POTUS 2020 Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 13 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Ant Man 2 (9 days out) Midnight - 730k OD - 3.47m (+23%) (33783 screens) Sat - 1.55m Sun - 968k Good increase today for Ant Man today. It is still running ahead of pretty much every non team up SH movie except BP OD Comparisons (9 days out) Black Panther - 4.22m Spiderman - 2.6m GotG2 - 1.74m (approx) Thor Ragnarok - 0.122m Mission Impossible 6 (16 days out) Midnight - 433k OD - 2.39 (+11.16%) (25608 screens) Sat - 985k Sun - 641k MI6 at this point is still running ahead of JW2 which was at 1.92m at 16 days out. Although JW2 had a larger increase than 11% on its similar day. They both have similar screen counts and midnight numbers however JW2 had a higher Sat and Sun number On 8/13/2018 at 7:41 PM, Infernus said: How's buzz for MI6? Are chinese critics reacting to it the same way as their foreign counterparts? Any chance it might have a 100m opening, improving on the 86m one of its predecessor? MI6 looking good compared to JW. Its possible it could be close for OW. MI4(8.9 Maoyan) made 672m/$106m January 2012. Based on market growth MI5(9.0) was expected to do $200m but with less action it did 870m/$136m $100m+ OW, $180m+ total is plausible with the franchise history and the current PS run rate. JW2 IW PS 1am MN %gain OD gain % gain Shows MN %gain OD gain %gain Shows Fri 0.09 0.39 4.8 Sa 0.14 55.6% 1.01 0.62 159.0% 10.6 0.4 6.5 Su 0.16 14.3% 1.18 0.17 16.8% 15.3 1.3 0.9 202.3% 11.0 Mo 0.26 62.5% 1.32 0.14 11.9% 18.0 2.0 0.7 53.8% 16.0 Tu 0.31 19.2% 1.57 0.25 18.9% 22.0 3.3 1.3 62.5% 22.0 We 0.46 48.4% 1.92 0.35 22.3% 25.6 4.6 1.4 41.5% 27.9 Th 0.56 22.6% 2.38 0.46 24.0% 33.4 5.6 8.5 3.9 84.8% 44.4 Fr 0.76 33.9% 3.60 1.22 51.1% 40.2 7.8 14.0% 14.6 6.1 71.8% 54.6 Sa 0.87 15.2% 4.46 0.87 24.1% 44.3 9.0 14.7% 18.5 3.9 26.5% 59.2 Su 0.99 13.8% 5.22 0.76 17.0% 47.0 10.1 13.2% 22.3 3.8 20.7% 63.0 Mo 1.09 10.1% 6.03 0.81 15.5% 49.3 11.0 8.5% 25.6 3.3 14.6% 66.0 Tu 1.22 11.9% 6.86 0.83 13.8% 53.0 11.9 8.2% 29.0 3.4 13.5% 69.7 We 1.3 9.0% 7.8 0.9 13.0% 55.6 12.8 7.6% 33.7 4.7 16.2% 72.8 Th 1.4 8.3% 8.8 1.1 13.8% 58.4 15.0 17.2% 43.1 9.4 27.9% 79.7 Fr 1.6 10.4% 10.3 1.5 16.7% 61.7 16.6 10.7% 50.4 7.3 16.9% 86.9 Sa 1.8 12.6% 12.3 2.0 19.5% 66.5 17.9 7.8% 58.2 7.8 15.5% 93.1 Su 2.0 10.1% 14.5 2.2 17.9% 70.5 19.3 7.8% 65.8 7.6 13.1% 97.0 Mo 2.2 11.2% 17.2 2.7 18.4% 74.1 20.9 8.3% 75.3 9.5 14.4% 100.5 Tu 2.6 17.8% 21.7 4.5 26.4% 83.5 22.8 9.1% 88.9 13.6 18.1% 112.8 We 3.1 21.3% 27.8 6.1 27.9% 100.9 25.8 13.2% 107.4 18.5 20.8% 133.6 Th 3.8 21.4% 37.0 9.3 33.3% 127.3 30.6 18.6% 129.0 21.6 20.1% 154.6 Fr(OD) 13.9 265.8% 59.7 22.7 61.4% 154.9 59.5 94.4% 182.0 53.0 41.1% 178.0 OD BO 13.9 202.4 239.0% 156.0 59.5 387.0 112.6% 182.0 Multi 3.39 2.12 PS m OD OD m OW OW m Total OD $ OW $ Total $ XR JW2 3.39 202 3.63 734 2.31 1696 32 115 263 6.45 IW 2.12 387 3.28 1271 1.90 2415 61 201 380 6.36 5 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 (edited) Ant Man 2 (8 days out) Midnight - 828k OD - 4.09m (+17.9%) (36966 screens) Sat - 1.69m Sun - 1.26m OD Comparisons (8 days out) Black Panther - 4.93m Spiderman - 3.7m GotG2 - 2.17m (approx) Thor Ragnarok - 0.951m Mission Impossible 6 (15 days out) Midnight - 508k OD - 2.63 (+10.04%) (27233 screens) Sat - 1.06m Sun - 669k Edited August 15, 2018 by ZeeSoh 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 On 8/7/2018 at 11:21 PM, Gavin Feng said: Apartment of Love will start from 2pm Friday. The crew and the marketing said the film is based on the TV series of the same name, which has a large fan base. But Insiders said it is actually telling a story about The Lost Tomb and has nothing to do with Apartment of Love except using the same actors and title name. Many fans bought the tickets though distributor didn’t release any footage and trailer for them. I gather this bait and switch is why it's free falling. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 23 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Ant Man 2 (8 days out) Midnight - 828k OD - 4.09m (+17.9%) (36966 screens) Sat - 1.69m Sun - 1.26m Mission Impossible 6 (15 days out) Midnight - 508k OD - 2.63 (+10.04%) (27233 screens) Sat - 1.06m Sun - 669k Ant Man 2 (7 days out) Midnight - 952k OD - 4.81m (+17.6%) (39593 screens) Sat - 1.88m Sun - 1.34m Mission Impossible 6 (14 days out) Midnight - 557k OD - 2.93 (+11.4%) (28896 screens) Sat - 1.09m Sun - 690k 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 (edited) On 8/16/2018 at 10:02 PM, ZeeSoh said: Ant Man 2 (7 days out) Midnight - 952k OD - 4.81m (+17.6%) (39593 screens) Sat - 1.88m Sun - 1.34m Mission Impossible 6 (14 days out) Midnight - 557k OD - 2.93 (+11.4%) (28896 screens) Sat - 1.09m Sun - 690k Ant Man 2 (6 days out) Midnight - 1.15m OD - 5.87m (+22%) (42684 screens) Sat - 2.16m Sun - 1.46m OD Comparisons (6 days out) Black Panther - 6.82m Spiderman - 6m GotG2 - 3.2m Justice League - 2.34m Thor 3 - 2.15m Mission Impossible 6 (13 days out) Midnight - 611k OD - 3.32 (+14.8%) (30671 screens) Sat - 1.18m Sun - 712k MI6 has now fallen behind JW2 which was at 4.46m compared to the 3.32 for MI6 Edited August 17, 2018 by ZeeSoh 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 AM2 seems to be falling behind SMH there. Starting to doubt a 450+ OW, but we’ll see how it ramps up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 18, 2018 Share Posted August 18, 2018 22 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Ant Man 2 (6 days out) Midnight - 1.15m OD - 5.87m (+22%) (42684 screens) Sat - 2.16m Sun - 1.46m Mission Impossible 6 (13 days out) Midnight - 611k OD - 3.32 (+14.8%) (30671 screens) Sat - 1.18m Sun - 712k Ant Man 2 (5 days out) Midnight - 1.29m OD - 7.08m (+20.61%) (46366 screens) Sat - 2.57m Sun - 1.63m OD Comparisons (5 days out) Black Panther - 8.19m Spiderman - 7.5m (approx) GotG2 - 3.8m Justice League - 3.09m Thor 3 - 2.65m Mission Impossible 6 (12 days out) Midnight - 659k OD - 3.70 (+11.44%) (31973 screens) Sat - 1.31m Sun - 759k MI6 continues to fall behind JW2 which was at 5.2m about 12 days out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted August 18, 2018 Share Posted August 18, 2018 I haven't followed PS other than JW2 and IW, how is AM2 doing and what is it's OD projection? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted August 18, 2018 Share Posted August 18, 2018 Impressive for MI:6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 19, 2018 Share Posted August 19, 2018 8 hours ago, pepsa said: I haven't followed PS other than JW2 and IW, how is AM2 doing and what is it's OD projection? AM2 is doing very well presales wise. Its running ahead of most SH movies of the past 2 years or so except BP and SMH. It has also so far matched BP’s trajectory, which if it continues doing in the next 5 days it will end up in the high 30’s final presales. That would match SMH’s final presales which would be great for Ant Man. Right now I am thinking an opening weekend somewhere in the 50’s usd although depending on ratings and WOM that could go up or down. However dollar has strengthened considerably in the past few months (almost 9% since IW release) which will impact its OW and final gross 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted August 19, 2018 Share Posted August 19, 2018 5 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: AM2 is doing very well presales wise. Its running ahead of most SH movies of the past 2 years or so except BP and SMH. It has also so far matched BP’s trajectory, which if it continues doing in the next 5 days it will end up in the high 30’s final presales. That would match SMH’s final presales which would be great for Ant Man. Right now I am thinking an opening weekend somewhere in the 50’s usd although depending on ratings and WOM that could go up or down. However dollar has strengthened considerably in the past few months (almost 9% since IW release) which will impact its OW and final gross The ER all over the world sucks atm, IW2 will have a big big problem coming close to the first Glad that AM2 is doing good, hope it gets that nice 9.1+ rating. (Probably not because I don't think SH movies are as volatile as normal action movies.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 19, 2018 Share Posted August 19, 2018 On 8/18/2018 at 10:00 PM, ZeeSoh said: Ant Man 2 (5 days out) Midnight - 1.29m OD - 7.08m (+20.61%) (46366 screens) Sat - 2.57m Sun - 1.63m Mission Impossible 6 (12 days out) Midnight - 659k OD - 3.70 (+11.44%) (31973 screens) Sat - 1.31m Sun - 759k. Ant Man 2 (4 days out) Midnight - 1.48m OD - 8.43m (+19.06%) (50320 screens) Sat - 3.01m Sun - 1.80m Mission Impossible 6 (11 days out) Midnight - 702k OD - 4.00 (+8.1%) (33107 screens) Sat - 1.38m Sun - 775k 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 19, 2018 Share Posted August 19, 2018 On 3/4/2018 at 11:59 PM, ZeeSoh said: Black Panther (4 days before release) Midnight - 1.87m OD - 10.19m (37941 shows) Sat - 4.25m Sun - 1.79m Close to 25% bump today. Lets see if it accelerates tomorrow or not 5 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Ant Man 2 (4 days out) Midnight - 1.48m OD - 8.43m (+19.06%) (50320 screens) Sat - 3.01m Sun - 1.80m For reference this is where BP was end of Sunday. Ant Man has about 35% more screens allotted than BP at the same point. BP PS increased by 40, 37, 40 and about 67% over the last four days. If AM follows that then it will be around 37m final presales which would be about what SMH managed. If it does reach that then an opening in the 60’s would be likely 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 20, 2018 Share Posted August 20, 2018 On 10/30/2017 at 10:54 PM, keysersoze123 said: Thor Ragnarok ( 2 days + 23 hours ) midnights: 1.14m OD - 4.95m Sat - 2.44m Sun - 1.41m Guardians 2 ( 3 days + 2 hours) midnights - 1.46m OD - 6.17m sat - 2.86m sun - 1.65m On 11/13/2017 at 9:25 PM, ZeeSoh said: Justice league (3 days) Midnight - 1.64m OD - 5.79m (47741 screens) Sat - 3.29m Sun - 1.87m On 3/5/2018 at 11:46 PM, ZeeSoh said: Black Panther (3 days before release) Midnight - 2.27m OD - 14.03m (43621 shows) Sat - 5.87m Sun - 2.32m. Ant Man 2 (3 days out) Midnight - 1.76m OD - 11.25m (+33.45%) (61802 screens) Sat - 3.96m Sun - 2.33m Ant Man still leads almost all of these in screen counts. While Ant Man is more than double Thor Ragnarok and Justice League in OD PS right now, the latter 2 had huge jumps in the last few days which AM wont manage so the end result wont be a double PS for AM but AM will definitely be ahead of all of these I think. Ant Man 2 also leads SMH now after trailing over the last 2 days. Still heading for low to mid 30's I think for final PS 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 20, 2018 Share Posted August 20, 2018 (edited) Mission Impossible 6 (10 days out) Midnight - 780k OD - 4.76m (+19%) (36296 screens) Sat - 1.60m Sun - 840k Good increase for MI6 today. However it is lagging behind JW2 in terms of OD PS (6.83m) and screen count (53000 screens). The only other comparison I have is Pirates of the Caribbean 5 which was as following:- Midnight: 1.50m OD: 4.88m Sat: 2.09m OD for both is fairly similar but MI6 lags behind PotC5 in midnight and Sat presales. Edited August 20, 2018 by ZeeSoh 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted August 21, 2018 Share Posted August 21, 2018 (edited) 15.42m totday at midnight around 37% increase Just putting it down here so @ZeeSoh has the midnight number. Edited August 21, 2018 by pepsa 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted August 21, 2018 Share Posted August 21, 2018 +40% then +67% would get it to 36M then. Fingers crossed for a good PS multi. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 21, 2018 Share Posted August 21, 2018 Ant Man 2 (2 days out) Midnight - 2.26m OD - 15.42m (+37.06%) (79765 screens) Sat - 5.59m Sun - 3.06m OD Comparison, Rise and screen count on similar day Black Panther - 19.2 (36.8%) (55026 screens) Spiderman HC - 13.75 (37%) GotG2 - 9.3 (52.5%) Justice League - 8.43 (45.6%) (63109 screens) Thor Ragnarok - 7.34 (48.3%) (58000 screens) Still heading to mid 30's final PS like SMH. Looking good for an OW in the 60's as long as ratings are good. Mission Impossible 6 (9 days out) Midnight - 865k OD - 5.69m (+19.5%) (38452 screens) Sat - 1.88m Sun - 876k MI6 is running about 26% behind JW2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted August 21, 2018 Share Posted August 21, 2018 (edited) 17 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Ant Man 2 (2 days out) Midnight - 2.26m OD - 15.42m (+37.06%) (79765 screens) Sat - 5.59m Sun - 3.06m OD Comparison, Rise and screen count on similar day Black Panther - 19.2 (36.8%) (55026 screens) Spiderman HC - 13.75 (37%) GotG2 - 9.3 (52.5%) Justice League - 8.43 (45.6%) (63109 screens) Thor Ragnarok - 7.34 (48.3%) (58000 screens) Still heading to mid 30's final PS like SMH. Looking good for an OW in the 60's as long as ratings are good. Mission Impossible 6 (9 days out) Midnight - 865k OD - 5.69m (+19.5%) (38452 screens) Sat - 1.88m Sun - 876k MI6 is running about 26% behind JW2 Hoping for a 45% or close to that increase tomorrow that would be great. Btw these numbers mean a % increase (for tomorrow) 30% = 20.05m 35% = 20.82m 40% = 21.59m 45% = 22.36m 50% = 23.13m (This won't happen, I just put it here for reference) Update 8pm: 21.66m, already over 40% increase, 4 more hours to go. Atm I am thinking of a 50% increase. Edited August 22, 2018 by pepsa 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 Well I wasn't at home when it reached MN but 1 hour later it's at 23.73m. So my guess for MN is 23.45m a 52.07% increase. A lot stronger than the 40% of BP. A 60% increase tomorrow would give a 37.52m final presale (BP did 65%) 65% would give us 38.7m 70% would give 39.87m 75% would give 41.04m 80% would give 42.21m 85% would give 43.38m My guess would be an increase between 70% - 75% tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
