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Weekend Estimates: Kong 61M, Logan 37.8M, Get Out 21M, Shack 10M, Lego Batman 7.8M

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I don't know why people keep saying OS is where Kong will make big numbers. Not really. In the UK and Australia, it'll do okay. But nothing more. Similar to domestic. It'll be overshadowed by Logan and BatB. Same for the rest of Europe. 

 

China will probably be big, and maybe a few other markets, but this isn't going to be some monster OS like some seem to be expecting. 

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Logan is a brave film, period. No, it's not performing like the Dark Knight, if only because this is not Batman, there is no power house villain performance like Ledger's and no mystical allure was added because of somebody's death. I liked Logan way more, far more emotionally engaging than TDK.

 

Kudos to everyone involved in the direction the film took. People who are complaining about it being depressing should grow the f*ck up or go watch Iron Man 3 to feel happy and lift their spirits with a hero- kid pandering relationship they can get behind.

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Here’s one piece of good news about Warner Bros./Legendary’s Kong: Skull Island : The movie is beating its tracking estimates with an estimated $52.5M opening, after logging $20M today. Four weeks ago, tracking for Kong: Skull Island was in the trash with a mid-$40M opening projection, and that would have been truly disastrous for this $185M monster epic.

 

But we never knew Logan was going to be so big, and even though he’s down 58% with $36.7M, the men going to see Logan are the same guys who’d buy a ticket to see Kong: Skull Island. Couple this with the fact that Beauty and the Beast is next week, and though it’s main demo are females, teenage girls and twentysomething women aren’t going to waste their time and money with a hairy beast this weekend who isn’t adorned in prince clothing.  And let’s not forget, there’s a zeitgeist horror film that’s still pulling in an unbelievable amount of business in its third week: Universal/Blumhouse’s Get Out will click past the century mark to $111M by Sunday after a FSS of $21M that’s just 26% off.

 

 

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