WorkingonaName Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 1. Brutalist 2. Anora 3. Joker 4. Conclave 5. Emilia Perez 6. Gladiator 2 7. Scared Fig 8. Saturday Night 9. Apprentice Cant think of a 10th tbh. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justnumbers Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 Maybe Nickel Boys. Queer. Sing Sing. A Complete Unknown. The Piano Lesson. MAYBE Blitz. Honestly I don't believe in Gladiator 2 (predicting huge drop in quality) nor Sacred Fig. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 Based on reception out of Telluride (some were not fond of it), Nickel Boys seems like it's going the route of Till and Origin. The box office will likely be very small. Conclave will happen, Focus is a good campaigner and it'll be their #1 priority. It's between A Complete Unknown and A Real Pain as to what will be Searchlight's main push. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingonaName Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 Predicting ACU to flop purely due to the academy's anti-twink bias. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 Unless A Complete Unknown somehow ends up a critical disaster, it should be good for at least a lone Best Actor nomination, the fact Chalamet's doing his own singing (when most actors who play iconic musicians in biopics don't) will be seen as a plus to voters. He's also at the right point in his career for a potential second nomination (it took Leo and Gosling a decade or more to receive their second noms) and he'll be having a good year between this and Dune 2. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vale9001 Posted September 3 Share Posted September 3 (edited) Good reviews for queer but for what i read really not Academy material. Craig seems a strong contender for a nominee as actor but for the movie or director i really doubt. Edited September 3 by vale9001 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted September 3 Author Share Posted September 3 Queer reviews definitely don't seem unanimous enough to rule out Sing Sing here. Also A24 still has We Live in Time debuting at TIFF, that could be another potential push. They were able to get two movies into the field last year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted September 4 Share Posted September 4 I think the praise for Nickel Boys seems several levels beyond Till and Origin tbh. Can see it winning some of the critical precursors or at least battling the Brutalist and Anora for them. Probably won't make money or win Picture but it has quite a few "masterpiece" level notes going for it that certainly Till and mostly Origin never had. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted September 4 Author Share Posted September 4 Current predicts: ANORA THE BRUTALIST CHALLENGERS A COMPLETE UNKNOWN CONCLAVE DUNE PART TWO GLADIATOR 2 NICKEL BOYS THE SEED OF THE SACRED FIG SING SING 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted September 4 Share Posted September 4 9 hours ago, AniNate said: Current predicts: ANORA THE BRUTALIST CHALLENGERS A COMPLETE UNKNOWN CONCLAVE DUNE PART TWO GLADIATOR 2 NICKEL BOYS THE SEED OF THE SACRED FIG SING SING i'm 9 for 10 with these I'd probably put Emilia Perez in there over idk Challengers probably. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 4 Share Posted September 4 Rooting for Emilia Perez becoming a major contender to give us Oscar Nominee Selena Gomez (just months after receiving her first acting Emmy nomination). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rorschach Posted September 4 Share Posted September 4 Emilia Perez will likely be Netflix's big push this year, and they've gotten at least one film in every single year since ROMA was nominated, so definitely predicting that one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 4 Share Posted September 4 Joker 2 seems dead completely with the reception it's already getting out of Venice. Kind of fascinating how WB put out three follow-ups to Best Picture nominees (Mad Max: Fury Road, Joker, Dune) from the past decade this year and it appears as if only one is looking to prove its success wasn't a fluke. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vale9001 Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 (edited) Seems like Almodovar is back on Venice for the award cerimony. Let's see if he's gonna win the Golden Lion. If happening is definitely a good push for his movie is an english language movie with academy award winner actresses. Plus the academy loves Almodovar as we know. So could strongly enter in the award season race (also for Picture imo). The other strong contender seems to be the american movie The Brutalist by Brady Corbet but I don't know... it would be the third consecutive american movie to win and the fourth of five this decade... Anyways even just a jury prize would put the movie on award spotlight imo seeing how venice lately has been important for the Oscars (shape of water, roma, nomadland, joker, poor things they all got a Best picture nominee). Edited September 7 by vale9001 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vale9001 Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 Brady Corbet (The Brutalist) won at Venice for Best director. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingonaName Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 1. The Brutalist 2. Anora 3. Emila Perez 4. Conclave 5. Joker 6. Room Next Door 7. Gladiator 8. Here 9. Dune 10. Appetence ALT: Saturday Night Director 1. Scott 2. Corbett 3. Baker 4. Burger 5. Pedro ALT: Philips Actor 1. Brody 2. Fiennes 3. Hanks 4. Chalamet 5. Stan ALT: Phoenix Actress 1. Maddison 2. Gascon 3. Robin Wright 4. Jolie 5. Tilda Suprt Actor 1. Pierce 2. Jackson 3. Jeremy Strong 4. Culkin Supporting Actress 1. Gaga 2. Gomez 3. Saldana 4. Felicity Jones 5. Moore Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vale9001 Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 (edited) The Brutalist is 3 hours and 40 minutes long 😅. What in Martin Scorsese. Edited September 7 by vale9001 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rorschach Posted September 8 Share Posted September 8 (edited) Picture Anora (Neon) Blitz (Apple) The Brutalist (?) A Complete Unknown (Searchlight) Conclave (Focus) Dune: Part Two (Warner) Emilia Perez (Netflix) Gladiator II (Paramount) Nickel Boys (Amazon/MGM) Sing Sing (A24) Alts: The Seed of the Sacred Fig (Neon) or Saturday Night (Sony) Could easily see Seed replace something from the list but just keeping it to one film per studio for now (minus Brutalist, which, as of yet, doesn't have a domestic distributor) Director Jacques Audiard Sean Baker Brady Corbet Steve McQueen Denis Villeneuve Alts: RaMell Ross or Mohammed Rasoulef Actor Adrien Brody Timothee Chalamet Daniel Craig Colman Domingo Ralph Fiennes Alts: Sebastian Stan (Apprentice or Different Man) Actress Karla Sofia Gascon Marianne Jean-Batiste Angelina Jolie Nicole Kidman Mikey Madison Alts: Fernanda Torres or Saoirse Ronan Supporting Actor Kieran Culkin Clarence Maclin Guy Pearce Stanley Tucci Denzel Washington Alts: Adam Pearson or Jeremy Strong Supporting Actress Danielle Deadwyler Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor Felicity Jones Zoe Saldana Tilda Swinton Alts: Saoirse Ronan or Selena Gomez Edited September 9 by Rorschach Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vale9001 Posted September 8 Share Posted September 8 (edited) I read Nickel boys and I don't know if it's gonna be one of the movies of this award season ...of course the movie can be a different thing and feels different but seems like lately in the world of cinema the discussion about movies with black stories and black characters is more about "emporwement" or "satire-comedy"...this is a very very explicit and violent story about racism. Even black journalists, critics and influencers, while of course every kinda of story can be represented, seems to prefer lately when the award spotlight is on these kinda of stories and not what they call pure "black trauma dramas". And this story really is that., not that far away from 12 years slave. Edited September 8 by vale9001 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 8 Share Posted September 8 A24 gets The Brutalist. There's our answer as to what will be their #1 push. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
