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Wednesday: Suicide Squad $1.9m

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47 minutes ago, Kathemy said:

Ayer declares SS has passed 600 million.

 

David Ayer ‏@DavidAyerMovies
@SuicideSquadWB 600 million worldwide! Thank you to everyone for making this a success! @WarnerBrosEnt

That's pretty awesome.

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Random musing. I posted this elsewhere and I want you to tell me if I'm retarded, and if you can even use numbers in this fashion.

 

Suicide Squad hasn't opened in Japan. It is matching Batman v Superman's gross (or perhaps even outscoring it, I can't tell) in South Korea and Taiwan so I find it highly unlikely the film will bomb in Tokyo.

 

Now: by last weekend its score was DOM $262,428,736, FOR $313,000,000

FOR/DOM = ~1.193

 

Most people here seem to predict a final DOM of 300-315.


Lowball predicted DOM: 300 which would give FOR 358
Highball: 315 which would give FOR 376

 

(This is the crucible. I'm estimating FOR will match DOM's decline.)


Estimated Japan gross (this must be added, it's an unopened market): $15,000,000

Final prediction range: $673m - $706m

 

Am I crazy?

Edited by Kathemy
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This Thu has been better historically. Some movies in 2014-15 showed very strong holds on Thu.

Feel confident that SS will drop sub-10% if not sub-5%.

10% drop will give 1.64m.

7% drop will give 1.7m.

 

Hope it does 1.7m. Makes 10.5m weekend more likely.

BOM is predicting under 10 for the weekend and they have it wrong imo.

PRO.BO are more in line with 10.7m.

 

1.7 Thu,

3.06 (+80%) + 4.59 (+50%) + 2.89(-37%) = 10.54 (-49.46%)

Have given it worse holds than GOTG : +87.3% on Fri, +55.3% on Sat, -34.5% on Sun.

Edited by a2knet
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