did lose over 40k points from a different question. 

[Dementeleus]

SOTM 10...

 

[Wrath]

DAMMIT, forgot to do them.

[WrathOfHan]

Looks like IDR might not beat Driving Miss Daisy after all and Dory could hit 500  

[chasmmi]

I am very tired now, but I go on holiday in 48 hours so will aim to do a big weekly and SOTM score round up then,

 

[chasmmi]

Week 10 scores:

 

1. Will Secret Life of Pets make more than $50M OW? YES

2. Will Secret Life of Pets make more than $60M OW? 2000 YES

3. Will Secret Life of Pets make more than $70M OW? YES

4. Will Mike and Dave make more than $10M OW? YES

5. Will Mike and Dave make more than $15M OW? YES

6. Will Mike and Dave open in the top 4? 3000 YES

7. Will the top 3 films make over $100M? YES

 

8. Will Independence day stay above Central Intelligence? 2000 NO

9. Will any of the 3 new entries from last weekend drop more than 62.5%? NO

10. Will Finding Dory be the number one domestic film of the Summer by the end of the weekend? YES

11. Which of the three big new entries from last weekend will have the smallest weekend percentage drop? TARZAN

12. Will The Neon Demon make less than 45k (Being dropped altogether counts as yes)? YES

13. Will Zootopia drop more than 55%? 3000 NO

14. Will Swiss Army Man be in the top 10 this weekend? NO

 

15. Will Warcraft have a bigger percentage drop than Alice 2? NO

16. Will The Purge have a single day that is bigger than the Shallows' entire weekend? NO

17. Will tarzan finish within $8M of Dory? 3000 YES

18. Will Captain Fantastic have a higher PTA than Captain America? YES

19. Will TMNT finish about Jungle Book? 2000 YES

20. Are the pets going to bring us the pure joy that Pixar and Disney could only dream of? IT MAY WELL HAVE BEEN

 

14/20 - 2000

15/20 - 3000

16/20 - 5000

17/20 - 7000

18/20 - 9000

19/20 - 12000

20/20 - 15000

 

Part 2

 

1. What will SLOP OW be? 5000 $104.35M

2. What will Zootopia percentage drop this weekend be? 5000 22.8%

3. How much will BFG gross on Friday? 5000  $2.485M

 

Part 3

 

3. DORY

5. PURGE

8. IDR

12. JONES

14. TRAITOR

17. ME B4 U

 

3/6 - 2000

4/6 - 5000

5/6 - 9000

6/6 - 13000

 

 

[chasmmi]

WEEK 10 SCORES:

 

Name	Part 1	Part 2	Part 3	Total
Blank Panther	36000	5000	8000	49000
Jake Gittes	29000	5000	13000	47000
Exxdee	26000	0	13000	39000
Baumer	30000	0	8000	38000
Thatoneguy	26000	0	8000	34000
Damienroc	24000	0	8000	32000
Simionski	23000	0	8000	31000
Wrath	27000	0	4000	31000
Greyghost	27000	0	4000	31000
Movieman	22000	5000	4000	31000
JJ8	25000	0	4000	29000
Infernus	25000	0	4000	29000
Telemachos	27000	0	2000	29000
Narniadis	26000	0	2000	28000
Bcf26	26000	0	2000	28000
Darkelf	19000	0	8000	27000
Kayumanggi	25000	0	2000	27000
Glassfairy	22000	0	4000	26000
Chasmmi	22000	0	2000	24000
Laguy	30000	0	4000	24000
WrathofHan	19000	0	4000	23000
Chewy	21000	0	2000	23000
Dajk	18000	0	2000	20000
24lost	17000	0	2000	19000
JJ99	16000	0	2000	18000

 

This is all I can fit in right now, sorry  

[JJ-8]

Scores Update :- 

 

Only Week 10 is scored for now (I know there is a couple of SOTM's to be reviewed.  If I or Chasmmi get time soon we will post those up or confirm the posts earlier )

 

Exxdee still leads the weekly chart (by 7k) from Jake Gittes.  However, thanks to his much stronger SOTM to date score, Infernus continues to lead overall.

 

(I've also updated your SOTM6 score Telemachos to 50k (I'd missed in my run 3 pages back  )

 

#	User	Pre- season Entry	GRAND TOTAL	PreSeason Total	SOTM Total	Weekly's Total	Week 10
1	Infernus	YES	484000	10000	127000	347000	29000
2	Exxdee	YES	467000	10000	47000	410000	39000
3	DamienRoc	YES	466000	10000	70000	386000	32000
4	Jake Gittes	YES	460000	10000	47000	403000	47000
5	Wrath	YES	441000	10000	65000	366000	31000
6	Simionski	YES	430000	10000	48000	372000	31000
7	Telemachos	YES	422000	10000	83000	329000	29000
8	WrathOfHan	YES	403000	10000	43000	350000	23000
9	bcf26	YES	402000	10000	33000	359000	28000
10	Blank Panther	YES	399000	10000	33000	356000	49000
11	darkelf	YES	398000	10000	70000	318000	27000
12	Chasmmi	YES	391000	10000	80000	301000	24000
13	kayumanggi	YES	366000	10000	36000	320000	27000
14	narniadis	YES	358000	10000	11000	337000	28000
15	thatoneguy	YES	344000	10000	23000	311000	34000
16	jj99	YES	336000	10000	36000	290000	18000
17	glassfairy	YES	335000	10000	68000	257000	26000
18	Chewy	YES	332000	10000	40000	282000	23000
19	JJ-8	YES	325000	10000	11000	304000	29000
20	DAJK	YES	324000	10000	42000	272000	20000
21	24Lost	YES	322000	10000	-53000	365000	19000
22	Movieman89	YES	303000	10000	-3000	296000	31000
23	Baumer	YES	280000	10000	13000	257000	38000
24	grey ghost	YES	270000	10000	55000	205000	31000
25	#ED	YES	233000	10000	4000	219000	0
26	Kalo	YES	166000	10000	13000	143000	0
27	laguy03	YES	153000	10000	-3000	146000	24000
28	The Panda	YES	137000	10000	13000	114000	0
29	Cmasterclay	YES	129000	10000	-3000	122000	0
30	Jayhawk	YES	95000	10000	13000	72000	0
31	Dexter of Surburbia	YES	71000	10000	-3000	64000	0
32	Empire	YES	68000	10000	-12000	70000	0
33	HeyItsMoses	YES	60000	10000	-47000	97000	0
34	Alpha	YES	7000	10000	-3000	0	0
35	Films	YES	7000	10000	-3000	0	0
36	firedeep	YES	7000	10000	-3000	0	0
37	Mike Hunt	YES	7000	10000	-3000	0	0
38	Treetrunk Special	YES	7000	10000	-3000	0	0
39	Maxmoser3	YES	-3000	0	-3000	0	0

 

[JJ-8]

On 7/18/2016 at 3:40 AM, WrathOfHan said:

SOTM 2:

 

I think this can finally be scored. NYSM2 needs less than 1.5M to hit 65M, Shallows needs about 4.5M for 56M, FSOJ 1M for 21.5M, and Purge 13M for 84M; all should hit those marks.

 

Money Monster: $28m Higher

Nice Guys: $60m Lower

Popstar: $25m Lower, Half

Me before You: $45m Higher

 

Now you see me 2: $65M Higher

Free State of Jones: $43M Lower

The Shallows: $28m Higher, Double

The purge: $42m Higher, Double

 

HeyItsMoses: +22k

Infernus: +20k

narniadis: +20k

DAJK: +18k

DamienRoc: +16k

24Lost: +14k

Panda: +14k

bcf26: +12k

Dexter: +12k

ExxDee: +12k

laguy03: +12k

Telemachos: +12k

Blanks: +10k

kayumanggi: +10k

Kalo: +8k

darkelf: +6k

glassfairy: +4k

ThatOneGuy: +4k

WrathOfHan: +4k

Chewy: +2k

#ED: +2k

MovieMan89: 0

Wrath: -2k

Simionski: -4k

Chasmmi: -8k

Grey Ghost: -8k

Jake Gittes: -8k

Empire: -17k

JJ-8: -22k

 

I think we are about a week or 2 early.  I'm not certain The Purge will be double yet.  The Shallows is also a bit shakey on the double.FSOJ may even be half. While NYSM2 should cross 65m, it still isn't there yet and is dropping quick.. (I think it just makes it..)

 

anyway holding off scoring this just yet. 

[WrathOfHan]

5 minutes ago, JJ-8 said:

 

I think we are about a week or 2 early.  I'm not certain The Purge will be double yet.  The Shallows is also a bit shakey on the double.FSOJ may even be half. While NYSM2 should cross 65m, it still isn't there yet and is dropping quick.. (I think it just makes it..)

 

anyway holding off scoring this just yet. 

Yeah, I jumped the gun way too soon  It might have to wait until the final week  

[JJ-8]

Looking through things... (nothing final here yet of course )

 

(I know much of this is posting in the sub forum but just checking out things...)

 

All references are based upon current releases only (I'll potential inclusions below)

+ means could move up a position

++ means likely move up the chart and possibly multiple positions

- drop a position

-- drop in position is likely

 

Domestic Top 15 (Current)

1. Finding Dory

2. Captain America: Civil War

3. The Secret Life of Pets

4. X-Men: Apocalypse (-)

5. Central Intelligence (+)

6. The Legend of Tarzan 

7. The Angry Birds Movie (--)

8. The Conjuring 2 (--)

9. Independence Day: Resurgence (--)

10. Ghostbusters (++)

11. Star Trek Beyond (++)

12. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

13. The Purge: Election Year

14. Alice through the Looking Glass

15. Now you see me 2

 

Movies not released that could appear in the top 15 (and knock as many as the bottom 4 films in there now)

- Jason Bourne

- Suicide Squad

- Sausage Party

- Pete's Dragon

 

Domestic Top 7 Weekends:

1. Captain America: Civil War

2. Finding Dory

3. The Secret Life of Pets

4. X-Men: Apocalypse

5. Star Trek Beyond

6. Ghostbusters

7. Independence Day: Resurgence

 

Potential entries (bottom 2 are in danger here)

- Jason Bourne

- Suicide Squad

 

Worldwide Top 10:

1. Captain America Civil War

2. Finding Dory

3. X-Men: Apocalypse

4. Warcraft

5. Independence Day: Resurgence

6. The Angry Birds Movie

7. The Secret Life of Pets

8. the Conjuring 2

9. Now you see me 2

10. Alice through the Looking Glass

 

(not going through this one as it will likely change quite a bit yet.)

 

Worldwide Top 5 Weekends

1. Captain America: Civil War

2. Finding Dory

3. Independence Day: Resurgence

4. Warcraft

5. X-Men: Apocalypse

 

China Top 5

1. Warcraft

2. Captain America: Civil War

3. X-Men: Apocalypse

4. Now you see me 2

5. The Angry Birds Movie

 

I should note that 3 films still remain to be released which someone had predicted to be in here.  

- Secret Life of Pets ~ 2nd August

- Ice Age: Collision Course ~ 23rd August

- Sucide Squad ~ TBA ? (we still have no release date and I think Olive noted in the China thread this might be september yet if at all, so anyone who picked this may get their backup option here)

 

Around the world in 80 Days (#1 in each country) (as it stands currently)

South Korea = Captain America: Civil War

South Africa = Finding Dory

Brazil = Captain America: Civil War

Mexico = Captain America: Civil War

Australia = Finding Dory

Italy = Captain America: Civil War

 

Alrighty this will do for now... but it's interesting, especially china... pretty sure no one had Warcraft as #1 there.  

 

[WrathOfHan]

I think this will be the Top 15:

 

1. Dory: 480-490M

2. CW: 407M

3. SLOP: 345M

4. Suicide Squad: 330-340M (by the end of the game; I expect the final total to be 360-370M)

5. Star Trek: 160M

6. Bourne/X-Men: 155M

8. Central Intelligence: 130M

9. Ghostbusters/Tarzan: 125M

11. Angry Birds: 107M

12. IDR: 104M

13. The Conjuring: 102M

14. Bad Moms/Pete's: 85M

 

Edited July 30, 2016 by WrathOfHan

[MovieMan89]

The WW top ten seems pretty pathetic atm compared to recent summers. I know it will get better, but still it seems OS grosses have definitely taken a big hit on the whole. 

[narniadis]

OS is messed up this summer because of the soccer/ Olympics 1-2 punch delaying films until later than normal. That and bad exchange rates coupled with unappealing films lol

 

Also side note for that SOTM discussed above - free state of Jones closed yesterday. So it's not getting to half lol

[grey ghost]

15 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

I think this will be the Top 15:

 

1. Dory: 480-490M

2. CW: 407M

3. SLOP: 345M

4. Suicide Squad: 330-340M (by the end of the game; I expect the final total to be 360-370M)

5. Star Trek: 160M

6. Bourne/X-Men: 155M

8. Central Intelligence: 130M

9. Ghostbusters/Tarzan: 125M

11. Angry Birds: 107M

12. IDR: 104M

13. The Conjuring: 102M

14. Bad Moms/Pete's: 85M

 

 

 

What replaces Bad Moms and Pete's Dragon if both fail to hit 70 m?

[narniadis]

57 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

 

What replaces Bad Moms and Pete's Dragon if both fail to hit 70 m?

 

unless something else gets there then it would be TMNT2 and Alice2

[JJ-8]

1 hour ago, grey ghost said:

 

What replaces Bad Moms and Pete's Dragon if both fail to hit 70 m?

Sausage party is a further option. TMNT 2 would be the survivor there too. At this point I doubt Alice makes the cut. Too many films in mix right now

[Infernus]

Most probably last time at the top for me, seeing how I missed another weekly. I hope the SOTMs continue supporting me. Is there any big points SOTM left to be scored? A lot of people ended up participating in SOTM 10 (the horrible one with -25k for abstain). That might shuffle up the standings quite a bit.

[WrathOfHan]

6 hours ago, grey ghost said:

 

What replaces Bad Moms and Pete's Dragon if both fail to hit 70 m?

After that Saturday drop I don't think Bad Moms makes it, so I'd probably put Purge there.

[narniadis]

1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said:

After that Saturday drop I don't think Bad Moms makes it, so I'd probably put Purge there.

 

Oh yeah lol forgot that Purge will be near 80m when all is said and done such a crazy summer.....