keysersoze123 Posted June 15, 2017 Share Posted June 15, 2017 (edited) At least from show times it's on par with fate. Looking like a 50% increase in PS today. May be around mid to high 20s by end of Sunday. May not beat fate PS but will do better on PS multi. Edit: It finished the day at 9.35m and that is less than 50% increases(just above 3m increase). At this rate it may not crack 25m by sunday. Edited June 15, 2017 by keysersoze123 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 16, 2017 Share Posted June 16, 2017 (edited) On 5/28/2016 at 4:23 PM, POTUS said: CA3. XMA WC Days out MN OD OD MN OD 0000 13 15m 0000 12 16 0000 11 17 0000 10 18 0000. 9 0.1m 0.3m 0.0m 18 20 0000 8 0.8 2.4 2.3 19 23+15% 0000 7 1.2 3.6 +50% 3.2 +39% 20 27 +18% 0000 6 1.8 6.2 +72% 4.2 +31% 21.9 31.5 +17% 0000 5 2.1 8.1 +31% 4.9 +16% 23.5 35.9 +14% 0000 4 2.8. 11.9 +47% 6.2 +27% 24.8 40.8 +14% 0000 3 3.5 16.3 +37% 9.0 +45% 25.8 44.8 +10% 0000 2 4.8 25.4 +56% 11.1 +23% 27.0 50.9 +14% 0000 1 6.4 37.9 +50% 17.8 +60% 30.5 64.2 +26% 0000 OD 18.1 65.8 +75% 31.6 +78% 55.0 95.0 +49% CA3 OD Fri 5/6 OD Total 181m x PS 2.75x OW Total 625m Total 1245m OD Multi 6.88 OW Multi 1.99x 2.75 PS multi is in line with the norm for tentpoles XMA OD Fri 6/3 OD Total 110m x PS 3.48x OW Total 384m Total 803m OD Multi 7.3x OW Multi 2.09x 3.48 PS multi is high due to weak PS, VG WOM and strong walk ups WC OD Wed 6/8 OD Total 251m x PS 2.64x OW Total 819m Total 1472m OD Multi 5.86x OW Multi 1.79x TF5 was up 45% yesterday and on pace to repeat today to 13.6m. That's close to the daily average % increases of CA3. Maintaining that thru wed then 60% on thursday(like FF8 &WC)=140m At 75% on thursday like CA3=152m. About 10% lower than FF8 but the OD Multi could easily be 10% higher due to some schools out, matinees will have a higher PTA allowing more walk ups in the evening. I would say it scores at least this range. We've seen steeper ramp ups lately in the last 2 days of the PS run. This is CBO, much higher is always possible. As long as it gets at least 165k shows on OD like FF8, I think it will challenge the OW weekend record. OW range. 1225-1500m/ $180-220m I won't be able to tighten that up until wed when we see a show count Edited June 16, 2017 by POTUS 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted June 16, 2017 Share Posted June 16, 2017 I dont think TF5 can catch up with FF8 in presales at all. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 16, 2017 Share Posted June 16, 2017 2 hours ago, firedeep said: I dont think TF5 can catch up with FF8 in presales at all. I agree. today its looking at 35% increase. weekend normally see weak increases as well. At this rate it will be well behind. I think 120m is a good target. But TF5 could end up better PS multi as it must have wider fanbase. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted June 16, 2017 Share Posted June 16, 2017 1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said: I agree. today its looking at 35% increase. weekend normally see weak increases as well. At this rate it will be well behind. I think 120m is a good target. But TF5 could end up better PS multi as it must have wider fanbase. It could. But China could be getting a bit tired of Transformers also. Fast 8 over TF 5 IMO 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted June 16, 2017 Share Posted June 16, 2017 Transformers: The Last Knight Chinese pre-sale is great but not the best, around 50% of Fate of the furious did at the same point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 16, 2017 Share Posted June 16, 2017 3 hours ago, fmpro said: It could. But China could be getting a bit tired of Transformers also. Fast 8 over TF 5 IMO It could happen. But dont want to underestimate this franchise in China. It has never failed to out perform. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted June 16, 2017 Share Posted June 16, 2017 Just now, keysersoze123 said: It could happen. But dont want to underestimate this franchise in China. It has never failed to out perform. I agree... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted June 16, 2017 Share Posted June 16, 2017 T5 The Fate of the Furious M YUAN SHOWTIMES [13 days+ 2 hours] MN: 0.42m OD: 1.48m Sat: 0.78m [12 days+ 10 hours] MN: 1.04m OD: 3.08m Sat: 1.85m [12 days+ 0 hours] MN: 1.79m OD: 5.04m Sat: 2.52m [11 days+ 0 hours] MN: 2.95m OD: 8.24m Sat: 3.54m [10 days+ 0 hours] MN: 0.06m OD: 0.09m Sat: 0.07m 679 2831 1879 MN: 3.85m OD: 10.97m Sat: 4.46m [9 days+ 0 hours] MN: 1.41m OD: 2.47m Sat: 1.54m 6578 35134 23631 MN: 4.95m OD: 14.20m Sat: 5.64m [6 days+ 0 hours] MN: 4.63m OD: 13.23m Sat: 7.53m 9884 77126 55438 MN: 9.78m OD: 32.87m Sat: 13.48m 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 16, 2017 Share Posted June 16, 2017 TF5 increase slightly under 4m(midnight to midnight). At this rate its looking at sub 25m by sunday(could be as low as 22m). Monday will be the big day for TF5 PS. it needs a spectacular day to have any chance of it coming close to Fate's BO in China. I still think it will have a solid run that will be close to fate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 16, 2017 Share Posted June 16, 2017 58 minutes ago, fmpro said: Perhaps. I just wanted to be right when i told @POTUS earlier today that it would'ent reach 70 mill 8 hours ago, keysersoze123 said: I agree. today its looking at 35% increase. weekend normally see weak increases as well. At this rate it will be well behind. I think 120m is a good target. But TF5 could end up better PS multi as it must have wider fanbase. Got you both. PS up 43%. Keeps it on target for 140-150m in PS. 13.5 x1.45x1.45=28m Sunday. 28x1.45x1.45x1.45×1.75= 150m It could dip into the 30s one day and hit 50% another 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted June 16, 2017 Share Posted June 16, 2017 (edited) 4 minutes ago, POTUS said: Got you both. PS up 43%. Keeps it on target for 140-150m in PS. 13.5 x1.45x1.45=28m Sunday. 28x1.45x1.45x1.45×1.75= 150m It could dip into the 30s one day and hit 50% another We will see when actuals come out Maoyan ended at 68,35 so i call it a tie Edited June 16, 2017 by fmpro 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaptainJackSparrow Posted June 16, 2017 Share Posted June 16, 2017 So will TF5 at least match TF4's gross in China? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted June 16, 2017 Share Posted June 16, 2017 It's so funny i want to bet against POTUS but i don't think it's a good idea, he's on point 95% of the time. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 17, 2017 Share Posted June 17, 2017 10 hours ago, pepsa said: It's so funny i want to bet against POTUS but i don't think it's a good idea, he's on point 95% of the time. I did not bet against POTUS. I know its pointless :-) Anyway TF5 looks like finishing around 18m today. That is close to 35% PS. So POTUS should be wrong today :-) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 17, 2017 Share Posted June 17, 2017 11 hours ago, pepsa said: It's so funny i want to bet against POTUS but i don't think it's a good idea, he's on point 95% of the time. Hard to say. CBO went up 50% from 2014 to 15 but a lot of sequels have not increased with it, eg GOTG increased just a few percent. @olive has said that sequels seldom decrease. TF4 did $320m. It could increase just a few percent like FF8 did. It needs a 20% boost to match it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 17, 2017 Share Posted June 17, 2017 1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said: I did not bet against POTUS. I know its pointless :-) Anyway TF5 looks like finishing around 18m today. That is close to 35% PS. So POTUS should be wrong today :-) Yup, not picking up steam. They only added 2k shows today vs 7k yesterday. Unless they add 5k more it will be in the 30s. Maybe they add 10k tomorrow and we get a bigger pop. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 17, 2017 Share Posted June 17, 2017 weekend PS have been always slow. It will pick up steam on monday. It already has good amount of showtimes. It will double the current show count by the time it releases. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted June 17, 2017 Share Posted June 17, 2017 Transformers: The Last Knight [5 days + 3 hours] MN - 5.42m (10,127) FRI - 16.36m (80,918) SAT - 9.35m (58,718) SUN - 5.16m (51,540) Fate of the Furious [5 days + 4 hours] MN - 10.85m (8,795) FRI - 37.70m (80,276) SAT - 16.04m (55,401) SUN - 6.65m (47,170) 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted June 17, 2017 Share Posted June 17, 2017 T5 The Fate of the Furious M YUAN SHOWTIMES [13 days+ 2 hours] MN: 0.42m OD: 1.48m Sat: 0.78m [12 days+ 10 hours] MN: 1.04m OD: 3.08m Sat: 1.85m [12 days+ 0 hours] MN: 1.79m OD: 5.04m Sat: 2.52m [11 days+ 0 hours] MN: 2.95m OD: 8.24m Sat: 3.54m [10 days+ 0 hours] MN: 0.06m OD: 0.09m Sat: 0.07m 679 2831 1879 MN: 3.85m OD: 10.97m Sat: 4.46m [9 days+ 0 hours] MN: 1.41m OD: 2.47m Sat: 1.54m 6578 35134 23631 MN: 4.95m OD: 14.20m Sat: 5.64m [6 days+ 0 hours] MN: 4.63m OD: 13.23m Sat: 7.53m 9884 77126 55438 MN: 9.78m OD: 32.87m Sat: 13.48m [5 days+ 0 hours] MN: 5.64m OD: 17,03m Sat: 9.69m 10167 81413 59106 MN: 11,29m OD: 39,31m Sat: 16.94m 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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