Taylor89 Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 8 hours ago, wattage said: Seeing good 100m potential next year but maybe I'm overly optimistic. Movies I'm 100% sure about: Zootopia Avatar Jurassic World Movies I'm fairly confident in: Michael Superman F4 Lilo and Stitch Movies that I wouldn't be shocked if it happened but currently not betting on it just yet: Cap 4 How To Train Your Dragon Snow White F1 Wicked Part 2 (depends on how Part 1 does) Movies that I would've said were an easy win a week ago: Minecraft f1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 With how weak walkups were for both Thursday and Friday night relative to presales, I would expect the pattern to continue with today's "exceptional" sales. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HummingLemon496 Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 (edited) $600M DOM isn't that special anymore. $700M now is what $600M was back in the 2010s. Edited September 7 by HummingLemon496 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HummingLemon496 Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 @Cooper Legion you were talking about a Joker 2 vs Beetlejuice OW club. If it weren't for Marvel vs DC rules, I think Joker 2 pure FSS OW vs DPW second weekend would be an interesting club. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
emoviefan Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 3 minutes ago, AnthonyJPHer said: 28.5m True Friday. If it hits 35m Saturday and 30m Sunday we should be seeing a 106.5m 3-day weekend. Plus the 13m previews A 30 miillon sunday is not likely now that we are in Fall mode and not summer. Below true Friday is much more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted September 7 Author Share Posted September 7 4 hours ago, Kon said: Considering the last 100M OW movies have depended on pre-existing popularity, I'm not sure your point is true. The only exception I think is Secret Life of Pets which might be the easiest marketing pitch for an "original" movie ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
emoviefan Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 It feels like some are in wish mode with Beetlejuice rather than reality and that is only going to lead to disappointment that is not warranted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 Sales for Beetlejuice are looking very strong for afternoon through evening today near me so it does seem like it's playing like a family film on some level. $100M is happening, even if just barely IMO. Unsurprisingly terrible for The Front Room considering A24 completely dumped it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HummingLemon496 Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 (edited) 6 minutes ago, AniNate said: The only exception I think is Secret Life of Pets which might be the easiest marketing pitch for an "original" movie ever Did 43M admissions domestically according to AgentCooper315. Insane performance for an original movie. Too bad the sequel dropped so hard. Edited September 7 by HummingLemon496 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadOlCatSylvester Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 26 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said: With how weak walkups were for both Thursday and Friday night relative to presales, I would expect the pattern to continue with today's "exceptional" sales. It seems like not a lot of casuals are really interested. Between that, and the so-so CinemaScore, we might be looking at an ugly drop next weekend. Still, Warner will likely be grateful even if this misses the triple digit threshold, especially after their atrocious summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MisterLibby Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 this tweet is really funny now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadOlCatSylvester Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 Just now, MisterLibby said: this tweet is really funny now Deadline was right, or at least relatively so. A broken clock is right twice a day after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry713 Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 41.5 35 28 104.5m sounds about right. Don’t see how it misses 100m really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingonaName Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 1 hour ago, Bob Train said: BTSV? Im assuming that's after Doomsday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan C Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 Two things about the $41.5M Friday number 1. @justnumbers I didn't take any Xanax, but I'll combat my worriness by focusing on other things I got going on today before either tonight's update or tomorrow morning. Heck, I might even just wait for tomorrow morning to see the actual estimate instead of getting worked up over a number at 10:00PM 2. $41.5M is still slightly under last night's estimate, but I'm still gonna hold out hope for a $100M+ weekend. The signs are pointed for a good Saturday number and we're in September, so the increase from its true Friday to Saturday should be good. These probably aren't the most ideal comps, but both IT and IT: Chapter Two (on the same weekend) had increases from their true Friday to Saturday between 21% and 26%. If Beetlejuice follows those same paths, then $100M should still be in place as long as Sunday is good. Even if this does miss out on that number, I can't deny that this movie is doing far better than I ever expected. It's a much needed win for Warner Bros. and the box office as we get into the fall season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyJPHer Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 3 minutes ago, Ryan C said: Two things about the $41.5M Friday number 1. @justnumbers I didn't take any Xanax, but I'll combat my worriness by focusing on other things I got going on today before either tonight's update or tomorrow morning. Heck, I might even just wait for tomorrow morning to see the actual estimate instead of getting worked up over a number at 10:00PM 2. $41.5M is still slightly under last night's estimate, but I'm still gonna hold out hope for a $100M+ weekend. The signs are pointed for a good Saturday number and we're in September, so the increase from its true Friday to Saturday should be good. These probably aren't the most ideal comps, but both IT and IT: Chapter Two (on the same weekend) had increases from their true Friday to Saturday between 21% and 26%. If Beetlejuice follows those same paths, then $100M should still be in place as long as Sunday is good. Even if this does miss out on that number, I can't deny that this movie is doing far better than I ever expected. It's a much needed win for Warner Bros. and the box office as we get into the fall season. It’s interesting how weirdly front loaded this is and not front loaded at the same time. I don’t think this will have that harsh of a drop. It doesn’t really have a lot of competition or screen loss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted September 7 Author Share Posted September 7 Assuming average holdover drops this should be about a 60% advantage over the '23 comp, cutting a good chunk into the deficit this weekend and puts us back on the catchup path. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HummingLemon496 Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 Inside Out 2 only grossed 66K on Thursday. It's not passing Jurassic World's $653.406M. If it does then it's gonna require a little boost like how Disney boosted BP to 700M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Prime Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 19 minutes ago, BadOlCatSylvester said: Between that, and the so-so CinemaScore A B+ is actually fairly standard for these types of genre comedies. The first Beetlejuice was a B for comparison. Men in Black was a B+, Galaxy Quest was a B, Scary Movie was a B-, Zombieland was A-, the sequel was a B+. Don't think WOM is anything to be too concerned about IMO. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyJPHer Posted September 7 Share Posted September 7 https://deadline.com/2024/09/box-office-beetlejuice-beetlejuice-1236079763/ also saying the weekend total should be 138m for the whole weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...