spizzer Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Needs around 440m to overtake FOTR and Potter1, but to get over spidey it will need a TDKish run, 560m+ to reach 70m tickets sold.Yeah, I think it can hit FOTR and Potter 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eldenfirefly Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 So, if this movie does over 400m, and so does TA, TH, and TDKR, then wouldn't that be some kind of record? That's like four movies with over 400m within a single year?!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 So, if this movie does over 400m, and so does TA, TH, and TDKR, then wouldn't that be some kind of record? That's like four movies with over 400m within a single year?!!!The current record is two and that was 2009. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 For the record, TDK managed a 3.68 multiplier without midnights from a similar OW, despite being a sequel and having a record breaking OW. I think 3.0 is pretty reasonableNo doubt, if twi-trud 1 can get a 3.10 without midnights, this is headed for a 3.0+ with ease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 If you want to be more accurate though, it was 2010, that had the tail end of Avatar's run making over $450m as well as TS3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 No doubt, if twi-trud 1 can get a 3.10 without midnights, this is headed for a 3.0+ with ease.That did have Christmas though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Wow seriously? Granted the film has opened spectacularly but surely people aren't still expecting this to gross over 400m. This massive OW just means the film will be front loaded. I'm thinking a total of 330-340m. If it hit 350m that would be outstanding as it will have sold more tickets than DH2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 So, if this movie does over 400m, and so does TA, TH, and TDKR, then wouldn't that be some kind of record? That's like four movies with over 400m within a single year?!!!all four will reach 400m, it would have been three but then THG came along breakout style. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 That did have Christmas though.it did ok over christmas but twi-turd films are historically dead by that time, heck twi-turd 1 even managed to drop over christmas wknd, and new years wknd, talk about front-loaded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Wow seriously? Granted the film has opened spectacularly but surely people aren't still expecting this to gross over 400m. This massive OW just means the film will be front loaded. I'm thinking a total of 330-340m. If it hit 350m that would be outstanding as it will have sold more tickets than DH2. What amazes me is your continued denial. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 (edited) EDIT Edited March 25, 2012 by spizzer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Totem Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Potter + Twilight + New fans = ridiculous new franchise. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pieman Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Nothing is currently a lock for 400 millionI doubt the Avengers will and i have a sense that Hunger Games will drop poorlyHobbit and DKR are really close though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 TDKR is a lock for $400m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 (edited) Hobbit and TDKR are locks. Hobbit with a 45% 3D share (putrid) and 38% admissions drop from Fellowship will STILL hit 400M flat. This about as locked as a film can be for 400M. Edited March 25, 2012 by spizzer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poseidon Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 it did ok over christmas but twi-turd films are historically dead by that time, heck twi-turd 1 even managed to drop over christmas wknd, and new years wknd, talk about front-loaded.Twilight actually had the best drop over the christmas weekend in 2008 and by far the best drop over the new year weekend and overall had amazing late christmas-legs.Just saying... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Wow seriously? Granted the film has opened spectacularly but surely people aren't still expecting this to gross over 400m. This massive OW just means the film will be front loaded. I'm thinking a total of 330-340m. If it hit 350m that would be outstanding as it will have sold more tickets than DH2.2.3 multiplier without midnights? Not even the Twilight films did that bad. The November openers are consistently about 2.6, and even the weakest Potters were around 2.8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ariadne Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 This is by far the most amazing OW I've experienced since I started following the box office. Wow.These numbers are crazy awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eldenfirefly Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 (edited) Ok 400m carries a lot of prestige. Only 1 HP movie which was the finale and none of the twilight series managed that. And 450m is even in more hallowed ground. You can literally count on one hand the number of movies which did 450m or higher. I would be over the moon already if it did 400. 450m is ... Hard to contemplate at this point. Edited March 25, 2012 by Eldenfirefly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magic Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Ok 400m carries a lot of prestige. Only 1 HP movie which was the finale and none of the twilight series managed that. And 450m is even in more hallowed ground. You can literally count on one hand the number of movies which did 450m or higher. I would be over the moon already if it did 400. 450m is ... Hard tocontemplate at this point. DH2 made 381M domestically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
