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KeepItU25071906

Thursday RPO 3,52

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Edited by KeepItU25071906
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7 minutes ago, EarlyDeadlinePredictions said:

Yikes at TR drop. Its bleeding theaters this weekend as well. 

 

Tomb Raider Warner Bros. 1,673 -1,115 -40.0%

So is SG, PRU, Wrinkle, Simon 

 

the drop is normal from its wednesday numbers. SG dropped from 1.26 million. TR had 581K. 

Edited by svenson
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Tuesday-Wednesday drops last week -> this week, for last week's top 7 on Wed:

Black Panther:          29.1 -> 16.2

Pacific Rim:              47.1 -> 26.7

I Can Only Imagine:  30.2 -> 19.8

Sherlock Gnomes:     32.9 -> 17.0

Wrinkle in Time:       27.5 -> 18.1

Tomb Raider:           39.9 -> 24.3

Love, Simon:            23.3 -> 13.5

 

Not sure why, but it looks like Wednesday was inflated. With that in mind, it makes sense that drops are bigger on Thursday.

Edited by Ephemeris
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Mendelson with the early Black Panther number:

Quote

With around $1.3 million on Thursday and a new domestic total of $656.921m on day 49, Black Panther could (and probably will) cross the $659.363m lifetime gross of Titanic (counting the reissues but not accounting for inflation) on its 50th day to become the third-biggest domestic grosser of all time.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2018/04/06/box-office-today-may-be-the-day-black-panther-sails-past-titanic/#3587bddf7835

 

So that's between $1,297,121-1,298,120 to be exact, based on that 656.921 number.

7.1-7.2% drop from Wednesday.

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2 hours ago, Ephemeris said:

Tuesday-Wednesday drops last week -> this week, for last week's top 7 on Wed:

Black Panther:          29.1 -> 16.2

Pacific Rim:              47.1 -> 26.7

I Can Only Imagine:  30.2 -> 19.8

Sherlock Gnomes:     32.9 -> 17.0

Wrinkle in Time:       27.5 -> 18.1

Tomb Raider:           39.9 -> 24.3

Love, Simon:            23.3 -> 13.5

 

Not sure why, but it looks like Wednesday was inflated. With that in mind, it makes sense that drops are bigger on Thursday.

giphy.gif

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38 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

38.8% Thr-Thr drop.  Last Thursday was very strong for AWiT, as were the weekdays, so this might just be reverting to mean.


---
 

I mentioned Tomorrowland late last night for a reason.  I wanted to see what AWiT's final totals would be if it followed TL's weekly drops exactly from this point on.

 

TL's Weekly Drops, spoilered:

 

Spoiler
Date
(click to view chart)
Rank Weekly
Gross
%
Change
Theaters / Change Avg. Gross-to-Date Week
#
May 22–28 1 $49,385,651 - 3,972 - $12,433 $49,385,651 1
May 29–Jun 4 4 $19,828,327 -59.9% 3,972 - $4,992 $69,213,978 2
Jun 5–11 7 $10,976,435 -44.6% 3,012 -960 $3,644 $80,190,413 3
Jun 12–18 9 $5,496,887 -49.9% 2,540 -472 $2,164 $85,687,300 4
Jun 19–25 10 $3,425,716 -37.7% 1,764 -776 $1,942 $89,113,016 5
Jun 26–Jul 2 16 $1,544,514 -54.9% 354 -1,410 $4,363 $90,657,530 6
Jul 3–9 17 $647,260 -58.1% 297 -57 $2,179 $91,304,790 7
Jul 10–16 22 $313,322 -51.6% 192 -105 $1,632 $91,618,112 8
Jul 17–23 28 $228,689 -27.0% 192 - $1,191 $91,846,801 9
Jul 24–30 24 $424,024 +85.4% 217 +25 $1,954 $92,270,825 10
Jul 31–Aug 6 26 $337,910 -20.3% 202 -15 $1,673 $92,608,735 11
Aug 7–13 28 $233,791 -30.8% 187 -15 $1,250 $92,842,526 12
Aug 14–20 32 $177,282 -24.2% 157 -30 $1,129 $93,019,808 13
Aug 21–27 38 $120,504 -32.0% 133 -24 $906 $93,140,312 14
Aug 28–Sep 3 42 $107,561 -10.7% 120 -13 $896 $93,247,873 15
Sep 4–10 46 $119,719 +11.3% 103 -17 $1,162 $93,367,592 16
Sep 11–17 50 $68,730 -42.6% 96 -7 $716 $93,436,322 17

 

Turns out, I get 98.809m if it follows TL's weekly drops exactly.

 

AWiT has beaten TL's weekly drops each and every single week so far (this week that just ended has about a 33.9% drop for AWiT versus TL's 49.9% drop).  Doesn't mean it will continue to do so. Especially since TL had an good Week 5 drop and AWiT is coming off a strong post-Easter week. But it's a sign that 100m is NOT off the table quite yet for AWiT.  It just needs to have slightly better drops/holds than TL.  The sooner the better for it.

 

...

 

Or Disney can leave it in theaters for eight more weeks to get that last 1.2m.  :lol:

@CoolEric258 @MovieMan89

Edited by Porthos
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3 hours ago, Ephemeris said:

Mendelson with the early Black Panther number:

https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2018/04/06/box-office-today-may-be-the-day-black-panther-sails-past-titanic/#3587bddf7835

 

So that's between $1,297,121-1,298,120 to be exact, based on that 656.921 number.

7.1-7.2% drop from Wednesday.

:jeb!:BP says screw your drop 

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