baumer Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 I have never liked Chastain for some reason. I though she was the most over-rated person in The Help ensemble as well.BTW, Riva may not have been nominated for GG but the audience gave a spontaneous applause when Haneke mentioned his two leads so she had some support in the room.The problem with Amour is that no one has seen it. But like riczhang pointed out, now that it is nominated the academy members will be forced to see it and once they do, I don't see how you don't write Riva's name down. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Gary Scott Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 I think its between riva and lawrence. Id say its 50/50 and could go either way. Thid kind of reminds me of when peter o'toole got nominated but riva looks like she has more support. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 I'm at the point where I'm inclined to just give Chastain, Lawrence, Watts and Riva a 25% chance each. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sims Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 I think Watts is pretty much out of it, unfortunately, having missed BAFTA. She'll have a good shot next year (even though she deserved to WIN 11 years ago). I still think you're all overestimating Riva's chances. It's not impossible, but she missed SAG. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 Watts is dead most likely. And I loved the Haneke tribute to Riva. He said that the golden part of the globe should be Riva's. And she'll win BAFTA, Academy Members love Amour. The non-plaleolithic era Members almost all love it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted January 14, 2013 Share Posted January 14, 2013 I think Watts is pretty much out of it, unfortunately, having missed BAFTA. She'll have a good shot next year (even though she deserved to WIN 11 years ago). I still think you're all overestimating Riva's chances. It's not impossible, but she missed SAG.No one saw her fucking movie and now they have; and the Academy loves Amour. I'm however banking on a BAFTA win because voting starts right around BAFTA ceremony and it'll be a huge boost in the homestretch. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackO Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Yeah Watts needed that GG Drama win to stay in the game. Down to 3, Lawrnece, Chastain, Riva. I actually give Riva slightly better odds then Chastain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Finally saw AMOUR. I'm on Team Riva, all the way. I'd be tickled pink if Haneke got BD too, although obviously that won't happen. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 (edited) Finally saw AMOUR. I'm on Team Riva, all the way. I'd be tickled pink if Haneke got BD too, although obviously that won't happen.Now Haneke is my favourite director by far (In fact none of his films have missed my top 10 or 20 of the decade list, and he's topped both my 1990s and my 2000s list) so this is probably a bit loony/wishful thinking; but I think Haneke could pull a Polanski. If he wins director foreign and Screenplay, Riva wins Actress at BAFTA which isn't impossible see Pedro Almadovar and the other foreign language directors who've won director at BAFTA we'll see a very strong late surge. BAFTA announces on the 10th, and Academy ballots are mailed out/online voting begins on the 8th. You do the math, if Amour can ride that BAFTA high it could score big at the Academy. But, this is all hinging on BAFTA, but I'm fairly confident BAFTA will go for it. At this point though, I see Amour winning Screenplay and Foreign, and if Riva wins BAFTA she'll win the Oscar. Edited January 15, 2013 by riczhang Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 After seeing The Impossible I'm a little perplexed how Nanny Watts was the only thing from that movie that got awards attention. It's a fairly one-note character, barely feels like it could be a lead performance, and there were definitely much stronger contenders that missed out for her. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Gary Scott Posted January 15, 2013 Share Posted January 15, 2013 Saw chastain in zdt today loved it id be happybwith eithet a lawrence or her winning Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 After seeing The Impossible I'm a little perplexed how Nanny Watts was the only thing from that movie that got awards attention. It's a fairly one-note character, barely feels like it could be a lead performance, and there were definitely much stronger contenders that missed out for her.The young kid, Tom Holland was incredible.He was miles away better and interesting than Alan Fuck yourself Arkin. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Gary Scott Posted January 16, 2013 Share Posted January 16, 2013 The young kid, Tom Holland was incredible.He was miles away better and interesting than Alan Fuck yourself Arkin.So was jason clarke Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Chastain isn't in the same class as Riva and JLAW. She was good, but that's it. I would be ticked if she wins....but not surprised. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Gary Scott Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 I disagree thought chastain was just as good as lawrence Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 I likewise thought Chastain was better than JLaw. In fact, while I liked her in SLP a lot, I'm not even sure it's the best JLaw performance this year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 I likewise thought Chastain was better than JLaw. In fact, while I liked her in SLP a lot, I'm not even sure it's the best JLaw performance this year.The best JLaw performance this year was Anna Karenina. I thought he was great, underrated in that. Really the only sympathetic character in the whole thing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Nevada Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 The best JLaw performance this year was Anna Karenina. I thought he was great, underrated in that. Really the only sympathetic character in the whole thing. I dont get it, everyone says Jude Law's character was a great guy and the most likable person in the movie. I thought they were all assholes! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 (edited) The least assholiest at least. Any of the douchey stuff he did was just because his wife was being a total bitch. Edited January 18, 2013 by CoolioD1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Nevada Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 The least assholiest at least. Any of the douchey stuff he did was just because his wife was being a total bitch. Yeah, but he still knocked over a pregnant woman and was overall very cold and douchy imo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
