The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Brainbug]

Listen people. If i can be patient regarding Dominions presales and if i can actually not freak out about the possibility that its sales could look weak right now ...

 

Then everyone can do that.

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

8 minutes ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:

Listen people. If i can be patient regarding Dominions presales and if i can actually not freak out about the possibility that its sales could look weak right now ...

 

Then everyone can do that.

[Porthos]

23 minutes ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:

Listen people. If i can be patient regarding Dominions presales and if i can actually not freak out about the possibility that its sales could look weak right now ...

 

Then everyone can do that.

 

Brainbug's Post, Translated:

 

[Menor the Destroyer]

Running some pace checks and I see Harkins is starting to add new shows again. Probably the big burst will soon be upon us.

 

Good luck to all the manual trackers. 

[Inceptionzq]

On 5/1/2022 at 4:39 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1880

3886

48.38%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1473

3859

38.17%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
9992	421	41862	23.87%	15	291

 

AMCs sold	5627
Cinemarks sold	1744
Regals sold	1521
Harkins sold	1100

 

1.98x Batman T-4 (42.77M)

0.637x NWH T-4 (31.87M)

Doctor Strange 2 Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1946

3886

50.08%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1565

3859

40.55%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
10812	820	42457	25.47%	15	302

 

AMCs sold	5925
Cinemarks sold	1897
Regals sold	1740
Harkins sold	1250

 

1.98x Batman T-3 (42.69M)

0.660x NWH T-3 (33.02M)

[Inceptionzq]

On 5/1/2022 at 4:46 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Megaplex

 

T-4 Thursday(192 showings): 11668(+711)/47249

2.01x Batman T-4 (43.48M)

0.534x NWH T-4 (26.72M)

 

T-5 Friday(289 showings): 7791(+692)/73523

2.28x Batman T-5 (79.66M)

0.456x NWH T-5 (32.80M)

 

T-6 Saturday(292 showings): 4864(+492)/72730

2.57x Batman T-6 (111.10M)

0.446x NWH T-6 (32.95M)

 

T-7 Sunday(265 showings): 1301(+176)/67700

2.87x Batman T-7 (98.05M)

0.494x NWH T-7 (31.68M)

Doctor Strange 2 Megaplex

 

T-3 Thursday(207 showings): 12812(+1144)/49305

1.98x Batman T-3 (42.74M)

0.560x NWH T-3 (28.00M)

 

T-4 Friday(310 showings): 8875(+1084)/76922

2.11x Batman T-4 (73.89M)

0.487x NWH T-4 (35.02M)

 

T-5 Saturday(298 showings): 5684(+1000)/71940

2.49x Batman T-5 (107.56M)

0.470x NWH T-5 (34.73M)

 

T-6 Sunday(277 showings): 1542(+241)/67700

2.83x Batman T-6 (96.59M)

0.526x NWH T-6 (33.79M)

[Inceptionzq]

On 5/1/2022 at 4:51 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Doctor Strange 2 Drafthouse

 

T-4 Thursday(248 showings): 21918(+899)/35172 ATP: $15.20

1.71x Batman T-4 (37.01M)

0.786x NWH T-4 (39.28M)

 

T-5 Friday(305 showings): 20498(+1078)/44535 ATP: $14.99

1.52x Batman T-5 (53.06M)

0.782x NWH T-5 (56.22M)

 

T-6 Saturday(312 showings): 21873(+1407)/45729 ATP: $14.45

1.54x Batman T-6 (66.44M)

0.819x NWH T-6 (60.51M)

 

T-7 Sunday(284 showings): 12428(+1298)/41859 ATP: $14.25

1.80x Batman T-7 (61.32M)

0.818x NWH T-7 (52.53M)

Doctor Strange 2 Drafthouse

 

T-3 Thursday(280 showings): 23187(+1269)/38307 ATP: $15.17

1.66x Batman T-3 (35.87M)

0.812x NWH T-3 (40.60M)

 

T-4 Friday(364 showings): 22137(+1639)/50659 ATP: $14.91

1.45x Batman T-4 (50.81M)

0.814x NWH T-4 (58.53M)

 

T-5 Saturday(369 showings): 23540(+1667)/51910 ATP: $14.43

1.45x Batman T-5 (62.73M)

0.841x NWH T-5 (62.15M)

 

T-6 Sunday(331 showings): 13690(+1262)/46838 ATP: $14.26

1.64x Batman T-6 (56.11M)

0.837x NWH T-6 (53.75M)

[Brainbug]

Guys i think Doctor Strange will be a hit. 

[CJohn]

23 minutes ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:

Guys i think Doctor Strange will be a hit. 

You know what doesn't look like a hit? Dominion.

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, CJohn said:

You know what doesn't look like a hit? Dominion.

 

3 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

 

 

Spoiler

Feeling like I might get a lot of use out of this pic in the coming weeks. 

 

[ZackM]

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	662	6	35	24	0
Seats Added	64,909	1,591	2,235	4,102	0
Seats Sold	27,969	19,401	11,275	12,346	12,413
5/2/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	430	8,151	424,360	1,289,430	32.91%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	10	94	451	1,091	1,845
ATP
$16.34

 

 

For comps I've added a "Net" column which is basically just a comprehensive comp based on every ticket tracked and every dollar earned.

 

Dr. Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Comps
	Spider-Man: No Way Home		The Batman		Net
	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted
D0	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-0	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-1	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-2	-	-	-	-	-	-
T-3	$32.1	$35.9	$35.3	$31.8	$33.0	$34.6
T-4	$31.1	$34.9	$35.8	$32.0	$32.4	$34.0
T-5	$30.4	$34.2	$35.7	$31.8	$31.9	$33.5
T-6	$30.2	$34.0	$35.9	$31.9	$31.7	$33.3
T-7	$29.9	$33.5	$35.9	$31.9	$31.5	$33.0
T-8	$29.5	$33.0	$35.5	$31.5	$31.1	$32.6

 

Edited May 3, 2022 by ZackM

[ZackM]

Also should note that NWH sales go berserk starting at T-2, so it will be interesting to see if DS2 can keep pace the way it has the last 5ish days.

[Menor the Destroyer]

6 minutes ago, ZackM said:

Also should note that NWH sales go berserk starting at T-2, so it will be interesting to see if DS2 can keep pace the way it has the last 5ish days.

NWH Tuesday was Atom deal inflated but it's Wed bump wasn't that huge because of it, things should normalize

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

So should we put more stock into the NWH comp or The Batman comp? 🤔

[Menor the Destroyer]

2 minutes ago, MultiverseXXR said:

So should we put more stock into the NWH comp or The Batman comp? 🤔

MCU comp will be better for MCU. Batman was strong in Alpha but weaker in other chains. 

[Eric Prime]

23 hours ago, Eric Strange said:

Doctor Strange 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	245	13420	46437	28.90%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 751

 

Comp

0.659x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-4 (32.94M)

1.936x of The Batman T-4 (41.82M)

Doctor Strange 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	257	14410	47783	30.16%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 990

 

Comp

0.673x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-3 (33.64M)

1.849x of The Batman T-3 (39.93M)

[Eric Prime]

23 hours ago, Eric Strange said:

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-39 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	130	871	23332	3.73%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 51

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-38 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	130	900	23332	3.86%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 29

[Porthos]

On 5/2/2022 at 12:04 AM, Porthos said:

 

Jurassic World Dominion Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-39 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	167	22418	23503	1085	4.62%

 

Total Showings Added Today	4
Total Seats Added Today	678
Total Seats Sold Today	52

 

Day 4 Comps

	%		Sold Day 4	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9:	186.11		34	583		0/92	13400/13983	4.17%		4407	23.80%		13.84m
GBA:	344.44		40	315		0/108	16380/16695	1.89%		3034	35.76%		15.50m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Jurassic World Dominion's current tickets sold versus that final number.

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during F9's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP***
JW3 = 0.9572x JW2 at the same sources of tracking on Day 4 [13.18m adj]
JW3 = 1.95319x KotM at the same sources of tracking on Day 4 [11.07m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 10% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2018/19 to 2022.

Regal:     160/5924  [2.70% sold]
Matinee:    52/1537  [3.38% | 4.79% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

Final day of comps for a few weeks, as we enter the "flying blind" period.

 

Jurassic World Dominion Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-38 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	167	22386	23503	1117	4.75%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

32

 

Regal:     164/5924  [2.77% sold]
Matinee:    52/1537  [3.38% | 4.66% of all tickets sold]

 

[Porthos]

On 5/2/2022 at 12:06 AM, Porthos said:

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	353	28327	42680	14353	33.63%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

844

 

T-4 Comps - SOME COMPS BETTER THAN OTHERS EDITION

	%		Sold T-4	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH:	69.94		774	20522		1/325	18598/39120	52.46%		28183	50.93%		34.97m
Batsy:	238.38		368	6021		0/297	30769/36790	16.37%		11757	122.08%		51.49m

PRE-SALE NOTE: Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness tickets have been on sale for twelve more days than No Way Home's tickets had been on sale at this point in pre-sales, and eight more days than The Batman's main showings had been on sale.

 

Multiverse of Madness has sold...

	Final Sold	% of Final	Est Gross
BW:	9196	156.08%	21.57
SC:	5847	245.48%	21.60
LTBC:	7712	186.11%	21.59
ET:	6409	223.95%	21.28
NWH:	28183	50.93%	25.46
Batsy:	11757	122.08%	26.37

 

Regal:     3261/11027  [29.57% sold]
Matinee:    993/4632  [21.44% | 6.92% of all tickets sold]

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	368	28239	43629	15390	35.27%

 

Total Net Showings Added Today	15
Total Net Seats Added Today	949
Total Seats Sold Today	1037

 

T-3 Comps - SOME COMPS BETTER THAN OTHERS EDITION

	%		Sold T-3	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH:	71.76		925	21447		1/340	18316/39763	53.94%		28183	54.61%		35.88m
Batsy:	227.36		748	6769		0/324	31752/38521	17.57%		11757	130.90%		49.11m

PRE-SALE NOTE: Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness tickets have been on sale for twelve more days than No Way Home's tickets had been on sale at this point in pre-sales, and eight more days than The Batman's main showings had been on sale.

 

Multiverse of Madness has sold...

	Final Sold	% of Final	Est Gross
BW:	9196	167.36%	23.13
SC:	5847	263.21%	23.16
LTBC:	7712	199.56%	23.15
ET:	6409	240.13%	22.81
NWH:	28183	54.61%	27.30
Batsy:	11757	130.90%	28.27

 

Regal:     3506/11177  [31.37% sold]
Matinee:    1053/4552  [23.13% | 6.84% of all tickets sold]

[charlie Jatinder]

51 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	368	28239	43629	15390	35.27%

 

Total Net Showings Added Today	15
Total Net Seats Added Today	949
Total Seats Sold Today	1037

 

T-3 Comps - SOME COMPS BETTER THAN OTHERS EDITION

	%		Sold T-3	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH:	71.76		925	21447		1/340	18316/39763	53.94%		28183	54.61%		35.88m
Batsy:	227.36		748	6769		0/324	31752/38521	17.57%		11757	130.90%		49.11m

PRE-SALE NOTE: Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness tickets have been on sale for twelve more days than No Way Home's tickets had been on sale at this point in pre-sales, and eight more days than The Batman's main showings had been on sale.

 

Multiverse of Madness has sold...

	Final Sold	% of Final	Est Gross
BW:	9196	167.36%	23.13
SC:	5847	263.21%	23.16
LTBC:	7712	199.56%	23.15
ET:	6409	240.13%	22.81
NWH:	28183	54.61%	27.30
Batsy:	11757	130.90%	28.27

 

Regal:     3506/11177  [31.37% sold]
Matinee:    1053/4552  [23.13% | 6.84% of all tickets sold]

so we have passed $35M in Sacramento against NWH comps. Nice. Final may suggest like $40M may be. 

BTW NWH actual THU is $51M.