What a WONDERful Weekend | WW down only 16% on Sunday. 103M weekend. pg 226

[YM!]

Just now, PRESIDENT BKB said:

 

People expecting huge numbers from this crack me up, especially when a lot of the predictions I've seen for WW have it as high as 150M OW.. It happens with every superhero movie Ethan..

But like WW, $150M OW won't happen.

[Nova]

SMH: 110M

Thor: 85M

JL: 140M

Black Panther: 90M

New Mutants: 55-60M

IW: 170M

Deadpool: 145-150M

Incredibles: 125M 
Ant-Man: 75M

Venom: 40M

Dark Phoenix: 55M 

 

[Truckasaurus]

8 minutes ago, That Covfefe Guy said:

Low blow, ERC.

[boomboom234]

The last Thor movie did 85 had mediocre legs and wasn't well liked why would its sequel explode

[YM!]

4 minutes ago, Nova said:

Im failing to see why Thor would open to $100M+ which is what I've seen a lot of folks on here predict. Same thing goes for Black Panther. Wonder Woman got glowing reviews and is more iconic and yet it's barely going to scrape by $100M. 

I think the addition of Hulk and Strange might get Rangarok over $100M OW, if it's really good, I can see $130M OW at the most (if almost everything in September/October underperform). Black History Month will help drive Panther to $100M OW, I can also see glowing reviews for it too.

[Jonwo]

Just now, YourMother said:

I think the addition of Hulk and Strange might get Rangarok over $100M OW, if it's really good, I can see $130M OW at the most (if almost everything in September/October underperform). Black History Month will help drive Panther to $100M OW, I can also see glowing reviews for it too.

 

September will be bigger than normal due to It and Kingsman but October is a mixed bag. I don't see $130m but $95-100m is doable. Its legs will be shortened by JL two weeks later.

 

[Johnny Tran]

Thor can do more than Doctor Strange so $100M is possible, Strange was a nobody and still is, it's all caught up in the Avengers hype train. 

 

Spider-Man is the total kids and families hero. Again, $100M plus is likely.

 

Black Panther is the one that will by far be the best movie but unfortunately will do less than the other two and we will all speculate why.

[franfar]

Box Office: #WonderWoman Lassoing $95M-Plus Debut https://t.co/M6s5YB4Xf1 pic.twitter.com/O6kw0uvIvQ

— Hollywood Reporter (@THR) June 3, 2017

 

 

[YM!]

Just now, Jonwo said:

 

September will be bigger than normal due to It and Kingsman but October is a mixed bag. I don't see $130m but $95-100m is doable. Its legs will be shortened by JL two weeks later.

 

You forgot the biggest animated sensation, Ninjago. Thinking this also. My realistic prediction for TR is $110M/$260M.

[MCKillswitch123]

12 hours ago, filmlover said:

Gal is about to show off her legs. Right, @MCKillswitch123?

 

Yup. As a matter of fact, here she comes:

 

[Dementeleus]

1 minute ago, franfar said:

 

 

 

Aren't they just retweeting the article from yesterday?

[Jonwo]

Just now, YourMother said:

You forgot the biggest animated sensation, Ninjago. Thinking this also. My realistic prediction for TR is $110M/$260M.

 

After The Lego Batman Movie, I'm not sure on Ninjago especially with Kingsman on the same day. If it does $30-35m, that'll be good but $20-25m seems more likely.

[YM!]

Just now, Jonwo said:

 

After The Lego Batman Movie, I'm not sure on Ninjago especially with Kingsman on the same day. If it does $30-35m, that'll be good but $20-25m seems more likely.

I don't see much audience overlap between the two. Thinking $28M-$40M OW for Ninjago.

[Brainiac5]

15 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

 

I wouldn't be surprised if JL breaks the November OW or gets close to it.

WB opening Record is going down In November,I'm certain of it.

[Krissykins]

International total up to $47.1m

 

So it's at $86m worldwide as of end of play Friday. 

 

[YM!]

1 minute ago, Brainiac5 said:

WB opening Record is going down In November,I'm certain of it.

I can see a deflated OW for JL ($155M-$160M) but a strong 5 Day ($100M-$110M)

[franfar]

3 minutes ago, God Emperor Tele said:

 

Aren't they just retweeting the article from yesterday?

Yeah, looks like it.

[MikeQ]

 

<<Prev Day <Wk <Mo <Yr	Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017	>Yr >Mo >Wk >>Next Day
TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day 1 - Wonder Woman WB $38,850,000 - - 4,165 $9,328 $38,850,000 1 2 - Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie Fox $8,000,000 - - 3,434 $2,330 $8,000,000 1 3 1 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales BV $6,267,000 +82% -73% 4,276 $1,466 $99,275,771 8 4 2 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 BV $2,667,000 +90% -50% 3,507 $760 $348,408,332 29 5 3 Baywatch Par. $2,625,000 +97% -54% 3,647 $720 $35,849,438 9 6 4 Alien: Covenant Fox $1,115,000 +51% -63% 2,660 $419 $64,334,484 15 7 5 Everything, Everything WB $1,060,000 +100% -49% 2,375 $446 $26,041,587 15 8 8 Snatched Fox $390,000 +41% -64% 1,625 $240 $42,918,414 22 9 7 Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul Fox $360,000 +2% -72% 2,088 $172 $16,964,604 15 10 9 King Arthur: Legend of the Sword WB $325,000 +47% -63% 1,222 $266 $36,327,957 22 11 - 3 Idiotas PNT $175,000 - - 349 $501 $175,000 1 12 11 Beauty and the Beast (2017) BV $172,000 +37% -52% 527 $326 $501,650,471 78

[Jonwo]

Just now, YourMother said:

I can see a deflated OW for JL ($155M-$160M) but a strong 5 Day ($100M-$110M)

 

The record is $158m OW so JL only needs to do $2m more to break it. I think the goodwill from WW will be a boost.

[Nova]

2 minutes ago, YourMother said:

I think the addition of Hulk and Strange might get Rangarok over $100M OW, if it's really good, I can see $130M OW at the most (if almost everything in September/October underperform). Black History Month will help drive Panther to $100M OW, I can also see glowing reviews for it too.

The Hulk and Strange aren't enough to drive a film $15M+ from the previous film on OW especially after the film before it wasn't well received.

 

And I'm not trying to sound like an ass but why would Black History Month affect Black Panther's OW? I definitely think it'll help its run and it'll give it a great multiplier but OW is all about the rush factor and like I said if Wonder Woman with glowing reviews can barely make it over $100M, why would Black Panther a lesser known character fly by it? 

 

Having said this I'm not writing off Black Panther completely from getting to $100M (remember I have it at $90M) without seeing it's trailer and marketing first so maybe in a couple months I'll change my tune BUT my overall point remains. Folks underestimate how hard it is to get to $100M OW because they see it often now, but it's not easy. 

 

Thor is a completely different scenario and I think folks are just using their own personal hype to create these absurd expectations for it.