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kayumanggi

MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING | 395.4M overseas | 567.5M worldwide

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18 hours ago, kayumanggi said:

 

I hope it cracks $300M domestically and become the first MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE movie to break $1B.

 

I think that thanks to Top Gun reaching 300M in Us/Can will be easier than 700M overseas

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5 hours ago, Sophia Jane said:

China may give $150-200m

Depends on WOM,probably on par with F9,2nd best HLW after 2019 behind Avatar 2

 

Damn if true it means the billion is possible, can't wait to see how it performs

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5 hours ago, MG10 said:

 

Damn if true it means the billion is possible, can't wait to see how it performs

why so shock?MI series has always been popular in China and have almost no quality/WOM problem like JW/FF,$150m is easy if WOM is good.

Edited by Sophia Jane
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On 6/13/2023 at 5:17 AM, Issac Newton said:

Since, China has already given us a date.

 

I guess $350M-$400M WW OW should look feasible 

Does this include the entire Domestic "Opening Weekend", or just the 3-day?

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We're still pretty far out, but I could see major markets playing out as so:

 

Japan: 45m

China: 125m

South Korea: 50m

UK: 50m

France: 35m

Germany: 25m

Australia: 30m

India: 20m

Taiwan: 20m

Mexico: 15m

 

Cumulative makes 415m vs. Fallout which did 415.5m in the same territories. The problem for this movie is that it's going to have a gap to make up due to China likely decreasing from Fallout's gross.

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4 minutes ago, WorkingonaName said:

I think Japan and China will go higher.

the problem with Japan is the exchange rate which is really killing it, it would need a 27% improvement in Yen over fallout at current rates to make the same money in dollars. As for China, I hope it can go higher, but WTS on Maoyan isn't too high and I think there is some significant local competition around its release date

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24 minutes ago, Flip said:

the problem with Japan is the exchange rate which is really killing it, it would need a 27% improvement in Yen over fallout at current rates to make the same money in dollars. As for China, I hope it can go higher, but WTS on Maoyan isn't too high and I think there is some significant local competition around its release date

Apparently Japan loves Cruise and TGM did like double what you are predicting so idk.

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2 minutes ago, Austin said:

Apparently Japan loves Cruise and TGM did like double what you are predicting so idk.

 

They do, but TGM was a unique phenomenon whereas the last few MI films have been pretty stable in their performance. I'm sure MI7 will get a boost but probably not as big as some people are expecting. Even a 50% increase over MI6 in Yen gives it just $50 million under the current ER.

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5 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

 

They do, but TGM was a unique phenomenon whereas the last few MI films have been pretty stable in their performance. I'm sure MI7 will get a boost but probably not as big as some people are expecting. Even a 50% increase over MI6 in Yen gives it just $50 million under the current ER.

Fair enough. I'm no expert in this BO stuff. Just started following it in March this year.

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