POTUS 2020 Posted December 22, 2016 Share Posted December 22, 2016 See you tomorrow had a great PS start and was looking huge. It's only at 24m. Will get over 30m by morning, but as a regular opening day and a local, it will probably to just 2.5x PS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 R1 PS has begun, just at 50k MN, 170k OD. at 10 days out, we should have an idea of potential size in 36 hours(thu 1am). @Olive is it 7pm or MN on Thursday the 5th? CA3 TGW PS at 1am MN PS OD PS OD PS% inc TH 6pm PS PS% inc OD PS PS% inc Th 0.8 2.4 1.6 2.0 Fr 1.2 3.6 50.0% 2.0 29.0% 2.4 20.0% Sa 1.8 6.2 72.2% 2.5 25.0% 2.9 20.8% Su 2.1 8.1 30.6% 3.1 24.0% 3.5 20.7% Mo 2.8 11.9 46.9% 4.2 35.5% 4.5 28.6% Tu 3.5 16.3 37.0% 5.8 38.1% 6.0 33.3% We 4.8 25.4 55.8% 8.7 50.0% 9.1 51.7% Th 6.4 37.9 49.2% 14.3 64.4% 13.9 52.7% Fr(OD) 65.8 73.6% 27.0 94.2% CA3 OD 05/06/16 TGW OD 12/16/16 MN 18 MN 50 OD 181 OD 123 OW 625 OW 470 Gross 1245 Gross 1B+ OD/PS muti 2.75 OD/PS muti 4.56 OW/MN multi 34.53 OW/MN multi 9.40 OW/OD multi 3.45 OW/OD multi 3.82 Tot/OD multi 6.88 Tot/OD multi Tot/OW multi 1.99 Tot/OW multi 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 27, 2016 Author Share Posted December 27, 2016 Only local movies can start at 7PM. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 28, 2016 Author Share Posted December 28, 2016 Star Trek Beyond 7 days + 23.5 hours to go Mid-night 157k Friday 732.3k Rogue One 8 Days + 5.5 hour Midnight 135k Friday 732.1k 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 (edited) 1 hour ago, Olive said: Star Trek Beyond 7 days + 23.5 hours to go Mid-night 157k Friday 732.3k Rogue One 8 Days + 5.5 hour Midnight 135k Friday 732.1k Very illustrative. Thank you For reference, Star Trek Beyond did 440m Yuan, what means a 53% of SW7. That would mean that China behaves like the rest of the world with Rogue One. Edited December 28, 2016 by peludo 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 R1 not jumping out of the gate. PS after 2 days are still under 1m and should be higher. I did multies for PS for the same point in time out for CA3 and XMA. Lets see if we can find a trend. we should see something by saturday. OD projection in lover table is an average of XMA and CA3. CA3 XMA R1 PS x PS x multi multi multi multi CA3 m XMA m PS 1am MN PS MN/PS OD PS OD/PS MN MN/PS OD PS OD/PS MN PS OD PS OD proj OD proj Th 0.8 22.6 2.4 75.4 2.3 48.7 0.2 0.8 63.4 40.9 Fr 1.2 15.1 3.6 50.3 3.2 35.0 Sa 1.8 10.1 6.2 29.2 4.2 26.7 Su 2.1 8.6 8.1 22.3 4.9 22.9 Mo 2.8 6.5 11.9 15.2 6.2 18.1 Tu 3.5 5.2 16.3 11.1 9.0 12.4 We 4.8 3.8 25.4 7.1 11.1 10.1 Th 6.4 2.8 37.9 4.8 17.8 6.3 Fr(OD) 65.8 2.8 31.6 3.5 63.4 40.9 average MN 18.1 MN 7.6 MN proj OD proj OD 181 OD 112 OD 52 proj OW 628 OW 386 OW 177 proj Gross 1245 Gross 802 Gross 372 proj OD/PS 2.75 OD/PS 3.5 OD/PS OW/MN 34.70 OW/MN 50.8 OW/MN OW/OD 3.47 OW/OD 3.45 OW/OD Tot/OD 6.88 Tot/OD 7.16 Tot/OD Tot/OW 1.98 Tot/OW 2.08 Tot/OW 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 30, 2016 Author Share Posted December 30, 2016 Rogue One[6 days+7.5 hours] midnights - 288k OD - 2.00m Doctor Strange[6 days+5.5 hours] midnights - 500k OD - 1.82m Fantastic Beasts[6 days+3.5 hours] midnights - 377k OD - 1.81m DS OD - 85.3m(Nov.4) FB OD - 77m(Nov.25) While midnights are still lagging behind, OD presales have caught up with DS and FB. Rumor has it that Assassin's Creed will also opening the week after RO, legs will be shorter. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 Its looking more an more like STB. Both PS multipliers for XMA and CA3 are pointing to 60m OD and a 440m total like STB. After 40 years Trekies may finally get to win a BO battle CA3 XMA R1 PS x PS x multi multi multi multi CA3 m XMA m PS 1am MN PS MN/PS OD PS OD/PS MN MN/PS OD PS OD/PS MN PS OD PS OD proj OD proj Th 0.8 22.6 2.4 75.4 2.3 48.7 0.18 0.8 63.4 40.9 Fr 1.2 15.1 3.6 50.3 3.2 35.0 0.25 1.2 60.3 42.0 Sa 1.8 10.1 6.2 29.2 4.2 26.7 0.30 2.2 64.2 58.7 Su 2.1 8.6 8.1 22.3 4.9 22.9 Mo 2.8 6.5 11.9 15.2 6.2 18.1 Tu 3.5 5.2 16.3 11.1 9.0 12.4 We 4.8 3.8 25.4 7.1 11.1 10.1 Th 6.4 2.8 37.9 4.8 17.8 6.3 Fr(OD) 65.8 2.8 31.6 3.5 MN 18.1 MN 7.6 MN 3 proj OD 181 OD 112 OD 61 proj OW 628 OW 386 OW 209 proj Gross 1245 Gross 802 Gross 439 proj OD/PS 2.75 OD/PS 3.5 OD/PS OW/MN 34.70 OW/MN 50.8 OW/MN OW/OD 3.47 OW/OD 3.45 OW/OD Tot/OD 6.88 Tot/OD 7.16 Tot/OD Tot/OW 1.98 Tot/OW 2.08 Tot/OW 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 Rogue One[5 days+5.5 hours]midnights - 552kOD - 2.53m Doctor Strange[4 days+5.5 hours]midnights - 671kOD - 2.70m Fantastic Beasts[4 days+5.5 hours]midnights - 558kOD - 3.5m X-Men: Apocalypse[4 days+23.5 hours] midnights - 1.23mOD - 4.91m Now You See Me 2[4 days+1.5 hours] OD - 2.68m Midnights would earn about ¥4m if Maoyan’s data doesn’t make mistake(DS and FB did ¥3.96m and ¥2.49m). But I think RO might be far ahead of those films later on. TFA made ¥15.9m this year(it opened on Saturday), which is the fifth highest midnights number of this year(behind Warcraft, TGW, Time Raiders, CW). 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 3 hours ago, Gavin Feng said: Midnights would earn about ¥4m if Maoyan’s data doesn’t make mistake(DS and FB did ¥3.96m and ¥2.49m). But I think RO might be far ahead of those films later on. TFA made ¥15.9m this year(it opened on Saturday), which is the fifth highest midnights number of this year(behind Warcraft, TGW, Time Raiders, CW). From what I recall, correct me if I am wrong. DY and JW films never had huge presales right? Like Ip Man 3 or Let the Bullets fly. Donnie Yen and Jiang Wen's have more Lu Ren Fans (passerby fans) hence presales may not show everything? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 1 hour ago, TigerPaw said: From what I recall, correct me if I am wrong. DY and JW films never had huge presales right? Like Ip Man 3 or Let the Bullets fly. Donnie Yen and Jiang Wen's have more Lu Ren Fans (passerby fans) hence presales may not show everything? Midnights of local films are always weaker than import film, so I don’t think adding Chinese actor will be useful to midnights. Audience in Second & third tier cities love local films and stars more, but they have no habit of watching midnights film. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 R1 PS continues to point to a 60m OD CA3 XMA R1 PS x PS x multi multi multi multi CA3 m XMA m PS 1am MN PS MN/PS OD PS OD/PS MN MN/PS OD PS OD/PS MN PS OD PS OD proj OD proj Th 0.8 22.6 2.4 75.4 2.3 48.7 0.18 0.8 63.4 40.9 Fr 1.2 15.1 3.6 50.3 3.2 35.0 0.25 1.2 60.3 42.0 Sa 1.8 10.1 6.2 29.2 4.2 26.7 0.30 2.2 64.2 58.7 Su 2.1 8.6 8.1 22.3 4.9 22.9 0.57 2.7 59.2 60.6 Mo 2.8 6.5 11.9 15.2 6.2 18.1 Tu 3.5 5.2 16.3 11.1 9.0 12.4 We 4.8 3.8 25.4 7.1 11.1 10.1 Th 6.4 2.8 37.9 4.8 17.8 6.3 Fr(OD) 65.8 2.8 31.6 3.5 MN 18.1 MN 7.6 MN 5 proj OD 181 OD 112 OD 60 proj OW 628 OW 386 OW 204 proj Gross 1245 Gross 802 Gross 428 proj OD/PS 2.75 OD/PS 3.5 OD/PS OW/MN 34.70 OW/MN 50.8 OW/MN OW/OD 3.47 OW/OD 3.45 OW/OD Tot/OD 6.88 Tot/OD 7.16 Tot/OD Tot/OW 1.98 Tot/OW 2.08 Tot/OW 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 [4 days+5.5 hours] Rogue One midnights - 620k OD - 2.98m Doctor Strange midnights - 670k OD - 2.70m Fantastic Beasts midnights - 558k OD - 3.5m 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted January 1, 2017 Share Posted January 1, 2017 CA3 XMA R1 PS x PS x multi multi multi multi CA3 m XMA m PS 1am MN PS MN/PS OD PS OD/PS MN MN/PS OD PS OD/PS MN PS OD PS OD proj OD proj Th 0.8 22.6 2.4 75.4 2.3 48.7 0.18 0.8 63.4 40.9 Fr 1.2 15.1 3.6 50.3 3.2 35.0 0.25 1.2 60.3 42.0 Sa 1.8 10.1 6.2 29.2 4.2 26.7 0.30 2.2 64.2 58.7 Su 2.1 8.6 8.1 22.3 4.9 22.9 0.57 2.7 59.2 60.6 Mo 2.8 6.5 11.9 15.2 6.2 18.1 0.65 3.1 47.2 56.0 Tu 3.5 5.2 16.3 11.1 9.0 12.4 We 4.8 3.8 25.4 7.1 11.1 10.1 Th 6.4 2.8 37.9 4.8 17.8 6.3 Fr(OD) 65.8 2.8 31.6 3.5 MN 18.1 MN 7.6 MN 5 proj OD 181 OD 112 OD 52 proj OW 628 OW 386 OW 175 proj Gross 1245 Gross 802 Gross 368 proj OD/PS 2.75 OD/PS 3.5 OD/PS OW/MN 34.70 OW/MN 50.8 OW/MN OW/OD 3.47 OW/OD 3.45 OW/OD Tot/OD 6.88 Tot/OD 7.16 Tot/OD Tot/OW 1.98 Tot/OW 2.08 Tot/OW 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 PS getting relatively weaker. Last year they offered discounts last minute that doubled PS on Thursday. They may need to do that again CA3 XMA R1 PS x PS x multi multi multi multi CA3 m XMA m PS 1am MN PS MN/PS OD PS OD/PS MN MN/PS OD PS OD/PS MN PS OD PS OD proj OD proj Th 0.8 22.6 2.4 75.4 2.3 48.7 0.18 0.8 63.4 40.9 Fr 1.2 15.1 3.6 50.3 3.2 35.0 0.25 1.2 60.3 42.0 Sa 1.8 10.1 6.2 29.2 4.2 26.7 0.30 2.2 64.2 58.7 Su 2.1 8.6 8.1 22.3 4.9 22.9 0.57 2.7 59.2 60.6 Mo 2.8 6.5 11.9 15.2 6.2 18.1 0.65 3.1 47.2 56.0 Tu 3.5 5.2 16.3 11.1 9.0 12.4 0.73 3.7 41.1 46.0 We 4.8 3.8 25.4 7.1 11.1 10.1 Th 6.4 2.8 37.9 4.8 17.8 6.3 Fr(OD) 65.8 2.8 31.6 3.5 MN 18.1 MN 7.6 MN 5 proj OD 181 OD 112 OD 52 proj OW 628 OW 386 OW 175 proj Gross 1245 Gross 802 Gross 368 proj OD/PS 2.75 OD/PS 3.5 OD/PS OW/MN 34.70 OW/MN 50.8 OW/MN OW/OD 3.47 OW/OD 3.45 OW/OD Tot/OD 6.88 Tot/OD 7.16 Tot/OD Tot/OW 1.98 Tot/OW 2.08 Tot/OW 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Rogue One is a disappointing blockbuster in China. But beating Hacksaw Ridge is still possible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted January 3, 2017 Author Share Posted January 3, 2017 Rogue One[2 days+8.5 hours] midnights - 796k OD - 4.08m Star Trek Beyond [ 2days+5 hours] midnights - 669k OD - 4.16m Doctor Strange[2 days+9.5 hours] midnights - 939k OD - 4.91m Fantastic Beasts[ 2days+11.5 hours] midnights - 718k OD - 5.93m STB OD - 64.8m(Sep. 2) DS OD - 85.3m(Nov.4) FB OD - 77m(Nov.25) 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ariana Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 4 hours ago, Gavin Feng said: Rogue One is a disappointing blockbuster in China. But beating Hacksaw Ridge is still possible. It's understandable. TFA made a bad impression on Chinese audiences, just like BvS and DCEU. I don't expect Ro1 and Ep8 can earn more than TFA did. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted January 3, 2017 Author Share Posted January 3, 2017 In Taiwan, Hacksaw Ridge beat the crap out of RO, I won't be surprised same thing happens in Mainland. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 19 hours ago, POTUS said: PS getting relatively weaker. Last year they offered discounts last minute that doubled PS on Thursday. They may need to do that again Heard from some posters at Tieba that some discounts are starting, is that true? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...