el sid Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 (edited) It's almost unbelievable but the weather today/this week was still fine and not cold. What's up with this month please? ;). But as Aristis mentioned it won't stay like this the whole weekend. These are the Thursday estimates (via insidekino.de forum): New releases: Dory: 52.5k evening only – promising (not stellar but overall good reviews; starts in 762 theaters) War Dogs: 7.5k (ok to good reviews; 240 theaters) The Infiltrator: 1k (ok to very good reviews; 100 theaters) Holdovers: The Magnificent Seven: 13.5k - an ok hold (last Thursday actuals: 22k and sadly not 29k as estimated) Bad Moms: 27k (!) (25k) Snowden: 6.5k (10.5k) SMS für Dich: 10k (19k) Purge 3: 5.5k (14 k) Tschick: 7k (12.5k) Nerve: 3.5k (6.5k) DB: 3.5k (5k) Edit: The actuals were: Dory: 80k Bad Moms: 23k Mag 7: 15k SMS: 12k War Dogs: 10k Edited September 30, 2016 by el sid 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 (edited) 1 Trend: InsideKino really predicts 1M first weekend for Dory!!! That's great and with probably bad weather ahead - and if it's not frontloaded - I think that's reasonable. I'm happy 1M would be - by far - the best start of the year and the Million Opener among Animation since 2012 (IceAge4) Bad Moms 175k (-8%/-34%) Mag7 110k (-10%) SMS 100k (-6%) War Dogs 80k Edited September 30, 2016 by Aristis 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted September 30, 2016 Author Share Posted September 30, 2016 Great estimates even if the drops seem a bit on the optimistic side (remeber the last weekends ...) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 43 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said: Great estimates even if the drops seem a bit on the optimistic side (remeber the last weekends ...) Maybe he already included the weather in his estimates? I really hope it doesn't disappoint again and turns out to be better than expected... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 We'll need an animated opening weekend chart if possible with the ranking of Dory. Thanks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 Great for Dory, $1B WW seems locked Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 (edited) 8 hours ago, Quigley said: We'll need an animated opening weekend chart if possible with the ranking of Dory. Thanks. I did not find a list so I made this one. I think I have the biggest Openers though. Rank Admissions Cinemas Average Year Movie 1 2.395.588 1.061 2.258 2006 Ice Age 2 (FOX) 2 2.032.136 1.004 2.024 2003 Nemo (BV) 3 1.670.397 754 2.215 2007 The Simpsons Movie (FOX) 4 1.475.967 841 1.755 2008 Madagascar 2 (U) 5 1.465.302 794 1.845 2002 Ice Age (FOX) 6 1.457.891 861 1.693 2009 Ice Age 3 (FOX) 7 1.273.707 888 1.434 2004 Shrek 2 (UIP) 8 1.226.475 834 1.471 2005 Madagascar (UIP) 9 1.106.059 820 1.349 2012 Ice Age 4 (FOX) 10 1.086.897 633 1.717 1996 Werner - Das muß kesseln (NCO) 11 1.049.479 712 1.474 2000 Pokemon (WB) 12 1.004.885 861 1.167 2007 Shrek 3 (U) 13 1.000.000 762 1.312 2016 Dory (BV) 14 983.777 258 3.813 1994 The Lion King (FOX) Source: http://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/DBOStartrekord.htm Edited October 1, 2016 by Aristis 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 (edited) 2nd Trend Dory 1M Bad Moms 210k (+10%/-20%) M7 110k (-10%) SMS 100k (-6%) War Dogs 90k The Purge 75k (-31%) Tschick 75k (+9%) Snowden 60k (-14%/-32%) Nerve 55k (-39%) Don't Breathe 40k (-31%) Pets 40k (-26%) Great drops! Great for Dory and really bad weather here Edited October 1, 2016 by Aristis 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 59 minutes ago, Aristis said: 2nd Trend Dory 1M Bad Moms 210k (+10%/-20%) M7 110k (-10%) SMS 100k (-6%) War Dogs 90k The Purge 75k (-31%) Tschick 75k (+9%) Snowden 60k (-14%/-32%) Nerve 55k (-39%) Don't Breathe 40k (-31%) Pets 40k (-26%) Great drops! Great for Dory and really bad weather here is this 1m including 3/10, in which is a holiday? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 1 minute ago, titanic2187 said: is this 1m including 3/10, in which is a holiday? No. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted October 1, 2016 Share Posted October 1, 2016 39 minutes ago, titanic2187 said: is this 1m including 3/10, in which is a holiday? No, it's just the weekend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted October 2, 2016 Author Share Posted October 2, 2016 (edited) Final trend lower for Dory (825k ... strange, wouldn't have thought this frontloaded - still a good number of course) Edited October 2, 2016 by IndustriousAngel 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cynosure Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 It's just following the usual trend at this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted October 2, 2016 Share Posted October 2, 2016 (edited) That's true in regard to Dory but following this "rule" the numbers would have to go up tomorrow ;). At least the rest improved: Bad Moms: 215k Mag 7: 110k SMS: 100k War Dogs: 95k The Purge 3: 80k Snowden: 70k Tschick: 65k Nerve: 65k Pets: 50k Don't Breathe: 45k Frantz: 25k War Dogs does better than predicted and the holds are really fine. Edited October 2, 2016 by el sid 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndustriousAngel Posted October 3, 2016 Author Share Posted October 3, 2016 In Austria, Dory had >100k admissions Fri-Sun, very good opening. Interesting that Dory didn't hurt other family stuff that much, Pets had a very nice hold from last weekend as in Germany. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Parr Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Insidekino now has the estimates for the weekend: 1) Finding Dory 875k 2) Bad Moms 230k 3) Magnificient 7 120k 4) War Dogs 105k 5) SMS 100k 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 2 hours ago, George Parr said: Insidekino now has the estimates for the weekend: 1) Finding Dory 875k 2) Bad Moms 230k 3) Magnificient 7 120k 4) War Dogs 105k 5) SMS 100k Great for holdovers, still good for Dory. Will have holidays to push its multipler. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Agafin Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 Good opening for Dory. Can it get a multi above 5? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Parr Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 I think it would be rather disappointing if it didn't. Zootopia did it, Ice Age as well, Pets should at least get very close to it. October will see quite a few states have holidays again, that should help as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aristis Posted October 3, 2016 Share Posted October 3, 2016 (edited) Dorie 875 Moms 230 +21% G7 120 -2% SMS 100 -6% War Dogs 100/105 Purge III 90 -17% Snowden 75 +7% Nerve 72,5 -17% Tschick 70 +1% Pets 57,5 +6% Don't Breathe 50 -14% Frantz 25 Conni 25 +11% Squad 20 -30% Pets increased too - even if it faced Dory. It's a pity that this weekend is so good but is down compared to 2015 But today seems to be great - I read that some family movies made as much as for the entire weekend (Pete's dragon for example) I wonder how much Dory makes... Edited October 3, 2016 by Aristis 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
