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Ice Age: Continental Drift OS Thread ($624M)

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IA4 has following markets. Some big markets like Russia, UK, South Korea and Italy. it grossed around 150M in those markets. I think it will increase in Russia but will probably decrease in UK/Italy(SK might not make much). Rest around 20M. Assume it breaks out one of the big markets and makes 200M in new markets, it still needs to hit 500M from holdovers. Possible but not easy. I think unless it breaks out crazy in some market it will drop slightly from IA3. I am thinking 650M OS.Iceland 11 July 2012 Azerbaijan 12 July 2012 Belarus 12 July 2012 Hong Kong 12 July 2012 Kazakhstan 12 July 2012 Puerto Rico 12 July 2012 Russia 12 July 2012 Singapore 12 July 2012 Thailand 12 July 2012 Ukraine 12 July 2012 Bulgaria 13 July 2012 Taiwan 13 July 2012 UK 13 July 2012 Armenia 16 July 2012 Cambodia 19 July 2012 Vietnam 20 July 2012 South Korea 26 July 2012 Italy 28 September 2012 Switzerland 28 September 2012 (Italian speaking region)

dont forget its biggest OS market, China, opens July 27th.
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what did IA3 make in china. I dont see any number in BOM. I dont think it will be in KFP2 ball park. What is good for IA4 in china.So it will definitely make 650M but I see it finishing below IA3 even with china.

Around 20M in China for IA3.You can expect $80M for IA4.
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That I feel is too much. Why will IA4 be that big. KFP2 had local flavor. This has nothing. Plus last one had 3D as well.

IA4 has a great release date. First Hollywood blockbuster since middle June. Not a single hollywood film in July before IA4. Not to mention IA series are really liked in China.
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Fox International reported an $80.6m second weekend for Ice Age: Continental Drift from 10,964 screens in 48 markets as the early international running total climbed to a mighty $198m.

Germany generated $14.5m from 1,178 in the biggest debut of the year-to-date and the industry’s second biggest animated launch behind Ice Age 3, while France produced $9.1m from 1,030 for $24.2m, Mexico $5.9m from 1,956 for $25.9m, Brazil $5.7m from 897 for $17.6m and Australia $4.9m from 564 for $15.8m.

The animation debuted top in Holland in $2.5m from 277 and Austria $2.3m from 183 and scored the second biggest industry weekend in Argentina on $3.5m from 284 for $9.3m, Colombia on $2.1m from 273 for $7.8m and Chile on $1.6m from 135 for $5m.

Peru generated the industry’s biggest second weekend for an animated film on $1.5m from 185 for $5.7m as did Central America on $1.1m from 199 for a $4.2m running total.

The weekend total includes $5.4m in nationwide previews from the UK where the preview tally has reached $11.6m.

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possible.

Hope so.

Can't recall what IA3 did OS but this one is set to do around 700 mil ... hard to imagine it will do much more than that

IA3 did a huge $690m OS.

700m won't be easy.I'm thinking more like 650-675m.

So about on par with IA3 then, maybe even below and that is with 3D, bigger markets and higher ticket prices! I know lots of people said it would make more than IA3 but we shall see.
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