brazil Brazil Box Office Thread

[Flamengo81]

Will give an update soon tonight

[Flamengo81]

On 7/6/2023 at 8:30 PM, Flamengo81 said:

“Barbie” Greater Salvador Region tracking: T-14

 

SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS	SEATS SOLD	PCT. SOLD
43	10433	1859	17.82%

 

SEATS SOLD IN THE PAST 2 DAYS

580

 

COMPS T-14 x T-01:

The Little Mermaid – 2.063x

The Flash – 2.999x (5.32M)

Into The Spiderverse – 2.882x (5.07M)

Guardians of The Galaxy Vol.3 – 1.855x (5.77M)

Fast X – 1.905x (9.52M)

 

 

Well... What about two full weeks more to go? lol

 

How high can this thing go? I think it's in the kind of performance where there is simply no ceilling to it and the momentum could carry it to historic levels. I imagined it would definitely generate some hype at the opening weekend and perform really good for a Greta Gerwig movie, but at this point this is doing all time numbers just based on opening alone even if it collapses after that with bad reception (which is certainly possible).

“Barbie” Greater Salvador Region tracking: T-09

 

SHOWINGS	TOTAL SEATS	SEATS SOLD	PCT. SOLD
46	11744	3823	32.55%

 

SEATS SOLD IN THE PAST 5 DAYS

1964

 

COMPS T-09

The Little Mermaid – 18.379x

The Flash – 20.335x (36.40M)

Into The Spiderverse – 22.356x (39.35M)

Fast X – 16.622x (83.11M)

 

COMPS T-09 x T-01:

The Little Mermaid – 4.243x

The Flash – 6.146x (11M)

Into The Spiderverse – 5.927x (10.43M)

Guardians of The Galaxy Vol.3 – 3.815x (11.87M)

Fast X – 3.917x (19.58M)

 

 

Just let that sink in...

 

 

 

Note: Added "normal" comps since it's now entering the final stage of the cycle and to give a notion about the pace of this pink monster.

Note 2: In contrast to many other markets, this is getting PLFs around here. No IMAX, but IMAX in Brazil are not too many and make just a small share of PLF screens in it's totality.

Edited July 12, 2023 by Flamengo81

[ZattMurdock]

5 hours ago, ThatWaluigiDude said:

For the brazilian poster of Blue Beetle they made sure to put Bruna Marquezine's name on it, alongside Xolo. Her being in the movie is being used as a main selling point by Warner.

 

It’s wild how Blue Beetle is one of the most watched and liked WB trailers of the year. Bruna Marquezine. Her power. Glad to know and be confident that regardless of what happens, Blue Beetle and hopefully Bruna are playing the long game in the DCU.

[JustLurking]

These brazil comps are downright hilarious

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

I know it's impossible, not least because of capacity constraints, but that Fast X T-9 comp is actually similar to the Fast X comp DOM in USD (R$83.11M = $17.12M) 

[Flamengo81]

13 hours ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

is actually similar to the Fast X comp DOM in USD (R$83.11M = $17.12M) 

[ZattMurdock]

A cyclone is hitting Brazil starting with Rio Grande do Sul and going up in the upcoming days, I feel like moviegoing might be heavily affected by that, at very least in the South and Southeast states.

[ThatWaluigiDude]

On 7/4/2023 at 5:26 PM, ThatWaluigiDude said:

BARBIE, NATAL T-16

 

T-16 Cinemark: 6 showings, 1826 seats, 347 sold (19%)

T-16 Cinepolis: 8 showings, 1292 seats, 260 sold (20.12%)

T-16 Moviecom: 4 showings, 700 seats, 31 sold (4.43%)

T-16 Cineflix: 4 showings, 1240 seat, 70 sold (5.65%)

T-16 Total: 18 showings, 5058 seats, 708 sold (14%)

 

Comps (Weekend opening):

Indy (258.39%) - R$29M

TLM (338.76%) - R$53.74M (lol)

GotG 3 (137.21%) - R$41.1M

BARBIE, NATAL T-7

 

T-7 Cinemark: 7 showings, 2129 seats, 1237sold (58.1%)

T-7 Cinepolis: 14 showings, 2386 seats, 862 sold (36.12%)

T-7 Moviecom: 4 showings, 700 seats, 209 sold (20.86%)

T-7 Cineflix: 6 showings, 2994 seat, 542 sold (18.1%)

T-7 Total: 31 showings, 8209 seats, 2807 sold (34.19%)

 

Comps:

Fast X (127.08%) - R$11.35M first day, R$134.2M weekend

TLM (1243.06%) - R$213.55M weekend (LMAOOOOO)

Indy (924.45%) - R$82.98M weekend

GOTG 3 (443.99%) - R$16.86M first day, R$163.74M weekend

 

 

Please for the love of God don't take those comps seriously, remember that the top opener is Endgame with R$102M for the weekend, I just put them there to show how insane the pacing for this movie is right now. It is honestly almost impossible to predict the weekend accurately, this is uncharted territory, this level of kenergy cannot be measured.

 

I am not giving my own personal predictions, I'm just gonna say that you are all for something very special and I wouldn't be surprised if Brazil becomes one of the top territories for this movie.

 

EDIT: put the first part in bold for the Reddit folks coming here. No, I am not implying it will open higher than Endgame.

Edited July 13, 2023 by ThatWaluigiDude

[ThatWaluigiDude]

MI7 made R$4.8M from its previews. Previous opening record from the franchise was Fallout with R$13.2M opening + R$770k previews.

 

Aventureiros made 70k+ admissions from monday to wednesday, becoming the top brazilian movie from 2023

Edited July 13, 2023 by ThatWaluigiDude

[Bobzaruni]

4 hours ago, ThatWaluigiDude said:

BARBIE, NATAL T-7

 

T-7 Cinemark: 7 showings, 2129 seats, 1237sold (58.1%)

T-7 Cinepolis: 14 showings, 2386 seats, 862 sold (36.12%)

T-7 Moviecom: 4 showings, 700 seats, 209 sold (20.86%)

T-7 Cineflix: 6 showings, 2994 seat, 542 sold (18.1%)

T-7 Total: 31 showings, 8209 seats, 2807 sold (34.19%)

 

Comps:

Fast X (127.08%) - R$11.35M first day, R$134.2M weekend

TLM (1243.06%) - R$213.55M weekend (LMAOOOOO)

Indy (924.45%) - R$82.98M weekend

GOTG 3 (443.99%) - R$16.86M first day, R$163.74M weekend

 

 

Please for the love of God don't take those comps seriously, remember that the top opener is Endgame with R$102M for the weekend, I just put them there to show how insane the pacing for this movie is right now. It is honestly almost impossible to predict the weekend accurately, this is uncharted territory, this level of kenergy cannot be measured.

 

I am not giving my own personal predictions, I'm just gonna say that you are all for something very special and I wouldn't be surprised if Brazil becomes one of the top territories for this movie.

 

EDIT: put the first part in bold for the Reddit folks coming here. No, I am not implying it will open higher than Endgame.

Reddit tomorrow: '[BOT] Barbie expected to be the biggest opening of all time in Brazil beating Avengers: Endgame according to thatwaluigidude'

[Bobzaruni]

4 hours ago, ThatWaluigiDude said:

BARBIE, NATAL T-7

 

T-7 Cinemark: 7 showings, 2129 seats, 1237sold (58.1%)

T-7 Cinepolis: 14 showings, 2386 seats, 862 sold (36.12%)

T-7 Moviecom: 4 showings, 700 seats, 209 sold (20.86%)

T-7 Cineflix: 6 showings, 2994 seat, 542 sold (18.1%)

T-7 Total: 31 showings, 8209 seats, 2807 sold (34.19%)

 

Comps:

Fast X (127.08%) - R$11.35M first day, R$134.2M weekend

TLM (1243.06%) - R$213.55M weekend (LMAOOOOO)

Indy (924.45%) - R$82.98M weekend

GOTG 3 (443.99%) - R$16.86M first day, R$163.74M weekend

 

 

Please for the love of God don't take those comps seriously, remember that the top opener is Endgame with R$102M for the weekend, I just put them there to show how insane the pacing for this movie is right now. It is honestly almost impossible to predict the weekend accurately, this is uncharted territory, this level of kenergy cannot be measured.

 

I am not giving my own personal predictions, I'm just gonna say that you are all for something very special and I wouldn't be surprised if Brazil becomes one of the top territories for this movie.

 

EDIT: put the first part in bold for the Reddit folks coming here. No, I am not implying it will open higher than Endgame.

On a serious note, is allocation going to be a factor in slowing it down or is that a non-factor?

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

14 minutes ago, Bobzaruni said:

Reddit tomorrow: '[BOT] Barbie expected to be the biggest opening of all time in Brazil beating Avengers: Endgame according to thatwaluigidude'

https://old.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/14yq2li/bot_thatwaluigidude_barbie_presales_in_brazil_are/ they're already well ahead of you lol

[ThatWaluigiDude]

54 minutes ago, Bobzaruni said:

On a serious note, is allocation going to be a factor in slowing it down or is that a non-factor?

It probably will since it will be sharing space with Oppenheimer, the second weekend of MI7 and the legs of Elemental, but at the same time it will probably affect the other movies more than Barbie

[ThatWaluigiDude]

In a weird twist of generosity from Warner, they have shared numbers.

 

Barbie sold so far for the pre-release 300k tickets and around R$6.1M.

[Bob-omb]

54 minutes ago, ThatWaluigiDude said:

In a weird twist of generosity from Warner, they have shared numbers.

 

Barbie sold so far for the pre-release 300k tickets and around R$6.1M.

That is really nice from them. Great numbers. How close to what you had estimated with the data you have tracked? With this data, could you give a better estimation for the OW? Something around 15M USD?

[ThatWaluigiDude]

 

Okay, why not.

 

 

OPPENHEIMER, NATAL T-7

T-7 Cinemark: Not started

T-7 Cinepolis: 3 showings, 658 seats, 22 sold (3.34%)

T-7 Moviecom: 2 showings, 208 seats, 0 sold (20.86%)

T-7 Cineflix: 2 showings, 265 seat, 5 sold (1.89%)

T-7 Total: 7 showings, 1131 seats, 27 sold (2.39%)

 

Comps (First day of pre-sales):

Spiderverse (57.47%)

TLM (300%)

Fast X (31.03%)

 

I don't have good comps for this, but it seens like a healthy start for an adult drama like this. I'm looking at São Paulo and am kinda shocked that it loooks like it is doing pretty well there. Maybe this will also have a decent opening.

 

What is funny is that some chain have embraced the Barbenheimer, some chains over there are offering half off for one of them if you buy for the other and some are doing late double screenings with both. What is even happening anymore.

2 hours ago, Bob-omb said:

That is really nice from them. Great numbers. How close to what you had estimated with the data you have tracked? With this data, could you give a better estimation for the OW? Something around 15M USD?

 

It is still hard to predict since it is kinda of a first from a studio reporting that early. If it did opened with R$6.1M on the thursday it would lead to a R$45M+ opening. Hope this is doesn't get poorly aged, but let's mark a R$45M weekend as the minimum, a "worst case scenario"  

Edited July 14, 2023 by ThatWaluigiDude

[ThatWaluigiDude]

$1.4M for MI7 until thursday, R$6.7M+

[pepsa]

8 minutes ago, ThatWaluigiDude said:

$1.4M for MI7 until thursday, R$6.7M+

Is there a way where you can see Brazil dailies?

[ThatWaluigiDude]

6 hours ago, pepsa said:

Is there a way where you can see Brazil dailies?

Unfortunately no

[ThatWaluigiDude]

Remember when I said Barbie and Oppenheimer were getting some double-screen together in São Paulo? This is how those screenings look one day after sales started. Other days after release day are similar.

Actual official promo. lol

Edited July 15, 2023 by ThatWaluigiDude