BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

[George Parr]

Apart from the Germany game on late Sunday the games on the weekend don't look all that interesting. Combine that with worse weather (or better, depending on how you look at it ) and the weekend might not look as horrible as one could think. Without a really big start the weekend might not end up looking all that impressive, but at least some of the holds - especially for family movies - could be quite decent.

[IndustriousAngel]

On 7.6.2016 at 7:10 PM, IndustriousAngel said:

 Pride and Prejudice and Zombies. Won't become a smash hit but who knows? Top3 might be possible!

Considering todays opening night I have to rephrase that ... Top10 might be possible

[George Parr]

First trend is available, though clearly to be taken with a grain of salt for obvious reasons:

 

Warcraft 130k (-43%)

Alice "chance for 100k" (- ~30%)

Angry Birds 70k (-28%)

The Nice Guys 60k  (-23/47% depending on whether you count previews or not)

Money Monster 55k (-28%)

 

http://www.insidekino.com/News.htm

 

The drops aren't completely horrible, but it's just a vague trend so far. The total will be really low though.

 

 

[IndustriousAngel]

Thanks for posting, was in the mountains ... Nice Guys hold actually looks good. I hope it can become something like a sleeper "hit" but probably not.

[Aristis]

2. Trend

Warcraft 125k -46% with at least 950k it should get to €12M ($13,5M)

AiW 100k -28%

AB 70k -28%

TNG 50k -56% (w. previews/ -37% without)

MM 45k -42%

X-Men 45k -48%

 

P&P&Z 25k

Edited June 11, 2016 by Aristis

[Aristis]

3. Trend

Everything went down, Warcraft now at 115k (-50%)

[IndustriousAngel]

meh, just depressing

[ttr]

3. Trend

Everything went down, Warcraft now at 115k (-50%)

How are AiW and AB?

[Aristis]

19 minutes ago, ttr said:

How are AiW and AB?

AiW 90k (-35%)

AB 65k (-33%)

[el sid]

 

It seems like every film improved a little bit:

#1 Warcraft: 125k/955k (-46%, better than I thought. I mean it is in its third weekend and the target audience is very similar to the EM-football-fans so I expected a drop around 60-70%).
#2 Alice 2: 95k/540 (-32%)
#3 Angry Birds: 77.5k/1.200k (-20%)

#4 Money Monster: 47.5k/300

#5 The Nice Guys: 45k/185k
#6 X-Men-Apocalypse: 45k/675k

 

 

Edited June 13, 2016 by el sid

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Warcraft	124.326	653	190	954.320	10.943.054	-46	3
2	Alice 2	98.465	567	174	538.093	5.196.623	-29	3
3	Angry Birds	78.112	744	105	1.203.666	9.085.493	-20	5
4	Money Monster	47.339	518	91	304.154	2.528.397	-39	3
5	The Nice Guys	46.110	516	89	185.828	1.435.090	-42	2
6	X-Men - Apocalypse	44.913	518	87	676.015	7.253.026	-48	4
7	Atrapa la bandera	27.518	316	87	33.975	246.743	-	1
8	Neighbors 2	24.703	323	76	768.717	6.227.096	-38	6
9	Vor der Morgenröte	21.879	77	284	59.208	460.104	-7	2
10	Flaskepost fra P	18.548	127	146	32.958	228.377	-	1
11	The Jungle Book	17.585	384	46	1.760.001	16.882.865	-21	9
12	Secret in Their Eyes	13.659	106	129	21.966	158.481	-	1
13	Rico, Oskar und der Diebstahlstein	12.069	462	26	297.417	1.811.489	-0	7
14	Captain America - Civil War	11.833	233	51	1.698.515	18.916.259	-48	7
15	Pride and Prejudice and Zombies	9.573	173	55	24.643	153.740	-	1
16	Zootopia	9.540	309	31	3.687.924	30.007.771	-35	15
17	Seitenwechsel	6.829	200	34	29.208	232.253	-58	2
18	Le Goût des merveilles	6.735	162	42	529.427	3.891.080	-16	14
19	Comme un avion	5.557	148	38	47.155	342.081	-24	4
20	Tomorrow - Die Welt ist voller Lösungen	4.743	78	61	13.891	100.571	-5	2

What a depressing weekend …

 

Next weekend: The Conjuring 2 should attract some business, maybe even enough to beat Warcraft. The other wide opener is Central Intelligence - while there's definitely room for some silly comedy, I doubt its potential. Overall business will stay poor despite rainy weather.

[Aristis]

Zootopia has crossed €30M now and on Sunday it crossed DM2, too, by 385 admissions

[Giesi]

It sucks that we have to wait another 3 1/2 months for Finding Dory 

[Aristis]

1 hour ago, Giesi said:

It sucks that we have to wait another 3 1/2 months for Finding Dory 

We have IA5 this month

[Giesi]

5 minutes ago, Aristis said:

We have IA5 this month

Edited June 16, 2016 by Giesi

[Aristis]

1. Trend is no Trend

 

After there were 27,3M visitors following football yesterday the Thursday numbers don't say anything trustable.

 

But Conjuring was 15% over Central Intellgence -  a Trend for the Weekend? Or frontloadness?

 

Warcraft passed 1M admissions (12th movie to do so this year)

[el sid]

And Mark_G from insidekino has the feeling - which means he predicts - that both The Conjuring 2 and CI will exceed expectations. The predictions were 130k for the Conjuring 2 and 150k for CI.
The actual Thursday numbers below are also a little indicator that both films will do better than predicted.
And the expected multiplier (from insidekino) is nearly 4 for both films (total = 4x this weekend+previews).

Central Intelligence started in 491 theaters and The Conjuring 2 in 339 theaters.

The actual numbers from yesterday/Thursday were:

 

The Conjuring 2: 16k
Central Intelligence: 14k

Demoltion: <1k

 

Warcraft: 5k (last Thursday: 20k, but no reason to worry considering the circumstances)
Alice 2: 5k (10k).

PS: If somebody may wonder why I don't post something in the following days: I'm on holiday for the next two weeks. I will look here as often as I can but it's a place (in Italy) with a very bad connection.
See you :).

Edited June 17, 2016 by el sid

[Giesi]

1 hour ago, el sid said:

And Mark_G from insidekino has the feeling - which means he predicts - that both The Conjuring 2 and CI will exceed expectations. The predictions were 130k for the Conjuring 2 and 150k for CI.
The actual Thursday numbers below are also a little indicator that both films will do better than predicted.
And the expected multiplier (from insidekino) is nearly 4 for both films (total = 4x this weekend+previews).

Central Intelligence started in 491 theaters and The Conjuring 2 in 339 theaters.

The actual numbers from yesterday/Thursday were:

 

The Conjuring 2: 16k
Central Intelligence: 14k

Demoltion: <1k

 

Warcraft: 5k (last Thursday: 20k, but no reason to worry considering the circumstances)
Alice 2: 5k (10k).

PS: If somebody may wonder why I don't post something in the following days: I'm on holiday for the next two weeks. I will look here as often as I can but it's a place (in Italy) with a very bad connection.
See you :).

Have a wonderful and less stressful time, Italy is always a great place to be on vacation.

[IndustriousAngel]

With first Friday numbers, Conjuring2 should be a very safe #1

[el sid]

5 hours ago, Giesi said:

Have a wonderful and less stressful time, Italy is always a great place to be on vacation.

Thank you very much! I'll do my very best :).

 

The Friday estimates (surprisingly good):

Central Intelligence: 64k
The Conjuring 2: 65k
 

Warcraft: 21k (not bad)

Money Monster: 20k (!)

Alice 2: 13.5k
The Nice Guys: 9k
X-Men: 7.5k