IndustriousAngel Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 2nd estimates a bit up for the leader: #1: 50SoG2 - 1.000k (incl. previews), still a letdown #2: Lego Batman - 250k (so sad) #3: Split - 150k (-40%) #4: LaLaLand - 105k (-35%) #5/6: Wendy - 80k (-35%) BlindDate - 80k (-30%, terrific drop for a date movie against 50S) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FantasticBeasts Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 1m OW a letdown? Come on guys that's huge! It was expected to decline from the first one.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FantasticBeasts Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 If I remember well 2016 had only 1 +1m OW... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted February 11, 2017 Author Share Posted February 11, 2017 1 hour ago, FantasticBeasts said: If I remember well 2016 had only 1 +1m OW... 2016 was the year without blockbusters ... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FantasticBeasts Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 43 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said: 2016 was the year without blockbusters ... Still 1m OW feels a BIG opening. I can't see how it is a let down when a SW movie debuted with that figure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 2 hours ago, FantasticBeasts said: Still 1m OW feels a BIG opening. I can't see how it is a let down when a SW movie debuted with that figure. FSD has 1 day more than SW, but still 1M would be big (the first one had huge hype, this seems to have much less now). If MarkG had it correczly yesterday that would be about 800k for the weekend, don't know if that can be true though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted February 11, 2017 Share Posted February 11, 2017 4 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said: 2nd estimates a bit up for the leader: #1: 50SoG2 - 1.000k (incl. previews), still a letdown #2: Lego Batman - 250k (so sad) #3: Split - 150k (-40%) #4: LaLaLand - 105k (-35%) #5/6: Wendy - 80k (-35%) BlindDate - 80k (-30%, terrific drop for a date movie against 50S) FSOG up and Lego down? I could cry What's wrong with Germans? ... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted February 12, 2017 Author Share Posted February 12, 2017 final weekend estimates: #1: 50SoG2 - 1.025k (incl. Wed) #2: Lego Batman - 260k (at least it doesn't drop again) #3: Split - 165k (-35%, good) #4: LaLaLand - 110k (-30%) #5: Wendy - 85k (-35%) #6: BlindDate - 80k (-30%, very good) 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted February 12, 2017 Share Posted February 12, 2017 Vaiana (60k/-37%) and Sing (27,5k/-44%) with bigger drops than the last couple of weeks. But with Lego as a main competitor it's not that bad. Vaiana should cross 1,9M - it will cross 2M soon and probably 2,1M. That would be a 13x multipler from its 160k OW! Split crosses 800k! A real success. 1M will happen soon. La La Land will be near 1M already, a great success too. Hopefully Batman will reach 1M too 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted February 12, 2017 Author Share Posted February 12, 2017 4 hours ago, Aristis said: Hopefully Batman will reach 1M too Well, The Lego Movie made 1,3mil admissions from a similar weekend so I take that as a given, but really I was hoping for more like 2mil total and that seems near impossible. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted February 13, 2017 Share Posted February 13, 2017 (edited) John Wick 2 starts here on Thursday and I just wanted to say that the reservations look good so far. In fact, they look like the reservations other films in the past weeks had on release date! Hopefully this trend continues :). By the way the reviews here are good or very good so far and it gets an age rating (of) 18 which is rare in Germany but no problem if a film is popular (e.g. Expendables 1 & 2 had the same). John Wick in January 2015 had 170k OW (with previews) and a total of 430k admissions. Edited February 13, 2017 by el sid 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted February 14, 2017 Share Posted February 14, 2017 On 18/1/2017 at 9:26 PM, Giesi said: So what are everybody's predictions for the top hits of 2017? Will SW8 be without a doubt the #1 film? Is BatB the first Disney life-action remake to really break out? Can Pirates 5 stop the downward spiral of oblivion? Didn't Alice in Wonderland break out ($1.025B)? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted February 14, 2017 Author Share Posted February 14, 2017 Germany's Top20 last weekend: title admissions th. PTA total adm. total € drop week 1 Fifty Shades of Grey 2 847.356 712 1.190 1.054.571 9.841.804 - 1 2 The LEGO Batman Movie 258.369 535 483 258.369 2.104.479 - 1 3 Split 161.360 498 324 840.333 7.205.490 -34 3 4 La La Land 111.181 539 206 1.002.654 8.717.711 -31 5 5 Wendy 86.474 640 135 458.564 2.974.406 -32 3 6 Mein Blind Date mit dem Leben 80.590 374 215 443.584 3.601.643 -31 3 7 Moana 63.750 586 109 1.914.730 14.726.801 -33 8 8 Rings 51.115 311 164 173.448 1.529.930 -50 2 9 Hidden Figures 50.568 144 351 169.483 1.315.006 -15 2 10 Timm Thaler oder Das verkaufte Lachen 46.621 560 83 154.188 1.014.652 -38 2 11 Demain tout commence 37.777 352 107 834.849 6.818.307 -46 6 12 Kundschafter des Friedens 37.433 185 202 217.624 1.710.529 -27 3 13 Resident Evil 6 37.269 452 82 275.056 3.057.654 -49 3 14 xXx 3 32.495 397 82 566.526 6.220.17 -60 4 15 Sing 29.800 375 79 2.347.810 18.517.353 -39 10 16 Passengers 27.877 267 104 1.190.997 12.156.768 -50 6 17 The Space Between Us 26.384 167 158 30.322 251.932 - 1 18 Monster Trucks 26.034 297 88 147.625 1.123.218 -44 3 19 A Streetcat Named Bob 25.565 375 68 279.243 2.167.396 -34 5 20 Manchester by the Sea 21.340 107 199 161.939 1.367.021 -25 4 Of course, a very strong weekend, but both wide openers did worse than I hoped. On the other hand, holdovers dropped less than anticipated! LaLaLand has now crossed 1mil admissions, excellent for a musical and with the academy awards on thze horizon I don't see it dropping off the map anytime soon. Among holdovers, Hidden Figures shines with its PTA - a slight expansion would be nice! Split was very stable, too - a real success. Next weekend: Sequel weekend - John Wick 2 and Trainspotting 2 are the most prominent openers, while FSoG2 will stay on top. Maybe JW2 can open around 200k admissions, the first one was well received so I can see such an increase (though I was thinking the same for The Lego Batman Movie and look where that ended … ugh). 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giesi Posted February 14, 2017 Share Posted February 14, 2017 4 hours ago, Quigley said: Didn't Alice in Wonderland break out ($1.025B)? We're posting in the German subforum, and I wouldn't call Alice a breakout with less than 3m admissions back in 2010. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted February 16, 2017 Share Posted February 16, 2017 (edited) The Thursday estimates (insidekino.de/forum): New Releases: John Wick 2: 47k (starts in 495 theaters, so almost 200 theaters more than the first one had, good or very good reviews, nice WOM already) – would be a strong start if this number holds! T2 Trainspotting: 7.5k (312, good reviews) Schatz, nimm Du sie!: 1.5k (the German remake of the French hit „Papa ou Maman“, 221, pretty modest reviews) Fences: 1k (107, ok to very good reviews) Recep Ivedik 5: 14.5k (100, the biggest start of a Turkish film ever in Germany, no reviews) Elle: 4k (94, very good reviews) My Life as a Zucchini: ?k (65, very good reviews) Holdovers: Fifty Shades Darker: 70k (140k) – not a bad hold but it was overestimated last Thursday so take it with a grain of salt Split: 10k (18k) La La Land: 13k (15k) Mein Blind Date mit dem Leben: 7k (8k) Rings: 2k (4.5k) Edited February 16, 2017 by el sid 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted February 16, 2017 Author Share Posted February 16, 2017 Very good start for John Wick 2! Rather worse than expected for Trainspootting 2 ... my personal have-to-watch movie among this week's releases is My Life as a Zucchini - I'm a stop motion addict - but as usual such films get lost somewhere between careless marketing and stupid programming and, generally speaking, zero interest from distributor as well as theaters. Non-kid-animation is a complete no-go in Germany and Austria As to the hold of 50SoG2, the first one had a much better hold than expected, so I don't expect this one to crumble either. But with Valentine's day now past, repeat viewings will decline steeply and I guess it will be dropping a bit harder than the first one. 3mil total are still in play, though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted February 17, 2017 Author Share Posted February 17, 2017 First weekend estimates from insidekino.de: #1: 50SoG2 - 550k admissions (-35%, really good) #2: JW2 - 300k (incl. some previews, still excellent) #3: Recep Idevik 5 - 175k (best start for a turkish film) #4: LegoBatman - 140k (-45%) #5: Split - 95k (-40%) Trainspotting2 : 75k Like part 1, 50SoG2 is holding better than anticipated. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted February 17, 2017 Share Posted February 17, 2017 (edited) Some Thursday actuals (source: Blickpunkt:Film): #1 50SD: 90k (!) - so even better than estimated, I'm really surprised #2 John Wick 2: 35k – meh compared to the estimate yesterday but of course still a good number #3 Recep Ivedik 5: 19k #4 Split: 10.5k -> should have around 95k admissions this weekend according to insidekino.de #5 The Lego Batman Movie: 11k whole day – not the hold I hoped for; the last Thursday's actual number was 25k … Trainspotting: 10k Elle: 4k Schatz, nimmm Du sie!: 3k The first trend sees La La Land with another 80k moviegoers this weekend, again a good hold (had 111k last weekend). 50SD is doing too well in my view but at least I will help John Wick 2 in the evening :). Edited February 17, 2017 by el sid 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted February 17, 2017 Author Share Posted February 17, 2017 The saddest number ist that from Lego Batman ... I really had hopes for that movie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zackzack Posted February 18, 2017 Share Posted February 18, 2017 Can JW2 hit more than $5M? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
