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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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Posted by Shawn Robbins,

PSA:   As a heads up to everyone, we'll be starting a new thread here very soon. For those who are newer to the forum, we typically have to split threads once they reach 1,000+ pages and are still highly active. In the past, such topics have created database slowdown issues that affect the entire forum.   Rest assured, this thread will be archived when it is locked and a link to the new one will be posted to help you find it easily (it will also be pinned to the top of the box o
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Posted by XXR & Friends,

Yea we're gonna drop all this non tracking stuff. That expressly means you, @excel1. Next post from you that isn't tracking related is a thread ban.    Anyone else continues, it's points. 

We're all tired of the non-tracking related thread derailments. This is your fair warning.

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katnisscinnaplex Box Office Gold

katnisscinnaplex

Posted
Posted
On 4/27/2022 at 10:19 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

Format breakdown

 

Day Movie Format Shows New* Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-8 Doctor Strange 2 PLF 58 375 5,974 11,808 50.59% $15.79 $94,319.43
    Standard 100 374 4,606 12,822 35.92% $11.99 $55,232.26
  DS 2 Total   158 749 10,580 24,630 42.96% $14.14 $149,551.69
T-9 DS 2 (Fri) PLF 86 628 4,594 17,872 25.71% $15.96 $73,332.50
    Standard 148 486 2,887 20,804 13.88% $12.25 $35,370.60
  DS 2 (Fri) Total   234 1,114 7,481 38,676 19.34% $14.53 $108,703.10

 

Matinee breakdown

 

Day Movie Mat Shows New* Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-8 Doctor Strange 2 N 116 551 8,729 17,847 48.91% $14.67 $128,048.34
    Y 42 198 1,851 6,783 27.29% $11.62 $21,503.35
  DS 2 Total   158 749 10,580 24,630 42.96% $14.14 $149,551.69
T-9 DS 2 (Fri) N 111 825 6,341 18,427 34.41% $15.03 $95,299.11
    Y 123 289 1,140 20,249 5.63% $11.76 $13,403.99
  DS 2 (Fri) Total   234 1,114 7,481 38,676 19.34% $14.53 $108,703.10

 

*New sales since Saturday

 

Thursday T-8 comps

 - Spider-Man - .688x (34.39m)

 - Batman + EA - missed

 

Friday T-9 comps

 - Spider-Man - .592x (42.64m)

Santikos Tracking

 

Format breakdown

 

Day Movie Format Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-42 JW3 PLF 30 361 361 6,386 5.65% $17.35 $6,262.12
    Standard 75 131 131 10,359 1.26% $11.67 $1,529.26
  JW3 Total   105 492 492 16,745 2.94% $15.84 $7,791.38
T-7 DS 2 PLF 58 189 6,163 11,808 52.19% $15.76 $97,112.99
    Standard 100 284 4,890 12,822 38.14% $11.96 $58,479.14
  DS 2 Total   158 473 11,053 24,630 44.88% $14.08 $155,592.13
T-8 DS 2 (Fri) PLF 86 295 4,802 17,872 26.87% $16.00 $76,823.82
    Standard 148 302 3,189 20,784 15.34% $12.16 $38,789.19
  DS 2 (Fri) Total   234 597 7,991 38,656 20.67% $14.47 $115,613.01

 

Matinee breakdown

 

Day Movie Mat Shows New Sold True Cap % Sold ATP Gross
T-42 JW3 N 84 445 445 13,676 3.25% $16.41 $7,303.44
    Y 21 47 47 3,069 1.53% $10.38 $487.94
  JW3 Total   105 492 492 16,745 2.94% $15.84 $7,791.38
T-7 DS 2 N 116 329 9,058 17,847 50.75% $14.62 $132,429.68
    Y 42 144 1,995 6,783 29.41% $11.61 $23,162.45
  DS 2 Total   158 473 11,053 24,630 44.88% $14.08 $155,592.13
T-8 DS 2 (Fri) N 111 386 6,727 18,417 36.53% $15.00 $100,927.72
    Y 123 211 1,264 20,239 6.25% $11.62 $14,685.29
  DS 2 (Fri) Total   234 597 7,991 38,656 20.67% $14.47 $115,613.01

 

*Had a typo in one matinee PLF show for DS2 Friday yesterday that inflated new sales by 87*

 

Thursday T-7 comps

 - Spider-Man - .704x (35.17m)

 - Batman - 3.218x (56.63m)

 - Batman + EA - 2.852x (61.59m)

 

Friday T-8 comps

 - Spider-Man - .619x (44.58m)

 - Batman - 2.76x (96.6m)

 

Numbers run a few hours later than normal so they'll be a little inflated

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 1702 3886 43.80%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 1286 3859 33.32%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
8541 293 41834 20.42% 15 293

 

AMCs sold 4960
Cinemarks sold 1442
Regals sold 1198
Harkins sold 941

 

0.604x NWH T-8 (30.20M)

 

0.986x Batman Final (21.29M)

0.369x NWH Final (18.44M)

1.92x Eternals Final (18.23M)

2.12x Shang-Chi Final (18.63M)

1.34x Black Widow Final (17.72M)

Doctor Strange 2 Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 1739 3886 44.75%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 1328 3859 34.41%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
8843 302 41737 21.19% 15 291

 

AMCs sold 5089
Cinemarks sold 1500
Regals sold 1282
Harkins sold 972

 

2.05x Batman T-7 (44.37M)

0.612x NWH T-7 (30.59M)

 

1.02x Batman Final (22.05M)

0.382x NWH Final (19.09M)

1.99x Eternals Final (18.87M)

2.19x Shang-Chi Final (19.29M)

1.39x Black Widow Final (18.35M)

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Megaplex

 

T-8 Thursday(191 showings): 9494(+398)/47158

0.482x NWH T-8 (24.09M)

 

0.885x Batman Final (19.12M)

0.290x NWH Final (14.48M)

 

T-9 Friday(289 showings): 5705(+322)/73523

0.389x NWH T-9 (27.97M)

 

0.521x Batman Final (18.23M)

0.185x NWH Final (13.28M)

 

T-10 Saturday(292 showings): 3398(+229)/72730

0.404x NWH T-10 (29.83M)

 

0.310x Batman Final (13.40M)

0.111x NWH Final (8.21M)

 

T-11 Sunday(265 showings): 850(+64)/67700

0.427x NWH T-11 (27.39M)

Doctor Strange 2 Megaplex

 

T-7 Thursday(191 showings): 9937(+443)/47158

1.95x Batman T-7 (42.07M)

0.493x NWH T-7 (24.67M)

 

0.927x Batman Final (20.01M)

0.303x NWH Final (15.15M)

 

T-8 Friday(289 showings): 6105(+400)/73523

2.43x Batman T-8 (85.16M)

0.402x NWH T-8 (28.95M)

 

0.557x Batman Final (19.51M)

0.197x NWH Final (14.21M)

 

T-9 Saturday(292 showings): 3604(+206)/72730

2.68x Batman T-9 (116.00M)

0.405x NWH T-9 (29.93M)

 

0.329x Batman Final (14.21M)

0.118x NWH Final (8.71M)

 

T-10 Sunday(265 showings): 946(+96)/67700

3.12x Batman T-10 (106.59M)

0.444x NWH T-10 (28.50M)

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted (edited)
On 4/27/2022 at 5:48 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Drafthouse

 

T-8 Thursday(248 showings): 18334(+586)/35172 ATP: $15.24

0.704x NWH T-8 (35.21M)

 

0.859x Batman Final (18.55M)

0.472x NWH Final (23.62M)

 

T-9 Friday(305 showings): 16642(+656)/44535 ATP: $15.10

0.712x NWH T-9 (51.22M)

 

0.575x Batman Final (20.14M)

0.390x NWH Final (28.06M)

 

T-10 Saturday(312 showings): 17390(+710)/45729 ATP: $14.54

0.763x NWH T-10 (56.38M)

 

0.500x Batman Final (21.64M)

0.346x NWH Final (25.55M)

 

T-11 Sunday(284 showings): 8923(+451)/41859 ATP: $14.30

0.749x NWH T-11 (48.09M)

Doctor Strange 2 Drafthouse

 

T-7 Thursday(248 showings): 19371(+1037)/35172 ATP: $15.25

1.78x Batman T-7 (38.40M)

0.733x NWH T-7 (36.67M)

 

0.908x Batman Final (19.60M)

0.499x NWH Final (24.96M)

 

T-8 Friday(305 showings): 17402(+760)/44535 ATP: $15.07

1.61x Batman T-8 (69.66M)

0.728x NWH T-8 (56.36M)

 

0.602x Batman Final (21.06M)

0.408x NWH Final (29.34M)

 

T-9 Saturday(312 showings): 18191(+801)/45729 ATP: $14.52

1.69x Batman T-9 (73.00M)

0.772x NWH T-9 (57.05M)

 

0.523x Batman Final (22.64M)

0.362x NWH Final (26.72M)

 

T-10 Sunday(284 showings): 9499(+576)/41859 ATP: $14.28

1.95x Batman T-10 (66.62M)

0.756x NWH T-10 (48.50M)

 

Not gonna count Jurassic World until tomorrow. Probably at around the 24 hour of sales mark

Edited by Inceptionzq
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XXR & Friends Global Phenomenon

XXR & Friends

Posted
Posted

True Friday Tracking -- 15 Alpha Theaters in Various Markets (331 Screens)

April 29, 2022 Openers - Counted Thursday @ 4PM CST 

 

 

 

Memory

69 show times -- 229 total seats sold -- 0 PLF seats sold -- 229 regular seats sold 

Type Breakdown: 0% PLF -- 100% Regular 

Theater Estimates: ~2555

 

Comp: Father Stu (0.987x = $1.661M True Friday)

 

 

Full Friday Estimate: $850-950K
Opening Weekend Estimate: $2.4-2.8M

 

 

Spoiler

Comments 

Looking at various trackers, it seems like previews for Memory will be in the $150-175K range. Using that number and applying it to the Blacklight ratio gives us around $820K FF and $2.25M OW. I think it'll do a bit better than that since Blacklight came out on SB Weekend, but not much better. 

 

 

Notes 
PLF = IMAX, Dolby Cinema, AMC Prime 
Regular = Digital, Subtitled, Non-English Language, Close Captioned 

3D = Real 3D 



Theaters Tracked 

AMC Disney Springs 24 (Orlando, FL)
AMC Empire 25 (New York City, NY)
AMC Gulf Pointe 30 (Houston, TX) 
AMC DINE-IN Grapevine 30 (Dallas, TX)
AMC Southlake 24 (Atlanta, GA)
AMC Boston Commons 19 (Boston, MA)
AMC Town Square 18 (Las Vegas, NV)
AMC Elmwood Palace 20 (New Orleans, LA)
AMC Indianapolis 17 (Indianapolis, IN)
AMC Century City 15 (Los Angeles, CA)
AMC South Barrington 24 (Chicago, IL)
AMC Barrywoods 24 (Kansas City, MO)
AMC River Park Square 20 (Spokane, WA)
AMC Council Bluffs 17 (Omaha, NE)
AMC Quail Spring 24 (Oklahoma City, OK)

 

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Menor the Destroyer Summer Tentpole

Menor the Destroyer

Posted
Posted
20 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Drafthouse

 

T-7 Thursday(248 showings): 19371(+1037)/35172 ATP: $15.25

1.78x Batman T-7 (38.40M)

0.733x NWH T-7 (36.67M)

 

0.908x Batman Final (19.60M)

0.499x NWH Final (24.96M)

 

T-8 Friday(305 showings): 17402(+760)/44535 ATP: $15.07

1.61x Batman T-8 (69.66M)

0.728x NWH T-8 (52.38M)

 

0.602x Batman Final (21.06M)

0.408x NWH Final (29.34M)

 

T-9 Saturday(312 showings): 18191(+801)/45729 ATP: $14.52

1.69x Batman T-9 (73.00M)

0.772x NWH T-9 (57.05M)

 

0.523x Batman Final (22.64M)

0.362x NWH Final (26.72M)

 

T-10 Sunday(284 showings): 9499(+576)/41859 ATP: $14.28

1.95x Batman T-10 (66.62M)

0.756x NWH T-10 (48.50M)

 

Not gonna count Jurassic World until tomorrow. Probably at around the 24 hour of sales mark

Wtf happened with Thursday here lol. I did a double take reading that jump. Were there some large group sales?

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charlie Jatinder Global Phenomenon

charlie Jatinder

Posted
Posted
6 hours ago, Porthos said:

but I want to point out that since pre-sales for JWD will be over twice as long as FK's, even Day 1 adj will take a bit of a hit.  49 days of pre-sales versus 23 just isn't an apples-to-apples comparison even when looking at the D1 fan rush.

I understand all that but still need to see it. Please make it happen.

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, Menor Reborn said:

It's 42 days right? Not 49? Unless I have something completely messed up here. 

 

No, you're right.  I was just going off of someone complaining earlier in the thread about "50 days of pre-sales for JW3" and hadn't bothered to make an exact count of days when I made my earlier post.

 

Still, 42 is nearly twice as many as 23, the point mostly stands even with that slight fact checking error.

Edited by Porthos
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Eric is Quiet Global Phenomenon

Eric is Quiet

Posted
Posted
On 4/27/2022 at 11:55 PM, Eric is a furry said:

Doctor Strange 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 245 11176 46437 24.07%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 388

 

Comp

0.626x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-8 (31.31M)

1.938x of The Batman T-8 (41.86M)

Doctor Strange 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 1 245 11833 46437 25.48%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today: 1

Total Seats Sold Today: 657

 

Comp

0.644x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-7 (32.22M)

1.980x of The Batman T-7 (42.76M)

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Eric is Quiet Global Phenomenon

Eric is Quiet

Posted
Posted

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-42 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 119 535 20377 2.63%

 

Comp

1.911x of F9's First Day of Sales (13.57M)

0.656x of Black Widow's First Day (8.66M)

1.049x of Shang-Chi's First Day (9.23M)

2.336x of Venom 2's First Day (27.1M)

0.703x of Eternals' First Day (6.68M)

 

@Brainbug the Dinosaur These comps are meaningless lol, but better than nothing. 🙃

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