Manny G Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 (edited) 6 minutes ago, Olive said: They bet on it to do huge numbers like Venom, they intended to start selling later than other chains with higher price. When is later ? the movie in few days right? Edited December 3, 2018 by Manny G Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 3, 2018 Author Share Posted December 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, Manny G said: When is later ? the movie in few days right? later than other theater chains, right before the movie opens Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 To give an idea on how messed up the numbers for Aquaman are (at least on Maoyan). It;s 3 pm and the OD presale number has increased by roughly 10%, the midnight PS number has also increased whereas the Sat/Sun numbers have barely moved at all since last night 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ash Skywalker Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Muted increases so far for AQM on OD and little to none on SAT & SUN. It seems the numbers are back to normal(most of them). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny G Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 What is the press saying they’re doing screenings right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ash Skywalker Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 (edited) 2 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: To give an idea on how messed up the numbers for Aquaman are (at least on Maoyan). It;s 3 pm and the OD presale number has increased by roughly 10%, the midnight PS number has also increased whereas the Sat/Sun numbers have barely moved at all since last night For once the DC movie gets a great buzz in China and these things happen. Lol. Hope all the numbers come to normal today Edited December 4, 2018 by Ash Skywalker Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 23 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Aquaman (3 days out) Midnight - 1.53m OD - 10.00m (+22.55%) (66957 shows) Sat - 6.67m Sun - 4.58m Aquaman (2 days out) Midnight - 1.93m OD - 13.08m (+30.8%) (86403 shows) Sat - 7.95m Sun - 4.58m Better increase than yesterday but still lower than other SH movies around this same time. Decent increase in show times. Notice that the Sun number is stuck since yesterday OD of other similar movies 2 days out Venom - 24.75 (102,995 shows) Black Panther - 19.2 (55,026 shows) Ant Man 2 - 15.42m (79,765 shows) Spiderman - 13.75m Justice League - 8.43m (63,109 shows) Thor Ragnarok - 7.34m (58,000 shows) PS at this point is similar to SMH which ended at around 36m final PS which is where I expect Aquaman to end up (34-36m). Gavin has said that word is good from press screenings so far so lets see if it translates into higher PS numbers. SH movies typically jump 40-60% 1 day out (the higher jump for movies with low PS so far like Thor Ragnarok and the lower jump for movies with high PS so far like Venom and BP). 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny G Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 50 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Aquaman (2 days out) Midnight - 1.93m OD - 13.08m (+30.8%) (86403 shows) Sat - 7.95m Sun - 4.58m Better increase than yesterday but still lower than other SH movies around this same time. Decent increase in show times. Notice that the Sun number is stuck since yesterday OD of other similar movies 2 days out Venom - 24.75 (102,995 shows) Black Panther - 19.2 (55,026 shows) Ant Man 2 - 15.42m (79,765 shows) Spiderman - 13.75m Justice League - 8.43m (63,109 shows) Thor Ragnarok - 7.34m (58,000 shows) PS at this point is similar to SMH which ended at around 36m final PS which is where I expect Aquaman to end up (34-36m). Gavin has said that word is good from press screenings so far so lets see if it translates into higher PS numbers. SH movies typically jump 40-60% 1 day out (the higher jump for movies with low PS so far like Thor Ragnarok and the lower jump for movies with high PS so far like Venom and BP). So Are all the seats released or not yet? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Manny G said: So Are all the seats released or not yet? Olive and Gavin can better answer that question. I havent checked myself since a few days. Ill check tomorrow again (cant right now as I am on mobile and its a pain doing it on mobile) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny G Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 minute ago, ZeeSoh said: Olive and Gavin can better answer that question. I havent checked myself since a few days. Ill check tomorrow again (cant right now as I am on mobile and its a pain doing it on mobile) Got it👍🏾 One last question $65M Opening weekend is pretty much a lock right since it on par with Homecomin? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 4, 2018 Author Share Posted December 4, 2018 Maoyan OD prediction 140M yuan，if so $65-70m OW in play 5 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NamakFiskKa Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Manny G said: Got it👍🏾 One last question $65M Opening weekend is pretty much a lock right since it on par with Homecomin? Mid 50s Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EarlyDeadlinePredictions Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Atleast 60m considering the WOM is guaranteed to be good and lack of competition? (I don't know the local releases). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 21 minutes ago, Manny G said: Got it👍🏾 One last question $65M Opening weekend is pretty much a lock right since it on par with Homecomin? Wouldnt say locked, but presales at this point suggest 60-65m OW. It all depends on ratings and WoM. So far indications from press screenings, etc say that ratings will be good. And if ratings are really good then 65m+ OW should happen. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Seng Wah Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 OD presale is at 14.68m now, seems slow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 $65 ow * 1.85x = $120 total would be a strong result and the biggest DCEU film I guess. Hoping for $135 total (say ow around $70 and legs around $1.90-1.95x) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Seng Wah Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 1540: OD presale 16m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted December 5, 2018 Share Posted December 5, 2018 Even with a "smaller" OW (50-65M), Aquaman could have really good legs here if its WOM is great. China is a lot more unpredictable than the US, but when they love a movie, the word spreads fast (also if they hate it^^). 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted December 5, 2018 Author Share Posted December 5, 2018 2 hours ago, Brainbug said: Even with a "smaller" OW (50-65M), Aquaman could have really good legs here if its WOM is great. China is a lot more unpredictable than the US, but when they love a movie, the word spreads fast (also if they hate it^^). weak competitions in 2nd week and Christmas boost followed by NY holiday, if WOM is as great as the bloggers say, 2.5X is very doable. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
