spizzer Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 (edited) I'll consider 400M a lock (as in definite) if the weekend estimates hold. Can't see why it shouldn't. WOM doesn't seem like its going to be toxic for this. Edited March 25, 2012 by spizzer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 It will be as amazing as THG breaking out if it happens.Yeah but can we have two miracles in one year I think not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 The word 'lock' means absolutely nothing on these forums.True shit. The reality has showed us many times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 I'll consider 400M a lock (as in definite) if the weekend estimates hold. Can't see why it shouldn't. WOM doesn't seem like its going to be toxic for this.Again, not at all. Depends on how naturally frontloaded it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 (edited) Also this would be the 4th or 5th best selling film by admissions on a opening weekend.Number 1 is TDK 173 million Adjusted.Spidey 3: 172 millionDMC: 162 millionSpiderman 1: 155 milionSo it will be the 4th or 5th best selling film in terms of tickets sold not 3rd....however...If it stays over 150 million and personally I think 153 million is the min now...It is a bigger opener then DH2, but also comparable to the "legendary" openers of the past decade.http://boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/?adjust_yr=2012&p=.htm Edited March 25, 2012 by Lordmandeep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Also this would be the 4th or 5th best selling film by admissions on a opening weekend.Number 1 is TDK 173 million Adjusted.Spidey 3: 172 millionDMC: 162 millionSpiderman 1: 155 milionSo it will be the 5th best selling film in terms of tickets sold not 3rd....however...If it stays over 150 million and personally I think 153 million is the min now...It is a bigger opener then DH2, but also comparable to the "legendary" openers of the past decade.I'm pretty sure Spiderman 3 sold more tickets than TDK on opening weekend. TDK had IMAX and skews older (pricier tickets). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Yeah but can we have two miracles in one year I think notI guess best case is that we can see the OW record broken 2 times this year. TA and TDKR both taking down DH2 while THG and TH1 destroying the March and December record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Again, not at all. Depends on how naturally frontloaded it is.Even if it is as frontloaded as the last two Potter films (which this OW clearly indicates its not), it's still headed for 380 million. For what it's worth, I'm going to make the assumption that a non-sequel film with no competition for the next few weeks and some spring break holds next week is going to have at least marginally better legs than the 8th and final film of a frontloaded franchise whose midnights comprised of over a quarter of its gross. This is hitting 400M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 I could be wrong but i think TA is not going to break any records. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 (edited) "I'm pretty sure Spiderman 3 sold more tickets than TDK on opening weekend. TDK had IMAX and skews older (pricier tickets)."I think it did but I have had this battle for 4 years and you just cannot convince the TDK fans..."I could be wrong but i think TA is not going to break any records."It has a decent shot at biggest Saturday and that is about it.Meaning it could pull off a opening weekend similar to Spiderman 3.A large Friday like 60-65 million and remember this is 3D.So IM2 Friday adjusted + 3D puts this around 60 million.Considering the nature of the film and that the biggest Saturadays come from May, it will likley get around 50 million or so Saturday. Edited March 25, 2012 by Lordmandeep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 I'm pretty sure Spiderman 3 sold more tickets than TDK on opening weekend. TDK had IMAX and skews older (pricier tickets).I think its just a hell of a lot easier to stick with the average ticket price.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Ok, so the number didn't go up when I went to get food and it still hasn't gone up since.People of North America, you have 9 hours until I wake up to drive that number $2m higher!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 (edited) Even if it is as frontloaded as the last two Potter films (which this OW clearly indicates its not), it's still headed for 380 million.No, $350m (assuming a $155m opening weekend). Edited March 25, 2012 by Elessar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 I'll consider 400M a lock (as in definite) if the weekend estimates hold. Can't see why it shouldn't. WOM doesn't seem like its going to be toxic for this.400 mill is far from locked... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Even if it is as frontloaded as the last two Potter films (which this OW clearly indicates its not), it's still headed for 380 million. For what it's worth, I'm going to make the assumption that a non-sequel film with no competition for the next few weeks and some spring break holds next week is going to have at least marginally better legs than the 8th and final film of a frontloaded franchise whose midnights comprised of over a quarter of its gross.This is hitting 400M.I agree with this. There are no main competition in the next weeks. Big factor this is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 I think 350 million is a safe floor for now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 True shit. The reality has showed us many times. Very true.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Ok, so the number didn't go up when I went to get food and it still hasn't gone up since.People of North America, you have 9 hours until I wake up to drive that number $2m higher!!Give them time to revise it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 It's time for Puerto Rico to step in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewy Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 It's time for Puerto Rico to step in. To what end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...