Brainbug Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 9 minutes ago, Taruseth said: I did I guess. The feather forecast for next weekend is crazy. 30+°C Almost everywhere on Saturday and Sunday and in at least half on Friday too and even Thursday is just a bit below. I guess that will hurt solo even more. Well, atleast not here in Hesse. The weather from today till Saturday looks to be as grey and rainy as possible 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 Wow, I knew we do not have school holidays at the same time, but I forgot how strongly the holidays differ especially from Mai to September https://www.schulferien.org/ For the interested, click right or left (left or right 'switch/butttom of the mouse ... does not matter) on the chart without letting loose the 'Taste' / mouse and move it left or right and you can see earlier or later times in the year Or use the drop down menue (upper right corner) to choose a month School holidays for some other European countries are there to find too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 4 hours ago, Brainbug said: Well, atleast not here in Hesse. The weather from today till Saturday looks to be as grey and rainy as possible What? Wetteronline says weather on Thursday will be rainy, but really good on Saturday and Sunday like everywhere else. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 1 hour ago, Taruseth said: What? Wetteronline says weather on Thursday will be rainy, but really good on Saturday and Sunday like everywhere else. My weather forecast said rainy till Friday and that Saturday will have atleast a small chance of beeing rainy as well with Sunday promised to be sunny. Altough sometimes these forecasts change several times a day so maybe tomorrow it will look the same as yours. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 22, 2018 Share Posted May 22, 2018 1 minute ago, Brainbug said: My weather forecast said rainy till Friday and that Saturday will have atleast a small chance of beeing rainy as well with Sunday promised to be sunny. Altough sometimes these forecasts change several times a day so maybe tomorrow it will look the same as yours. I hope the weather doesn't get that good. 25°C are enough 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted May 23, 2018 Share Posted May 23, 2018 SW in Germany in admissions SW VII 9,06M SW I 8,97M (around 8M in its original run) SW IV 8,02M (4,6M) SW VIII 5,87M SW II 5,7M SW III 5,62M SW V 5,05M (3,9M) SW VI 5,05M (4,1M) RO 3,99M Solo 2,5M-3M? In gross: SW VII €102,6M SW VIII €69,4M SW I €59,6M RO €44,9M SW II €37,8M SW III €37,6M SW IV ~€34,5M Solo ~€30M? SW V €21,2M SW VI ~€20M It's pretty much asured Solo becomes the lowest SW-movie in admissions... 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Parr Posted May 23, 2018 Share Posted May 23, 2018 Yeah, that's basically a given. It won't have the opening of Rogue One, nor holidays to boost its legs. Add the possibility of good weather and things look even worse. Doesn't seem really surprising to me though. Apart from the issues mentioned above, this movie also comes out pretty quickly after the last one, and it isn't really something that people just have to see. Not sure what's really worse though, that a Star Wars movie will (very likely) lose out to a comic book movie, or that the most hyped MCU-movie ever will still not be that far ahead of a a Star Wars spin-off that is basically an afterthought... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted May 23, 2018 Share Posted May 23, 2018 Any expectations for Solo? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 23, 2018 Author Share Posted May 23, 2018 Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Deadpool 2 661.078 694 953 731.916 6.860.711 - 1 2 Avengers - Infinity War 184.810 659 280 2.954.274 33.423.208 -56 4 3 Truth or Dare 84.224 389 217 254.656 2.161.711 -32 2 4 I Feel Pretty 56.474 415 136 192.046 1.617.801 -33 2 5 Rampage 56.154 505 111 211.046 2.093.590 -54 2 6 Jim Knopf & Lukas, … 44.964 736 61 1.383.483 9.768.258 -49 8 7 Liliane Susewind - Ein … 44.281 602 74 157.213 1.038.922 -53 2 8 Sherlock Gnomes 19.349 485 40 114.439 822.681 -59 3 9 C'est quoi cette famille?! 18.553 224 83 35.937 229.909 - 1 10 Deadpool 16.424 126 130 26.512 175.910 - 1 11 Isle of Dogs 14.723 112 131 57.324 419.755 -38 2 12 3 Tage in Quiberon 12.436 302 41 223.610 1.790.891 -42 6 13 Early Man 11.846 550 22 172.377 1.129.118 -64 4 14 A Quiet Place 11.761 275 43 354.916 3.086.12 -48 6 15 Blockers 10.972 220 50 356.832 2.927.446 -51 6 16 Lady Bird 9.355 167 56 157.601 1.220.359 -42 5 17 The Bookshop 9.180 116 79 29.535 245.212 -33 2 18 Maria by Callas 8.807 73 121 10.685 86.520 - 1 19 Ready Player One 5.943 168 35 613.943 6.597.739 -57 7 20 Peter Rabbit 5.564 298 19 1.474.958 9.858.507 -61 9 A rather boring weekend - everything performed according to expectations minus 10%. Deadpool 2 opened lower than the first one; still very successful for a SH movie. Next weekend: With Solo there's the next big opener in line. Weather should be a big factor but it should open at least as high as Deadpool2, hopefully a bit higher (1mil seem impossible though). 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manny1234 Posted May 23, 2018 Share Posted May 23, 2018 Infinity War gonna hit 3 million admissions soon. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 23, 2018 Share Posted May 23, 2018 9 hours ago, Aristis said: SW in Germany in admissions SW VII 9,06M SW I 8,97M (around 8M in its original run) SW IV 8,02M (4,6M) SW VIII 5,87M SW II 5,7M SW III 5,62M SW V 5,05M (3,9M) SW VI 5,05M (4,1M) RO 3,99M Solo 2,5M-3M? In gross: SW VII €102,6M SW VIII €69,4M SW I €59,6M RO €44,9M SW II €37,8M SW III €37,6M SW IV ~€34,5M Solo ~€30M? SW V €21,2M SW VI ~€20M It's pretty much asured Solo becomes the lowest SW-movie in admissions... I hope it gets to 3M, I really do. 4 hours ago, manny1234 said: Infinity War gonna hit 3 million admissions soon. It already did, Monday was a national Holiday (Pentecost) and Tuesday was a bridge day for most schools. 4 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said: Next weekend: With Solo there's the next big opener in line. Weather should be a big factor but it should open at least as high as Deadpool2, hopefully a bit higher (1mil seem impossible though). You think Solo opens higher than Deadpool 2, I am honestly no longer sure that is going to happen. The showings at the local cinemas look awful, basically nothing for shows that already started. I start to fear this film might open to just 500k (~5.5M € ~$6.5M) (Yep that is worse than the OD of TFA). 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted May 23, 2018 Share Posted May 23, 2018 2 minutes ago, Taruseth said: The showings at the local cinemas look awful, basically nothing for shows that already started. I start to fear this film might open to just 500k (~5.5M € ~$6.5M) (Yep that is worse than the OD of TFA). At my cinema, it looks absolutely horrendous. Ganz, ganz mies. Though i should note that Deadpool 2 (strangely) didnt look very good either last week and that had a very solid opening. So maybe people are just not going to the cinema in my area... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 23, 2018 Share Posted May 23, 2018 On 25.12.2017 at 2:09 AM, Taruseth said: What do you see TLJ finishing with? and I noticed something really interesting at the local cinema: Presales for 25th: 393 26th: 401 27th: 482 (Probably the Carrie Fisher effect) I didn't thought the 27th might be that strong. That were presales for TLJ... Though at the cinema the 27th was really really strong (the 20:15 show sold ~500 ticket (600 seats) Solo has 107 tickets sold for tomorrow it's opening Day But honestly I haven't bought a ticket either, because I am not interested in the slightest (might still see it) and okay I normally don't go on OW (TLJ was the only film I ever did, wait I Zootopia and Inside Out I went on OW too) for SW it needs to be between the years. And I doubt Solo will still be in theaters then. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted May 23, 2018 Share Posted May 23, 2018 (edited) 14 hours ago, George Parr said: ..., nor holidays to boost its legs.... Thursday next week is Fronleichnam in Bayern, Baden-Württemberg, Hessen, Nordrhein-Westfalen, Saarland, and Rheinland-Pfalz = public holiday in states with a high population count, and as it is a Thursday often a lot of ppl take Friday as a bridgeday holiday This week school holidays in Nordrhein-Westfalen, not helping legd, but maybe a bit helping for the OW This week and next week in Bayern, and Baden-Württemberg. Nothing helping for the 3 weeks after those, but maaayyybe a small very late boost starting 25./28. June, when in some of the not named states the summer school holiday will start But yes, the weather might be way too good for even a middleground (in general) BO weekend Edited May 23, 2018 by terrestrial 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 Solo presales for the weekend: Thursday: 122 Friday: 128 Saturday: 124 Sunday: 44 total 418 that should be the number for today... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted May 24, 2018 Author Share Posted May 24, 2018 16 hours ago, Taruseth said: You think Solo opens higher than Deadpool 2, I am honestly no longer sure that is going to happen. The showings at the local cinemas look awful, basically nothing for shows that already started. I start to fear this film might open to just 500k (~5.5M € ~$6.5M) (Yep that is worse than the OD of TFA). yep, doesn't look too good at my theater either; the best selling show is the OV (undubbed); probably students - other shows max 40% even in the evening, afternoon zilch. Crazy for this franchise ... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 I always use wetter.de which often shows much nicer weather than wetter.com (and the truth is mostly in the middle). There the weekend is predicted to be sunny everywhere in Germany. Solo starts in 730 theaters and the reviews are good, but not overwhelming (on par with the US reviews). In one region, Rhein and Ruhr, Solo was significantly leading (250%) this afternoon in comparison with DP 2 last Thursday, but in this state are school holidays. In mathäser the previews yesterday and the shows today didn't/don't look bad, ca. as good as the reservations for DP 2 last week but also with holidays here in Bavaria. But maybe more people are actually come watching as it was the case with DP 2 last Thursday. By the way, several members reported not too good weather in their regions today and here in Bavaria it rained till now but at the moment it's getting ligher. Still, the weather today shouldn't be a problem. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 (edited) Mark_G sees 550k/2.2M admissions OW for Solo, the Drebins (also admins or something like that) see 725k/2.8M total. The Rhein and Ruhr report showed Solo slightly in front of DP 2s last Thursday (around 10% better). DP 2 had an ok hold with a drop under 50% today and Avengers: IW stayed flat compared to last Thursday. The estimates of the whole country saw DP 2 now on its second weekend in front of Solo (93.5k to 88.5k) but last week these estimates were much too high for DP 2. Still, that Solo number isn't something to be glad about. And the South-West report which was pretty reliable last Thursday counted today for Solo 1.753 admissions in the selected theaters and for DP 2 1.542 admissions (last Thursday 3.183 which was on par with the first Deadpool movie). So overall Solo and DP 2 in its second week seem to do pretty similar today. And that means that Solo struggles and will stay far under Rogue One. Mark_G sees a drop of 60% (the Drebins ca. 50%) for A: IW but it looked quite good for that movie in the reports today. How it does on the sunny weekend is another question but today it held quite well especially with Solo released. Edited May 24, 2018 by el sid 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IceFire9yt Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 (edited) IW staying flat from last Thursday seems ridiculously good. Are there mitigating factors around that number? Edited May 24, 2018 by IceFire9yt Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted May 24, 2018 Share Posted May 24, 2018 RO had 220k OD, ~90k for Solo would mean about 60% drop... Maybe actuals will be better (...) or it'll get to just 400k-500k OW and 2M would be in danger... $6,5M OW and $25M cume seem optimistic Spoiler That seems very low and if actuals will be better we can celebrate that... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...