Mexico Box Office | Kongzilla repeats on top, Civil War and Abigail underperform

[Purple Minion]

23 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

Ralph is aiming to open somewhere in a range between $110M-$120M

Spot on; $6.3M OW estimate, about 125M lc. Top debut for Disney Animation.

 

FB2 total is just $11.2M, not even 230M lc. Gasp.

 

Bohemian Rhapsody again carries on as if nothing really matters, now up to a phenomenal $18M (360M lc).

 

Edited November 25, 2018 by Purple Minion

[Purple Minion]

More about Ralph 2 from Deadline:

 

The No. 1 start was 148% ahead of Wreck-It Ralph, 114% ahead of Moana, 99% ahead of Big Hero 6, 54% above Zootopia and only 28% behind local phenomenon Coco.

[Carlangonz]

Starting this weekend, Cinépolis is rising ticket prices by 10% in all their complexes and for all formats. 

 

Hasn't seen or heard anything about Cinemex but wouldn't surprise if they do it before winter season begins. 

 

We'll see how this affects big releases upcoming, from Grinch until Creed 2.

[Carlangonz]

NOVEMBER 23-25 WEEKEND. RALPH BREAKS INTO THE WEEKEND ON THE TOP AND A NEW RECORD FOR WDAS. CRIMES OF GRINDELWALD DERAILS AND BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY IS THIRD WITH STELLAR LEGS.

 

Ralph Breaks the Internet

- Biggest launch for a Walt Disney Animation title; 126% ahead of Frozen, 112% ahead of Moana and 51% above Zootopia.

- It has almost two weeks free before The Grinch opens, should finish o/u $300M but with a crowded December it’ll be hard for it to go further.

 

Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald

- 3.1% behind first Fantastic Beasts, however it had a weekend-to-weekend drop 13.5% bigger. First FB failed to reach $300M and this one is almost certain to fail too.

 

Bohemian Rhapsody

- Already surpassed Deadpool as 8^th highest Fox grosser of all-time and is 11^th highest grosser of the year, it’ll challenge Meg as 10^th.

 

#	MOVIE	WEEKEND	% CHANGE	TOTAL (MXN)	TOTAL (USD)	ADM.	TOTAL ADM.
1	Ralph Breaks the Internet	$125.9		$125.9	$6.17	2.2	2.2
2	Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald	$38.6	-68,47%	$226.19	$11.19	630.9K	3.9
3	Bohemian Rhapsody	$21.83	-41,78%	$354.44	$17.57	336.2K	6.3
4	Peppermint	$16.02		$16.02	$785K	243.1K	243.1K
5	Loca por el Trabajo	$9.37	-50,10%	$42.97	$2.12	158.2K	816.5K
6	Instant Family	$6.06		$8.01	$392K	106.2K	149.1K
7	Gon-Ji-Am	$2.89		$2.89	$141K	52.6K	52.6K
8	The Nutcracker and the Four Realms	$2.71	-73,91%	$112.2	$5.55	54.74K	2.2
9	Chivas: La Película	$2.39		$2.39	$117K	39.05K	39.05K
10	The Kindergarten Teacher	$1.10		$1.10	$53K	14.5K	14.5K

 

This Friday opens: Instant Family, Robin Hood, Widows, The Posession of Hannah Grace, Malicious, La Promesa, Tout Le Monde Debout, Resurrección and Roma (expansion).

[carlsalf38]

17 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

NOVEMBER 23-25 WEEKEND. RALPH BREAKS INTO THE WEEKEND ON THE TOP AND A NEW RECORD FOR WDAS. CRIMES OF GRINDELWALD DERAILS AND BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY IS THIRD WITH STELLAR LEGS.

 

Ralph Breaks the Internet

- Biggest launch for a Walt Disney Animation title; 126% ahead of Frozen, 112% ahead of Moana and 51% above Zootopia.

- It has almost two weeks free before The Grinch opens, should finish o/u $300M but with a crowded December it’ll be hard for it to go further.

 

Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald

- 3.1% behind first Fantastic Beasts, however it had a weekend-to-weekend drop 13.5% bigger. First FB failed to reach $300M and this one is almost certain to fail too.

 

Bohemian Rhapsody

- Already surpassed Deadpool as 8^th highest Fox grosser of all-time and is 11^th highest grosser of the year, it’ll challenge Meg as 10^th.

Well I said 450M for Ralph back in October but I really don't think it will get that far, considering the impeding release of The Grinch (with the voice of the best comedian in the world¡) unless it really holds well next week (certainly Instant Family will be some competition)

 

Grindelwald is dying a slow death and will probably be spot on the 285M that I predicted¡ (At last I get one correct¡¡). The movie is really boring and it tries too hard to be connected to Harry Potter so no good WOM at all

 

Bohemian I said 80M so that's was an obvious mistake. Will it get to 400M??? Will it be possible?

 

And now for December, so let’s go and just throw numbers:

The Grinch: 320M (this and Ralph will eat each other)

Mortal Engines: 45M (who in god’s name put this movie against so many blockbusters??)

Aquaman: 370M (looks fun, which gives it an advantage compared to JL)

Bumblebee: 200M (boring)

Mary Poppins Returns: 215M (not sure a musical animated hybrid will have that much traction)

Spider-Man into the Spiderverse: 85M (well…it has Spider-Ham so that’s something)

Perfectos Desconocidos: 105M (seen the Spanish one, loved it until the end, hope the Mexican one improves in that regard)

 

[Carlangonz]

2 hours ago, carlsalf38 said:

Well I said 450M for Ralph back in October but I really don't think it will get that far, considering the impeding release of The Grinch (with the voice of the best comedian in the world¡) unless it really holds well next week (certainly Instant Family will be some competition)

 

Grindelwald is dying a slow death and will probably be spot on the 285M that I predicted¡ (At last I get one correct¡¡). The movie is really boring and it tries too hard to be connected to Harry Potter so no good WOM at all

 

Bohemian I said 80M so that's was an obvious mistake. Will it get to 400M??? Will it be possible?

 

And now for December, so let’s go and just throw numbers:

The Grinch: 320M (this and Ralph will eat each other)

Mortal Engines: 45M (who in god’s name put this movie against so many blockbusters??)

Aquaman: 370M (looks fun, which gives it an advantage compared to JL)

Bumblebee: 200M (boring)

Mary Poppins Returns: 215M (not sure a musical animated hybrid will have that much traction)

Spider-Man into the Spiderverse: 85M (well…it has Spider-Ham so that’s something)

Perfectos Desconocidos: 105M (seen the Spanish one, loved it until the end, hope the Mexican one improves in that regard)

 

I think Ralph is going to hold well next weekend, it has no direct competition and won't lose many screens. 

Agree with Grinch, it'll lose mojo since it has to deal with Ralph, Aquaman and Bee. Btw I'm hearing that Universal is going to bring a subbed version, that's very rare but lately is happening with some animated films. 

 

Instant Family has been doing well on previews, considering they've been in a handful of theatres and a few shows. It may be a sleeper-hit, although not as big as Wonder last year. 

 

Bohemian has a small shot to $400M, we'll see how it goes.

[Purple Minion]

Ralph 2 repeats at #1, up to $12.6M, second best intl market so far. 300M lc should happen. BTW it's now bigger than FB2 which stalls at $12.5M.

 

Instant Family opens at #2 with a decent $1.8M.

 

Robin Hood OW was a meh $1.1M, while The Possession of Hannah Grace did $1M.

 

Edited December 2, 2018 by Purple Minion

[Carlangonz]

NOVEMBER 30-DECEMBER 02 WEEKEND. WIFI RALPH REPEATS ON TOP WITH A DECENT DROP. INSTANT FAMILY DOES WELL AS A COUNTER-PROGRAMMER AND ROBIN HOOD OPENS MEH.

 

Ralph Breaks the Internet

- Still running 51% ahead of Zootopia at the same point after release and should pass its total by next Monday. Should pass $350M but with Grinch looming its fate looks uncertain.

 

Instant Family

- Running 22% behind Wonder at the same point of release, the comp is perfect: both held previews a week before its opening and work as counter-programmers.

- If holds the screen loss due to the imminent competition of a crowded December could leg towards $100M+

 

#	MOVIE	WEEKEND	% CHANGE	TOTAL (MXN)	TOTAL (USD)	ADM.	TOTAL ADM.
1	Ralph Breaks the Internet	$82.78	-34,24%	$254.2	$12.45	1.62	4.8
2	Instant Family	$28.41		$36.5	$1.78	509.1K	659.8K
3	Robin Hood	$20.9		$20.9	$1.02	351.75K	351.75K
4	The Possesion of Hannah Grace	$18.19		$18.19	$889K	344.6K	344.6K
5	Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald	$16.01	-58,52%	$257.7	$12.73	283.3K	4.5
6	Bohemian Rhapsody	$11.08	-49,24%	$376	$18.62	180.86K	6.7
7	Widows	$9.28		$9.28	$453K	130.87K	130.87K
8	My Hero Academy	$6.8		$6.8	$332K	86.2K	86.2K
9	Peppermint	$4.6	-71,28%	$29.43	$1.44	76.06K	490.5K
10	Burn the Stage: The Movie	$4.3		$13.7	$674K	44.9K	138.4K

 

This Friday opens: The Grinch, Mi Pequeño Gran Hombre, Hell Fest, Acusada, Kin, Don’t Worry, he Won’t Go Far on Foot, Good Samaritan (Cinemex exclusive), The House that Jack Built (Cinemex exclusive) and Roma (wide).

[Carlangonz]

Mortal Engines has been moved to Jan 1, but now it'll face Creed II and Once Upon a Deadpool. Warner probably is going to drop the ball even more for Creed II (big mistake a la Disney with Christopher Robin) and OUAD might open only at select locations unless Fox takes a bigger risk. 

 

It amazes me that there's a chance that Bohemian Rhapsody ends up being the highest grosser of the last bimester. I mean, there's a chance for Aquaman to surpass it but among big competition it's going to need stellar legs.

 

Bumblebee, Mary Poppins Returns and Into the Spiderverse should be fine but not expecting any overperformance to be honest. 

 

And finally, is it too soon to call out Glass as the first record-breaking title of 2019? It's coming for that January record.

Edited December 6, 2018 by Carlangonz

[Purple Minion]

Really good early tracking for Aquaman, I think 400M lc is in play. Lighting candles to all santos y virgenes so Bohemian Rhapsody can also reach that milestone.

[Carlangonz]

Grinch opened to $5.2M as per Deadline. Not bad, easily above any other Dr. Seuss-related title, should finish right o/u $300M, not expecting massive legs with the upcoming slaughter.

 

[Purple Minion]

I was expecting more, may hold better once kids are off school - if Aquaman leaves any space!

 

More on Grinch from Deadline: " Mexico was a No. 1 launch at 865 locations and with $5.24M for 52% market share. This is in line with Boss Baby, above Moana and Big Hero 6 and more than double Trolls and Sing "

 

Ralph crossed 300M lc ($15.2M), FB2 still at $13.3M.

[Carlangonz]

DECEMBER 7-9 WEEKEND. GRINCH RUINS RALPH’S TOP SPOT; THE DISNEY ANIMATION PASSES $300M LC AND LOCAL OPENER DISSAPOINTS.

 

Dr Seuss’ The Grinch

- Well ahead of any Illumination title that isn’t named Secret Life of Pets or that isn’t part of the Gru franchise. Should pass $300M but that’s pretty much it, winter holidays start until Dec 20^th and by that then it’ll find an already crowded market with Aquaman and Bumblebee.

 

Ralph Breaks the Internet

- Took a big hit with Grinch’s opening, very unusual for an animation. Today passes Zootopia’s title and it’ll become Walt Disney’s Animation highest grosser.

 

#	MOVIE	WEEKEND	% CHANGE	TOTAL (MXN)	TOTAL (USD)	ADM.	TOTAL ADM.
1	Dr Seuss' The Grinch	$109.5		$109.5	$5.40	2.07	2.07
2	Ralph Breaks the Internet	$30.9	-62,67%	$309.29	$15.15	625.1K	6
3	Mi Pequeño Gran Hombre	$14.07		$14.07	$694K	254.2K	254.2K
4	Instant Family	$13.11	-53,85%	$61.91	$3.02	227.6K	1.16
5	The Possesion of Hannah Grace	$9.02	-50,41%	$36.28	$1.77	171.9K	736.05K
6	Robin Hood	$6.50	-68,89%	$36.56	$1.78	115.11K	665.15K
7	Hell Fest	$5.33		$5.33	$262K	105.3K	105.3K
8	Famtastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald	$4.8	-70,01%	$269.15	$13.29	91.03K	4.8
9	Bohemian Rhapsody	$4.52	-59,20%	$385.6	$19.09	68.9K	6.8
10	Widows	$3.8	-59,05%	$18.14	$887K	53.55K	275.74K

 

This Thursday opens: Aquaman,  211, Unfriended: Dark Web, Pájaros de Verano and The Man Who Killed Don Quixote.

[Carlangonz]

It seems that unfortunately Bohemian Rhapsody won't make it to $400M, but at least is the highest grossing Fox title that's not part of any franchise. Great achievement.

 

Aquaman, just like any previous first solo SH movie, is being low at presales and is going to rely on walk-up sales and word on mouth. Social media activity is strong, should pass $150M on 4-Day opening. 

 

The situation for Aquaman is the same for Bumblebee and Mary Poppins Returns, however, none of the last two is having the same level of buzz and awareness as the DC film. We'll see how they go.

Edited December 11, 2018 by Carlangonz

[salvador-232]

300M lc currency for The Grinch? 

 

Huh, would anyone sign for a "Grinch in Mexico > The rest of Latin America combined in USD" club? 

 

Although now that I checked it wouldn't even be close... 

[Carlangonz]

49 minutes ago, salvador-232 said:

300M lc currency for The Grinch? 

 

Huh, would anyone sign for a "Grinch in Mexico > The rest of Latin America combined in USD" club? 

 

Although now that I checked it wouldn't even be close... 

It's incredible to see how much it tanked everywhere but Mexico across the region. I guess nostalgia from live-action in here is big compared to other countries, plus, Derbez facor.

[Purple Minion]

Lots of movies are going to end in the 300-400M lc range. Hope Aquaman reaches Wonder Woman levels.

 

Any news from Roma? Seems to be shown only in cinetecas and such.

[Carlangonz]

4 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

Lots of movies are going to end in the 300-400M lc range. Hope Aquaman reaches Wonder Woman levels.

 

Any news from Roma? Seems to be shown only in cinetecas and such.

Hope so too. Second weekend is going to be key. Opening is going to be weakened due to Canelo's fight on saturday and football league's final on sunday so wouldn't trust much on it. 

 

It's playing at Cinetecas and small independent chains and art-house theatres but they didn't report numbers beyond opening weekend (Over $300K cumulative after September limited release at two theatres). 

[fabiopazzo2]

Hi Carl, any prediction (in $)for Mary Poppins and Aquaman? 

[Carlangonz]

12 hours ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

Hi Carl, any prediction (in $)for Mary Poppins and Aquaman? 

$18M+ for Aquaman, can see it as high as $22M.

 

$12M-$14M for Mary Poppins; doesn't stand many chances of overperforming when competes with two SH titles. Although it might be a huge appealing for female audiences. 

 

Somehow i see this winter reminiscent to last year's:

 

Aquaman = Jumanji. Crowdpleaser action movies leading as the highest grosser of season.

 

Mary Poppins Returns = Greatest Showman. Another crowdpleaser but anywhere as big as the #1. 

 

Bumblebee = The Last Jedi. Damaged franchise that gets audience stolen by two competitors. 

 

The big mystery to me is Into the Spiderverse.