pinocchio Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Raimis SM was VERY popular in France. SM3 made 6.3 mio admissions there and IA3 7.8 mio admissions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 (edited) I dont expect anything more than $40M (maybe not even 30M ...) from Germany for IA4. (IA3 did $82M+ there)what a flop Europe is !I have no idea how many tickets that is. But however many dollars 7m tickets is what I expect it to be at the minimum. Edited July 5, 2012 by lab276 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pinocchio Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 It will open below IA3 in Germany, but hopefully have amazing legs. I don't see it will drop below 7 mio admissions, too, and that should easily be 70 mio USD or so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 7 mio admissions in Germany translate into $65M or so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pinocchio Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Okay, if I look at the forum predictions for IA4 in Germany at Insidekino.de (official prediction tomorrow) it really doesn't look too good, I must admit...And the numbers for TASM second weekend suck anyway. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 There's some guy predicting like 4m or something, but seriously, how likely is that? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pinocchio Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 It had a monday start in Germany so those numbers are difficult to read... On average they see 1.6 mio admissions until sunday and 6.7 mio admissions cume in the end. Weather is very good and sunny right now in middle Europe. I guess IA4 and TASM will suffer anyway. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pinocchio Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 As soon as we have the official prediction we will also know it's the real thing -- +/- 10%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 There's some guy predicting like 4m or something, but seriously, how likely is that?That is on par with my $30M~40M expectation IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 But that's a massive drop from IA3. Too big a drop I think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 (edited) Just think MIB3 (with 5 weekly at #1) total admissions could not match MIB2 OW and TASM OW couldnt match SM3 OD there.Germany B.O. is dead. Edited July 5, 2012 by firedeep Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Just think MIB3 (with 5 weekly at #1) total admissions could not match MIB2 OW and TASM OW couldnt match SM3 OD there.Germany B.O. is dead.But they were never as big as Ice Age. They went from 7.3m to 8.7m to 8.7m. Not to mention MIB3 and TASM were affected by the Euro to at least some extent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 If the box office is bad, doesnt bigger one drop harder ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 My point is that Ice Age hasn't been dropping with each successive film.For example:SM1: 5.2SM2: 3.3SM3: 3.2MIB1: 7.4MIB2: 5.1MIB3: 2-2.3 (roughly)Compare that to Ice Age. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Just think MIB3 (with 5 weekly at #1) total admissions could not match MIB2 OW and TASM OW couldnt match SM3 OD there.Germany B.O. is dead.It's the beginning of a slow decline of the German box office, they're too old.But it's a big country so it still has some interest, like Japan, but how long? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCS Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 I think midweek numbers are good, OS total just been bumped up to:$118,677,915 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pinocchio Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 It's the beginning of a slow decline of the German box office, they're too old.But it's a big country so it still has some interest, like Japan, but how long?Come on... Movie admissions in Germany are more or less flat over the years. What they didn't have this year so far was a big local blockbuster (they just had Intouchables with 8.6 mio admissions...). And Euro 2012 had a huge impact I guess but that's just temporary. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 (edited) Come on... Movie admissions in Germany are more or less flat over the years. What they didn't have this year so far was a big local blockbuster (they just had Intouchables with 8.6 mio admissions...). And Euro 2012 had a huge impact I guess but that's just temporary.Yeah, flat.But you forget most of viewers in theaters are under 30, many teens and kids.Given the dramatic fall of births since 1990 their numbers will fall pretty much, so the admissions will fall too.It's inavoidable, we'll feel for the 3 next decades.You have the same trends in Japan, and they will have the same future about admissions, growth. Edited July 6, 2012 by Fullbuster Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pinocchio Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 Don't think birth rates matter too much. Like many other countries they have a lot of immigration that can easily compensate that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 (edited) Yeah, flat.But you forget most of viewers in theaters are under 30, many teens and kids.Given the dramatic fall of births since 1990 their numbers will fall pretty much, so the admissions will fall too.It's inavoidable, we'll feel for the 3 next decades.You have the same trends in Japan, and they will have the same future about admissions, growth.It means that German film makers have to start making films for the older audiences so they have something to watch. Clearly they can't go on relying on Hollywood films since they target younger people. Edited July 6, 2012 by lab276 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
