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Eric Duncan

Weekdays Thread (8/22-25)

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1 hour ago, Doffy said:

Worst wed drops  wat happened?

Better to look Wed vs Mon, and it’s a big drop for Super Pets (which just went to PVOD on Tue), DBS a big decline by virtue of new (and front-loaded) release, but others Wed numbers so far look in range vs Mon. As we shift more into in-school patterns, Tue increase and Wed drops get larger 

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Somewhat maybe uncharacteristic Wednesday drop for TGM (30% down from last week), but it is still the second highest 90th day in history.

 

TITANIC was unstoppable gearing up for the annual Oscar ceremony, MAVERICK comfortably ahead of AVATAR and SM:NWH.

 

E.T. was feeling the post-LD weekday blues.

 

Biggest domestic 13th Wednesday:

1. Titanic                                  $1,481,658     3,116    $475    $475,716,582   Mar 18

2. Top Gun: Maverick                  $677,418     2,969   $228    $685,798,255   Aug 24

3. Avatar                                      $608,622     1,718   $354    $732,229,805   Mar 17

3. Spider-Man: No Way Home    $505,592     2,702   $187    $793,877,611   Mar 16

4. E. T.                                          $478,184     1,614   $296    $239,655,752   Sep 8 

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1 minute ago, The Dark Alfred said:

Somewhat maybe uncharacteristic Wednesday drop for TGM (30% down from last week), but it is still the second highest 90th day in history.

 

TITANIC was unstoppable gearing up for the annual Oscar ceremony, MAVERICK comfortably ahead of AVATAR and SM:NWH.

 

E.T. was feeling the post-LD weekday blues.

 

Biggest domestic 13th Wednesday:

 

 

1. Titanic                                  $1,481,658     3,116    $475    $475,716,582   Mar 18

 

 

2. Top Gun: Maverick                  $677,418     2,969   $228    $685,798,255   Aug 24

 

 

3. Avatar                                      $608,622     1,718   $354    $732,229,805   Mar 17

 

 

3. Spider-Man: No Way Home    $505,592     2,702   $187    $793,877,611   Mar 16

 

 

4. E. T.                                          $478,184     1,614   $296    $239,655,752   Sep 8 

 

 

Nwh  on 90th day playing in that many screens is pretty crazy to me 

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TGM starting to slow down after the digital release. 30% drop from last week is pretty big.

 

It should have enough gas in the tank to reach $700m DOM in about three weeks though.

 

Maybe $710m depending on when it hits P+. I can see it going there probably around October 1st, one month before the video release. 

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4 minutes ago, The Dark Alfred said:

There wasn't really many films coming out earlier this year to take the screens away from NWH. I'm curious what it does with the re-release.

I'm not expecting much. NWH came out just last December. Everyone that saw it and loved it already bought it on 4k/dvd.

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10 minutes ago, CaptNathanBrittles said:

 

I don't think Paramount had anything to do with the summer holidays ending

 I still believe pvod has somehow impacted tgm legs tues jump is low and wed drop is big if it continues like this we will witness steep decline this Weeknd . Tm numbers will clear my doubt can it stay flat or increase from wednes.

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11 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:

TGM starting to slow down after the digital release. 30% drop from last week is pretty big.

 

It should have enough gas in the tank to reach $700m DOM in about three weeks though.

 

Maybe $710m depending on when it hits P+. I can see it going there probably around October 1st, one month before the video release. 

Keep in mind that’s -30% from a PLF inflated prior week. Only down -28% from where it was 2 weeks prior 

 

But do think @Jiffy is correct in that Wed numbers suggest there were a decent number of mid-week school starts, with Sat-Mon/Tue being a bit inflated as a “last hurrah” to summer, now revering to baseline, and pointing toward a pretty soft weekend 

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18 minutes ago, Doffy said:

 I still believe pvod has somehow impacted tgm legs tues jump is low and wed drop is big if it continues like this we will witness steep decline this Weeknd . Tm numbers will clear my doubt can it stay flat or increase from wednes.

 

It still had the second best LW% drop in the whole chart only behind, ironically, JW:D which is now out on all forms of home video.

 

Every movie having significant drops points to a change in market conditions, not an effect on a single movie.

Edited by CaptNathanBrittles
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4 hours ago, Doffy said:

Worst wed drops  wat happened?

 

Local Cinemarks here had regular normal summer schedules for Mon-Tues.  Yesterday, they moved to the fall schedule, cutting 5ish hours of showings from the day (new open is 3pm, when old summer open was 10am, and now all movies done by 11pm, so last showings are 9pm or earlier).  That has an effect.

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3 hours ago, The Dark Alfred said:

I think it's simply the end of the summer effect. Weaker weekdays hopefully result in bigger weekend increases. Certainly not going to complain about any number that's above AVATAR at this point of its run.

Exactly, would only really be concerned if this was not offset by stronger Friday increase, but either way $700m should be on lock (this coming from someone who thinks a film has no business being in any sort of digital release while it's still in the fucking Top 5).

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Boxofficereport.com is projecting another small decline for TGM this weekend August 26-28

 

The Invitation Sony / Screen Gems $9,000,000 $9,000,000 ~3,000 NEW
Beast Universal Pictures $6,400,000 $22,200,000 ~3,743 -45%
Bullet Train Sony Pictures $5,700,000 $78,400,000 ~3,300 -29%
Top Gun: Maverick Paramount Pictures $5,500,000 $692,400,000 ~2,800 -7%
DC League of Super-Pets Warner Bros. Pictures $5,000,000 $75,400,000 ~3,100 -12%
Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero Sony & Crunchyroll $4,800,000 $31,600,000 ~2,900 -77%
Thor: Love and Thunder Disney & Marvel Studios $3,400,000 $337,500,000 ~2,500 -16%
Minions: The Rise of Gru Universal & Illumination Animation $3,300,000 $355,800,000 ~2,500 -11%
Three Thousand Years of Longing United Artists Releasing & MGM $3,000,000 $3,000,000 ~2,500 NEW
Where the Crawdads Sing Sony 3000 Pictures $2,600,000 $82,300,000 ~2,200 -19%
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