AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR | 1369.5 M overseas ● 2048.4 M worldwide

[fabiopazzo2]

 

[NGGKroze]

1 minute ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

 

Sooo... 1.1-1.2B by Sunday. Sweet

[fabiopazzo2]

 

Edited May 3, 2018 by fabiopazzo2

[Thrylos 7]

1 minute ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

 

Very decent hold and better than my expected 30 million. 

[bladels]

2 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

 

Better drop than TA without any new opening 

IW is showing good OS legs 

[titanic2187]

OS was 382m vs DOM's 258m , OS number was 1.5x of DOM opening.

But wednesday figure suggest OS holds up much better, 32m vs DOM's 16.7m , now OS daily number is twice as much as domestic!

[IceFire9yt]

Correct me if I'm wrong on this.  Based international OWs on Box Office Mojo, The Avengers had a 218.7M overseas opening weekend without China, and eventually made 809.2M for a 3.7x multiplier.  By the same metric Ultron would have had a 2.7x OS-China multiplier.

 

3.7x just sounds too good to be true, but anything 3x or higher would be crazy good.  It would give us 1.2B OS without China.

[Juby]

Theatrical Performance
Domestic Box Office	$322,564,408	Details
International Box Office	$534,700,000	Details
Worldwide Box Office	$857,264,408

 

 

 

So, after the first week it's going to have $337,5 mln DOM and more than $570 mln OS = around $910 mln WW? If the drop during the second weekend won't be hard, IW will pass Civil War by Sunday!!

Edited May 3, 2018 by Juby

[Legion Again]

3 minutes ago, Juby said:

Theatrical Performance
Domestic Box Office	$322,564,408	Details
International Box Office	$534,700,000	Details
Worldwide Box Office	$857,264,408

 

 

 

So, after the first week it's going to have $337,5 mln DOM and more than $570 mln OS = around $890 mln WW? If the drop during the second weekend won't be hard, IW will pass Civil War by Sunday!!

Those add to about 910, not 890. Guessing it will be more like 900-905 though.

[titanic2187]

4 minutes ago, IceFire9yt said:

Correct me if I'm wrong on this.  Based international OWs on Box Office Mojo, The Avengers had a 218.7M overseas opening weekend without China, and eventually made 809.2M for a 3.7x multiplier.  By the same metric Ultron would have had a 2.7x OS-China multiplier.

 

3.7x just sounds too good to be true, but anything 3x or higher would be crazy good.  It would give us 1.2B OS without China.

many markets for ultron and A1 were opened during its 2nd week, and ultron even have 1st may to soften its 2nd week drop....

In the case of IW, almost every country are opened at the same week, save for china, which never be on time either, hence, no much disturbance here to the multiplier 

[bladels]

2 minutes ago, IceFire9yt said:

Correct me if I'm wrong on this.  Based international OWs on Box Office Mojo, The Avengers had a 218.7M overseas opening weekend without China, and eventually made 809.2M for a 3.7x multiplier.  By the same metric Ultron would have had a 2.7x OS-China multiplier.

 

3.7x just sounds too good to be true, but anything 3x or higher would be crazy good.  It would give us 1.2B OS without China.

TA didnt open almost everywhere like IW

Multiplier would be like 3.2x if it opened like IW

IW could reach 3x multiplier maybe even more.

I'm seeing $1.1B OS-CHINA for now tho

[Sam]

Did some digging through old thread and found that 

 

The Avengers OS Thursday: 22.9M, with 4M coming from OD Russia. Meaning 18.9M from other countries, an 8.25% drop from its OS Wednesday. 

 

 

Using the same drop for IW would put its Thursday at $29.5M sans Russia. Anyone have ideas what Russia OD is heading towards? 

[IceFire9yt]

5 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

many markets for ultron and A1 were opened during its 2nd week, and ultron even have 1st may to soften its 2nd week drop....

In the case of IW, almost every country are opened at the same week, save for china, which never be on time either, hence, no much disturbance here to the multiplier 

No, I added up the opening weekends of every country listed on Box Office Mojo.

[bladels]

1 minute ago, IceFire9yt said:

No, I added up the opening weekends of every country listed on Box Office Mojo.

BOM doesn't show all countries tho

[IceFire9yt]

4 minutes ago, bladels said:

BOM doesn't show all countries tho

Ah, that's disappointing.  Oh well.

Edited May 3, 2018 by IceFire9yt

[Ephemeris]

On 5/1/2018 at 9:52 PM, Ledmonkey96 said:

That would make sense

 

  Hide contents

It Won't happen

 

It happened.

[The Mad Titan]

40 minutes ago, Sam said:

Did some digging through old thread and found that 

 

The Avengers OS Thursday: 22.9M, with 4M coming from OD Russia. Meaning 18.9M from other countries, an 8.25% drop from its OS Wednesday. 

 

 

Using the same drop for IW would put its Thursday at $29.5M sans Russia. Anyone have ideas what Russia OD is heading towards? 

I believe I heard about $16 million Thurs-Sun so I’m thinking $5 million today?

[Juby]

51 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Those add to about 910, not 890. Guessing it will be more like 900-905 though.

You're so right. Thanks  

[Quigley]

In 2012, The Avengers made $38.8M on Tuesday (excl. Singapore, Thailand, Bulgaria and Latvia) and $19.6M on Wednesday (excl. Singapore, Thailand, Bulgaria, Latvia). That is a 49.5% drop.

 

Infinity War dropped 50.1%, which is a very similar drop and definitely good news.

 

REVISED DATA: Gitesh Pandya (https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/21671-the-fate-of-the-furious-10100 m-overseas-●-12360 m-worldwide/?do=findComment&comment=2965145) doesn't seem to be the best when it comes to accuracy, even though his estimates are still very close to the actuals. Therefore I found some Forbes articles that mention different numbers for the daily totals of Fate of the Furious:

• $437.2M over the weekend and $492.1M through the Monday: https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2017/04/18/box-office-fate-of-the-furious-racing-past-600-million-worldwide/#5f9b1dee169c -> this leads to a $54.9M Monday
• $531.7M through Tuesday: https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2017/04/19/box-office-fate-of-the-furious-zooms-past-logan-to-be-years-second-biggest-hit/#7c71ae76580c -> leads to a $39.6M Tuesday
• $565.1M through Wednesday: https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2017/04/20/box-office-fate-of-the-furious-nears-700-million-worldwide/#439b5b8a73c9 -> this leads to a $33.4M Wednesday

I appreciate that these overseas totals may be estimates but there is no indication that Gitesh Pandya's numbers are not estimates or that they are more accurate.

 

THEREFORE:

1. MONDAY: Infinity War DID score the biggest overseas Monday on record with $55.2M, beating the $54.9M made by Fate of the Furious
2. TUESDAY: Infinity War did score a record overseas Tuesday with $64.5M
3. WEDNESDAY: However, Infinity War did not score the biggest overseas Wednesday (clarification: we are talking about the Wednesday after a film's first weekend). It is the 5th biggest. Here is a list:

• Iron Man 3: $65.6M [because of opening day in China]
• Star Wars: The Force Awakens: $38.4M [because of midnight showings in Greece – LOL just kidding]
• Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2: $36.4M [the BOM articleon HP8's Wednesday says $35.2M but this is an estimate. The actual can be calculated by using the Thursday article and updating previous days with actuals - e.g. Monday was $41M estimated but updated to $42M with actuals by using the Tuesday article]
• The Fate of the Furious: $33.4M

If you have any other data, please share.

Edited May 3, 2018 by Quigley

[fabiopazzo2]

IW need only 15M dom and 28,5M to pass 900M today 

Edited May 3, 2018 by fabiopazzo2