ZattMurdock Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 I think people are overestimating too much the effect that TDKR will have at the box office. It isn't the second coming, the movement for the film around here is weaker than TASM at this point here. I'm sure that Brazil is not the only place like this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rudolf Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 at the same timecompare to SM3 $84,267,521 / $385,427,186 SM3 had China with $4,553,379/ $13,399,943SM3 OS 3rd we $51,003,277 so TASM with $66.6m in 2nd we needs either good weekdays or a super hold Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 That is because he was predicting 1.2B OS (seriously!) before it came out.Yeah not even me predicted that high. I over predicted TASM, but I was thinking $1.2B WW. Regardless if me and fired deep were wrong, The Amazing Spider-Man is behaving much more like a box office monster than an ordinary reboot. Even if ends up not making as much as the previous films, the numbers are quite fantastic to a franchise restart. Anticipating the sequel as fuck, and hoping they pull off more than a trilogy this time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rudolf Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 Deathly Hallows 2 had exactly $66.6M 3rd weekend, had opened everywhere except China and it made another 200M from those markets.I'd say TASM can manage 180M. That will take it to 500M OS without China!So pretty decent in the end. and AVATAR had a 7th we with $32m and made more than $550m afterwards Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rudolf Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 Predictions: firedeep - 950M SentryTrans - 850M CJohn - 810M Charism - 760M Fake - 750M fmpro - 740M grey ghost - 725M+ Juby - 720M Shriekofthevulture - 710M TLK - 650M+ Heretic - 550-650M KenterKane - < 650M acab - 600M CEDAR - 500-600M Average prediction - 720M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 We all understated the reboot effect. It's a mistake we now have learned from! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 SM3 OS 3rd we $51,003,277 so TASM with $66.6m in 2nd we needs either good weekdays or a super hold WOM for TASM is leagues and bounds better than SM3. The thing about TASM is that it doesn't need to make as much as SM3 or the previous films. A reboot is an investment, and in my book they've pulled off the best Spider-Man film yet. The anticipation for TASM 2 will escalate for some crazy levels if they keep the quality and provide Marc Webb what he needs to tell his take on Spidey. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted July 15, 2012 Author Share Posted July 15, 2012 If this breaks out in China, 900M WW is still possible.Worst-case scenario:DOM: 250MOS (current markets): 480MChina: 90MTotal: 820MBest-case Scenario:DOM: 265MOS (current markets): 505MChina: 130MTotal: 900M 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 I'd say very good. A sub-50% drop considering it had extended openings in many markets last weekend is superb!That's great Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted July 15, 2012 Author Share Posted July 15, 2012 We all understated the reboot effect. It's a mistake we now have learned from!Exchange rates are what causing the problem here.... TASM would have easily made 50M more with last year's exchange rates. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 Don't expect too much from China.The release date is kinda bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 If this breaks out in China, 900M WW is still possible.Worst-case scenario:DOM: 250MOS (current markets): 480MChina: 90MTotal: 820MBest-case Scenario:DOM: 265MOS (current markets): 505MChina: 130MTotal: 900MI believe in this film's legs and I'm hoping that it will pull off a few more surprises for us. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 If this breaks out in China, 900M WW is still possible.Worst-case scenario:DOM: 250MOS (current markets): 480MChina: 90MTotal: 820MBest-case Scenario:DOM: 265MOS (current markets): 505MChina: 130MTotal: 900MYou really think that 265 mill is BCS ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 Your worst case for China is 90m? This is the reason why the OS run looks disappointing, people set standards that are way too high. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 Your worst case for China is 90m? This is the reason why the OS run looks disappointing, people set standards that are way too high.Same can be said about people predicting a second coming from TDKR. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted July 15, 2012 Author Share Posted July 15, 2012 MIB3 just did over 80M there... 90M for TASM shouldn't be a problem at all, even if it is opening against TDKR. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 MIB3 just did over 80M there... 90M for TASM shouldn't be a problem at all, even if it is opening against TDKR.I agree/hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rudolf Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 We all understated the reboot effect. It's a mistake we now have learned from!all those little OS-people going gaga over seeing colourful pictures in 3D telling the same story again Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 all those little OS-people going gaga over seeing colourful pictures in 3D telling the same story againIt is not the same story. The Amazing Spider-Man is as much the same story from Raimi's Spider-Man as Batman Begins is the same story from Burton's Batman, regardless how you spin that fact. The WOM for this is strong because it's a film at gathered people so much passionated for this project that they pulled off one of the best superhero films yet, and pardon me Rudolf, but since The Avengers run I think you are clearly out of touch about what makes a good superhero film. The Amazing Spider-Man is living up to its title, and regardless how people try to spin it, it's an astounding success. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theultimatebiu Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 Fact is I was saying $1bn for TASM was not a possibility and many of you dismissed me as crazy. I saw $700M-$800M OS being tossed around as that was the absolute minimum it could do.TDKR will hurt it next weekend and the Olympics will kill it the weekend after. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
