If you can't learn to run with the pack, one of these days you'll be someone's Derby. | Week 16

[AndyLL]

Luck.

 

http://derby.boxofficetheory.com/Predictions.aspx

 

[Rolling Thunder]

Challenging week ahead - it's a Jungle out there! 

[AndyLL]

There was a database issue on Thursday evening and I was forced to restore a backup from Wednesday night.

 

Anyone that entered or edited predictions Thursday needs to do it again.

 

I've extended the deadline to Friday night 10pm pacific time.

[ChipDerby]

done and done, thanks!

[POTUS 2020]

Not sure if the Thursday numbers were much help for me.

Last week we had a 15m pick on MTB

I saw two interesting picks this week on the leaderboard

@Rolling Thunder with 5m on zoo. Jungle crash or misyake?

@Bozly with 19.51m on bvs.  Fat finger a 9 instead of 0? (Was)All time leader, what a shame

[cannastop]

@AndyLL

 

Can we get the averages, pretty please?

[Rolling Thunder]

9 hours ago, No Prisoners said:

I saw two interesting picks this week on the leaderboard

@Rolling Thunder with 5m on zoo. Jungle crash or mistake?

 

 

Not a mistake but obviously overlooked Zooptopia having double-feature drive-ins this weekend.  Also, you never know when Disney is going to do that notorious number shift game, which clearly happened here.  Muppets Most Wanted & Mr. Peabody & Sherman both dropped 63% against the much lower profile Rio 2 in April 2014.

[AndyLL]

4 hours ago, cannastop said:

@AndyLL

 

Can we get the averages, pretty please?

 

Done...  one of these days it'll happen automatically

[AndyLL]

9 hours ago, No Prisoners said:

Not sure if the Thursday numbers were much help for me.

Last week we had a 15m pick on MTB

I saw two interesting picks this week on the leaderboard

@Rolling Thunder with 5m on zoo. Jungle crash or misyake?

@Bozly with 19.51m on bvs.  Fat finger a 9 instead of 0? (Was)All time leader, what a shame

 

Hopefully people having to redo any changes made on Thursday did not screw up anyone.  I went through the top 20 and made sure they got a mention in the 'database issues' thread.

 

Was worried about @Matrix4You since he was in the final four in the tournament and hadn't gotten his picks in by Friday evening.

[narniadis]

NOOOO!! I just saw the database thing I wondered why I wasn't in the top 15 that was posted in the weekend thread cause outside of JB I should have been good.

[cannastop]

6 hours ago, Rolling Thunder said:

 

Not a mistake but obviously overlooked Zooptopia having double-feature drive-ins this weekend.  Also, you never know when Disney is going to do that notorious number shift game, which clearly happened here.  Muppets Most Wanted & Mr. Peabody & Sherman both dropped 63% against the much lower profile Rio 2 in April 2014.

Bro, 5m is way too pessimistic, drive-ins or not.

[AndyLL]

34 minutes ago, narniadis said:

NOOOO!! I just saw the database thing I wondered why I wasn't in the top 15 that was posted in the weekend thread cause outside of JB I should have been good.

 

Sorry... I did a mention on the top 20 ( you are on the 2nd page ) of April and posted in a couple of the 'common' threads of the forum several times on Friday.

 

 

[JohnnY]

i'm on a roll of mediocre scores, dear lord...

[PanaMovie]

29 minutes ago, JohnnY said:

i'm on a roll of mediocre scores, dear lord...

If only this had happened last week..

[dxmatrixdt]

DERBY UPDATE:   (ERROR ALERT) - 44 players this week, 75.404 average.   Two new players: Calc60 and Grath.   Welcome!!!  Owiewankenobi, Arlborn returned from last week.  

 

I made the top 10 to be this:  Barbershop 20.0, Batman 9.0, The Boss 10.0, Criminal 5.90, MBFGW 3.3, Jungle 103, Zoo 8.20, Miracles 1.90, GND2 1.71 and Hardcore Henry 1.48.  Bozly made a costly typo with Batman v Superman.  PanaMovie hung on to the lead and will be the winner. 

 

PanaMovie	89.310
No Prisoners	85.641
Matrix4You	83.523
Jmorphin	83.428
Simionski	83.374
Bates	83.346
8wombi7	82.837
TalismanRing	82.335
Rolling Thunder	81.775
bapi	81.610
Wonka	81.038
RandomJC	80.523
Wildbill	79.201
cannastop	79.023
Digoron	78.963
Johnny	78.861

 

[dxmatrixdt]

DERBY UPDATE:   (ERROR ALERT) - 44 players this week, 75.337 average.   Two new players: Calc60 and Grath.   Welcome!!!  Owiewankenobi, Arlborn returned from last week.  

 

Bozly made a costly typo with Batman v Superman.  He would have scored 81.717 without that typo, ranking 11^th.  Instead, he settles for 32^nd place.    PanaMovie did well predicting all 3 openers.

 

PanaMovie	89.606
No Prisoners	85.860
Matrix4You	83.931
Simionski	83.442
Bates	83.353
Jmorphin	83.317
8wombi7	83.175
TalismanRing	82.384
Rolling Thunder	82.078
bapi	81.886
RandomJC	80.205
Wonka	80.066
Wildbill	79.575
Digoron	79.106
cannastop	78.982

[cannastop]

@Matrix4You

 

Alright! Top 15!

 

I was helped by the extended deadline, though.

[AndyLL]

Not official yet....

[cannastop]

1 minute ago, AndyLL said:

No official yet....

Well, it's a start.

[AndyLL]

Congrats to @PanaMovie 

 

	Rank	Player	Total Score	New Release Score	Holdover Score	Difference from Avg. Score	Total Points	Predicted Movies

	1	PanaMovie	89.606%	90.736%	89.121%	14.243%	44	10
	2	No Prisoners	85.860%	82.386%	87.348%	10.497%	43	10
	3	Matrix4You	83.931%	85.317%	83.337%	8.568%	42	10
	4	Simionski	83.442%	81.707%	84.185%	8.079%	41	10
	5	JMorphin	83.317%	82.818%	83.531%	7.954%	40	10
	6	8wombi7	83.175%	78.296%	85.266%	7.812%	39	10
	7	TalismanRing	82.384%	82.819%	82.198%	7.022%	38	10
	8	Bates	82.322%	94.472%	77.115%	6.959%	37	10
	9	Rolling Thunder	82.078%	82.362%	81.957%	6.715%	36	10
	10	bapi	81.886%	85.757%	80.227%	6.523%	35	10
	11	RandomJC	80.205%	73.271%	83.176%	4.842%	34	10
	12	Wonka	80.066%	68.072%	85.206%	4.703%	33	10
	13	Wildbill	79.575%	78.220%	80.157%	4.213%	32	10
	14	Digoron	79.106%	89.987%	74.443%	3.743%	31	10
	15	cannastop	78.982%	81.660%	77.834%	3.619%	30	10
	16	ChipMunky	78.786%	87.295%	75.140%	3.424%	29	10
	17	JohnnY	78.559%	84.552%	75.990%	3.196%	28	10
	18	Exxdee	78.086%	84.164%	75.482%	2.723%	27	10
	19	Horror Wizard	77.160%	79.032%	76.358%	1.797%	26	10
	20	boxofficeth	76.172%	82.417%	73.496%	0.809%	25	10