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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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Mummy

[4 days+ 4,5 hours]

Midnight: 0.28m

OD: 1.48m

Sat: 0.76m

[4 days+ 0 hours]

Midnight: 0.32m

OD: 1.63m

Sat: 0.82m

[3 days+ 0 hours]

Midnight: 0.62m

OD: 3.9m

Sat: 1.68m

[2 days+ 0 hours]

Midnight: 1.08m

OD: 8.2m

Sat: 3.2m

[1 days+ 0 hours]

Midnight: 1.94m

OD: 14.6m

Sat: 5.63m

[0 days+ 0 hours]

Midnight: 8.84m

OD: 31.19m

Sat: 10.73m

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4 hours ago, abra said:

TF5 presales started :)

Just 350 shows listed. We may see action tomorrow.  FF7 listed 10k shows a day after listing. This is coming out 4 days later so the run will be different. After a few days of blowing up to several million we may see 50% daily gains like RE6

 

Imdb has it at 2:28 now

 

AC going up 50% today to 3.3m. PS will get to at least 12m. Much more if it follows WW and MMY trend. 

Edited by POTUS
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T5

The Fate of the Furious

[13 days+ 2 hours]

 

Midnight: 0.42m

OD: 1.48m

Sat: 0.78m

[12 days+ 10 hours]

 

Midnight: 1.04m

OD: 3.08m

Sat: 1.85m

[12 days+ 0 hours]

 

Midnight: 1.79m

OD: 5.04m

Sat: 2.52m

[11 days+ 0 hours]

 

Midnight: 2.95m

OD: 8.24m

Sat: 3.54m

[10 days+ 0 hours]

Midnight: 0.09m

OD: 0.15m

Sat: 0.10m

Midnight: 3.85m

OD: 10.97m

Sat: 4.46m

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On 3/31/2017 at 9:05 AM, POTUS said:

They just added 2000 show and PS on the move finally.  yesterday was a false start. 

           Shows    PS     

1500       2k       11k

1600    4.7k     170k

1700    7.5k     300k

1800     11k     550k

1900     14k     873k

2000     15k    1.37m

2100     17k    1.58m

2300     19k    1.84m

 

TF5 at 1800 

18k shows   .88m

It looks like it will match FF8 at 1.8m for its first day. Looking for it double for a couple of days then run 50% daily.

I'm expecting 150m+ in PS like FF8. 

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The Last Knight

MN  -  1.03m (5,545 showtimes)

OD  -  1.62m (26,581)

SAT  -  1.03m (17,313)

SUN  -  706k (15,017)

 

Furious 8

MN  -  467k (2,809)

OD  -  1.76m (17,844)

SAT  -  91.1m (9,215)

 

POTC5

MN  -  737k (3,881)

OD  -  2.68m (27,678)

SAT  -  1.62m (17,589)

 

A great start. But it’s still too early to judge which is better.

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2 hours ago, Gavin Feng said:

The Last Knight

MN  -  1.03m (5,545 showtimes)

OD  -  1.62m (26,581)

SAT  -  1.03m (17,313)

SUN  -  706k (15,017)

 

Furious 8

MN  -  467k (2,809)

OD  -  1.76m (17,844)

SAT  -  91.1m (9,215)

 

POTC5

MN  -  737k (3,881)

OD  -  2.68m (27,678)

SAT  -  1.62m (17,589)

 

A great start. But it’s still too early to judge which is better.

 

I am assuming that the Furious 8 number was supposed to be 911k :P

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T5

The Fate of the Furious

M YUAN

SHOWTIMES

[13 days+ 2 hours]

 

 

Midnight: 0.42m

OD: 1.48m

Sat: 0.78m

[12 days+ 10 hours]

 

 

Midnight: 1.04m

OD: 3.08m

Sat: 1.85m

[12 days+ 0 hours]

 

 

Midnight: 1.79m

OD: 5.04m

Sat: 2.52m

[11 days+ 0 hours]

 

 

Midnight: 2.95m

OD: 8.24m

Sat: 3.54m

[10 days+ 0 hours]

Midnight: 0.06m

OD: 0.09m

Sat: 0.07m

679

2831

1879

Midnight: 3.85m

OD: 10.97m

Sat: 4.46m

[9 days+ 0 hours]

Midnight: 1.41m

OD: 2.47m

Sat: 1.54m

6578

35134

23631

Midnight: 4.95m

OD: 14.20m

Sat: 5.64m

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3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

its always driven by number of showtimes assigned. Fate by tuesday night was around 14m.  So it has a way to catch but that is easily possible once it has 60-70K showtimes. By Sunday night Fate was at 47m and that is the target.

By starting later it may have 50% gains after Sunday and a normal 75%+ increase on Thursday that FF8 didn't have. So 30m could be the target for Sunday night. 30, 45, 67, 100, 175m

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TF5 PS heading to 6.5m+ today.

Here is range that it should fall into based on past runs.

 

FF8 averaged nearly 30% increases but started 3 days earlier. I think TF5 runs like CA3 which started a day later.  

6.5m×1.6×1.4×1.4×1.4×1.4
×1.4×1.5×1.75= 147m

Tomorrow could be up more than 60% bumping it over 160m  after following the rest of the pattern

 

If it follows RE6

6.5×1.6×1.5×1.5×1.5×1.5

×1.5×1.5×1.75= 207m. 

The last day may not be able to bump 75% due to sellouts taking the total down to 190m

 

Fridays increase should identify the run. Saturday will confirm it. So like we thought early on in FF8s PS run, 150-200m is the likely range.  FF8s total was 167m(410m OD).  2000(+2.2%) more screens have been built giving TF5 another boost as well as some schools being out.

 

The OD Multi could be as low as FF8's 2.3 but with matinees doing more business we could see 2.5+. However it's a situation where the higher PS the lower the multi. If PS got to 200m+, we could see a multi lower than FF8.

 

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