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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

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As I said, today is the first day of post SB.All the movie fell sharply. Frozen only has 6527 adm in toho.

I am surprised the bump was so big yesterday being the last day. The evening was strong considering it was a school night. The first SB monday hat a 42% bump. I thought at best 5-7k was SB. 15k otherwise for Mon. Maybe many youths went early on the last day. hopefully the evening drop is less.. the true barometer for the week will be the ladies tomorrow.
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I'm not ready for this kind of number :(

its not bad.. it is at the low end of my expectations. that is only an average drop of 15% over 3 weeks. I also think its a little lower because many went to see it yesterday b4 vacation over and reduced today's demand. I think we have an over, then under the mean.I still think the midweek comes in at 6-7m. Wed will give us a better idea what the true drop will be for the rest of the week. Edited by mfantin65
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Meh, I was hoping for Tuesday to be a little inflated due to SB ending the previous day (like post-Christmas or post-Easter numbers in NA), but it looks like it went the opposite way...

 

It grossed 9M net on its first weekdays...with an extra day of Spring Break and coming from a higher weekend it should at least make 7M from Mon-Fri. Everything below that would be disappointed.

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I'm not ready for this kind of number :(

 

Well, yesterday was the last day of spring break, so a bigger drop is actually expected today. Besides, people (especially women) probably wait until tomorrow to see it.

 

Meh, I was hoping for Tuesday to be a little inflated due to SB ending the previous day (like post-Christmas or post-Easter numbers in NA), but it looks like it went the opposite way...

 

It grossed 9M net on its first weekdays...with an extra day of Spring Break and coming from a higher weekend it should at least make 7M from Mon-Fri. Everything below that would be disappointed.

 

Why would you expect it to be inflated? It was Monday that was supposed to be inflated for being the last day of spring break, and it was. For many people, today is probably the first day of school/college/work (academic year begins in April and ends the following March), they have a lot of things to think about. It's not exactly a day to go to the movies. So of course it's gonna drop ;). Also, Coming from a higher weekend does not mean it will have higher weekdays, especially when the weekend was inflated for being the last weekend of spring break.

 

I think we're just too spoiled with Frozen's number. I mean, it's the 4th Tuesday! A couple of days ago we were talking about whether it's gonna increase for the 3rd weekend in a row or not, and then disappointed when it dropped 3% lol. Tell that to the people in other threads and they will be scratching their heads :P. I'm thinking at least 14-15m week which is very good for a post-SB week.

Edited by catlover
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Meh, I was hoping for Tuesday to be a little inflated due to SB ending the previous day (like post-Christmas or post-Easter numbers in NA), but it looks like it went the opposite way...

 

It grossed 9M net on its first weekdays...with an extra day of Spring Break and coming from a higher weekend it should at least make 7M from Mon-Fri. Everything below that would be disappointed.

My prediction is as follows:

Mon: 1.4~1.5m  Tue: 0.9 m~1m  Wed: 2m  Thu~Friday : 1.8~2m  Weekends : 7~7.5m

So, it might be a 13~13.5 m fifth week.

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Well, yesterday was the last day of spring break, so a bigger drop is actually expected today. Besides, people (especially women) probably wait until tomorrow to see it.

 

Why would you expect it to be inflated? It was Monday that was supposed to be inflated for being the last day of spring break, and it was. For many people, today is probably the first day of school/college/work (academic year begins in April and ends the following March), they have a lot of things to think about. It's not exactly a day to go to the movies. So of course it's gonna drop ;). Also, Coming from a higher weekend does not mean it will have higher weekdays, especially when the weekend was inflated for being the last weekend of spring break.

I do agree we're now spoiled by Frozen's performance and reached a point where it has to be great every single day.

And I knew it was obviously going to drop from Monday, just thought the drop could have been smaller. It likely was just wishful thinking with only some domestic patterns kind of supporting it.

 

But then again, I thought that toho number would translate to 0.8M or so...if LABA's right, 0.95M would be quite solid and satisfying after all.

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My prediction is as follows:

Mon: 1.4~1.5m  Tue: 0.9 m~1m  Wed: 2m  Thu~Friday : 1.8~2m  Weekends : 7~7.5m

So, it might be a 13~13.5 m fifth week.

 

I think Friday will be higher than that. Wednesday too. Although your numbers seem to make more sense.

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Lol, a little :P

 

But it's mostly due to 1.124B (= #6 worldwide) being locked. Now caution and conservative reasoning are over, and the higher Frozen goes the better. Iron Man 3 is the only target left.

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Weekend Ranking [04/05-06]

Posted Image

01 (01) Frozen (Disney) Week 4
02 (02) Doraemon: Nobita's Great Demon - Peko and the Exploration Party (Toho) Week 5
03 (03) Heisei Rider vs. Showa Rider: Kamen Rider Taisen feat. Super Sentai (Toei) Week 2
04 (04) The Snow White Murder Case (Shochiku) Week 2
05 (05) Team Batista: Kerberos's Final Portrait (Toho) Week 2
06 (07) Pretty Cure All Stars: New Stage 3 (Toei) Week 4
07 (06) The Secret Life of Walter Mitty (Fox) Week 3
08 (--) One Third (Kadokawa) DEBUT
09 ((08) God's Medical Records 2 (Toho) Week 3
10 (--) Cherry Blossoms Bloom (Toei) DEBUT

>Frozen win its 4th-consecutive week at the box-office, dropping only 7% to earn ¥850,911,950 ($8.3 million) and 642,489 admissions. This made its avg. ticket price for the weekend to ¥1,324, up ¥48 or 3.8% over last weekend after the consumption tax increase went into effect. The increase is about half of what tickets were raised by, so as expected I don't think it'll have a huge impact on the overall box office. Although 3-4%, if that becomes the norm from here on out, is still a big increase after 22 years of no change whatsoever.

After 24 days in release, Frozen has reached an incredible ¥7.71 billion ($75.2 million) and 6.35 million admissions, climbing into the Top 60 (59th) Highest-Grossing Films of All-Time already.

This bests also Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End at reaching 6 million admissions (24 days vs 27 days) and becomes Disney's fastest film to achieve the milestone. Frozen also earns the 5th-biggest fourth-weekend and 6th-highest four-week total since 2001, and the top spots on both lists for an imported-film after the first two Harry Potter films.

>Doraemon enjoyed a healthy Spring Break. After 30 days in release, the 34th installments in the franchise has grossed ¥3.16 billion ($30.9 million) and 2.92 million admissions. Doraemon really slows down post-Spring Break, but it's still tracking ahead of every film in the franchise except for last year's (the highest-grossing film in the franchise), so it'll have no problem exceeding ¥3.5 billion ($35 million) to become the 2nd-highest grossing film in the series.

>One Third was the weekend's top opener, but only manages 8th-place. Playing on 211 screens, it earned ¥63,453,200 ($616,000) and 44,491 admissions. Its avg. ticket price was a very, very high ¥1,426, so it was clearly affected by the ticket price increase of ¥100. The other opener on the other hand, wasn't in the slightest.

>Cherry Blossoms Bloom barely manages to open in the Top 10, grossing ¥26,013,700 ($253,000) and 21,759 admissions on 148 screens. Now its avg. ticket price was only ¥1,195, well below the national average and clearly not affected by the tax hike very much. Its audience would be primarily older people, so it just looks like the tax increase will only affect certain films.
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Top 100 Highest-Grossing Films of All-Time01 ¥30.40 billion - Spirited Away (2001)02 ¥26.20 billion - Titanic (1997)03 ¥22.00 billion - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)04 ¥20.30 billion - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)05 ¥19.30 billion - Princess Mononoke (1997)06 ¥17.35 billion - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)07 ¥17.30 billion - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)08 ¥15.60 billion - Avatar (2009)09 ¥15.50 billion - Ponyo (2008)10 ¥13.70 billion - The Last Samurai (2003)11 ¥13.50 billion - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)11 ¥13.50 billion - E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial (1982)13 ¥13.40 billion - Armageddon (1998)14 ¥12.85 billion - Jurassic Park (1993)15 ¥12.70 billion - Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace (1999)16 ¥12.02 billion - The Wind Rises (2013)17 ¥11.80 billion - Alice in Wonderland (2010)18 ¥11.00 billion - Antarctica (1983)18 ¥11.00 billion - The Matrix Reloaded (2003)18 ¥11.00 billion - Finding Nemo (2003)18 ¥11.00 billion - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)22 ¥10.90 billion - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)23 ¥10.80 billion - Toy Story 3 (2010)24 ¥10.65 billion - Independence Day (1996)25 ¥10.32 billion - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)26 ¥10.10 billion - Bayside Shakedown (1998)27 ¥10.02 billion - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006)28 ¥9.70 billion - Mission: Impossible II (2000)28 ¥9.70 billion - A.I. Artificial Intelligence (2001)30 ¥9.67 billion - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 (2011)31 ¥9.50 billion - Back to the Future Part 2 (1989)31 ¥9.50 billion - Jurassic Park: The Lost World (1997)33 ¥9.40 billion - The Adventures of Milo and Otis (1986)33 ¥9.40 billion - Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (2007)35 ¥9.37 billion - Monsters, Inc. (2002)36 ¥9.35 billion - Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones (2002)37 ¥9.25 billion - Arrietty (2010)38 ¥9.20 billion - Heaven and Earth (1990)39 ¥9.17 billion - Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith (2005)40 ¥9.07 billion - The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring (2002)41 ¥9.05 billion - The Da Vinci Code (2006)42 ¥9.00 billion - Jaws (1975)43 ¥8.96 billion - Monsters University (2013)44 ¥8.87 billion - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011)45 ¥8.79 billion - Terminator 2: Judgement Day (1991)46 ¥8.70 billion - The Matrix (1999)47 ¥8.61 billion - The Eternal Zero (2013) [after 16 weeks]48 ¥8.55 billion - Rookies (2009)49 ¥8.50 billion - Crying Out Love in the Center of the World (2004)50 ¥8.20 billion - Back to the Future Part 3 (1990)50 ¥8.20 billion - Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines (2003)50 ¥8.20 billion - The Silk Road (1988)53 ¥8.15 billion - Hero (2007)54 ¥8.10 billion - Deep Impact (1998)55 ¥8.04 billion - Umizaru: The Last Message (2010)56 ¥8.00 billion - Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince (2009)57 ¥7.90 billion - The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers (2003)58 ¥7.75 billion - Boys Over Flowers: Final (2008)59 ¥7.71 billion - Frozen (2014) [after 4 weeks]60 ¥7.68 billion - The Sixth Sense (1999)61 ¥7.65 billion - Tales from Earthsea (2006)62 ¥7.54 billion - Pokemon: Mewtwo Strikes Back (1998)63 ¥7.50 billion - Spider-Man (2002)64 ¥7.40 billion - Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade (1989)65 ¥7.33 billion - Umizaru: Brave Hearts (2012)66 ¥7.31 billion - Bayside Shakedown: Set the Guys Loose! (2010)67 ¥7.20 billion - Die Hard with a Vengeance (1995)68 ¥7.12 billion - Spider-Man 3 (2007)69 ¥7.10 billion - Umizaru: Limit of Love (2006)70 ¥7.03 billion - Speed (1994)71 ¥7.00 billion - Ghostbusters (1984)71 ¥7.00 billion - Ocean's Eleven (2002)73 ¥6.88 billion - Pearl Harbor (2001)74 ¥6.87 billion - One Piece Film Z (2012)75 ¥6.86 billion - The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch & the Wardrobe (2006)75 ¥6.86 billion - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 (2010)77 ¥6.80 billion - Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl (2003)78 ¥6.70 billion - Spider-Man 2 (2004)78 ¥6.70 billion - Top Gun (1986)78 ¥6.70 billion - The Matrix Revolutions (2003)81 ¥6.50 billion - Mission: Impossible (1996)81 ¥6.50 billion - The Green Mile (2000)83 ¥6.46 billion - The Cat Returns (2002)83 ¥6.46 billion - Departures (2008)85 ¥6.45 billion - Forrest Gump (1995)86 ¥6.40 billion - Pokemon: Revelation Lugia (1999)87 ¥6.22 billion - The Towering Inferno (1975)88 ¥6.17 billion - Phantom Ghost of New York (1990)89 ¥6.10 billion - Bodyguard (1992)90 ¥6.09 billion - Back to the Future (1985)91 ¥6.08 billion - The Ecstasy Hotel (2006)92 ¥6.00 billion - War of the Worlds (2005)93 ¥5.98 billion - Thermae Romae (2012)94 ¥5.97 billion - Bayside Shakdown: Final (2012)95 ¥5.95 billion - Cliffhanger (1993)96 ¥5.89 billion - Les Miserables (2012)97 ¥5.83 billion - True Lies (1994)98 ¥5.71 billion - Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull (2008)99 ¥5.67 billion - Flashdance (1983)100 ¥5.55 billion - Red Cliff: Part II (2009)
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Thats some funny shit. Labas doomed and omni is infected.Labas your numbers add up to 14.9-16m. Thats actually optimistic! But poor math skills ;)Cat lover is right, I think there was a counter effect for tues. I though mon to be 18k(3ksb), Tues 16.5k, up 10% from mon w/o SB.hopefully it comes in at 13-14k. Still just a 30-36% drop from first tues. Thats 11-13% week over week ave. Thats awesome considering all the burn off.We will have a 70 multiplier today w few kids going. .9-1m like labas saidLooking for a snap back in percentage tomorrow.at least a 75% hold would be good from first Wed. 9% ave drop. Come on ladies! 16.5k+ toho 230. 33k+ toho 2200 for 2m. 75% on thu- friday would be 1.5 and 1.65m. 7.5m midweek. And that's all right. Omni you said 6.5m last week. Add 500k for sb mon. I said 7m, add 500k. We got it right, but Kim Jung I'll is gonna wack you unfortunately whe the week comes in at 14.5m+.We got a little excited w mon number. My fault, it was baffling. Eat and digest your last meal well omni, IM3 is not out of play!

Edited by mfantin65
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Thats some funny shit. Labas doomed and omni is infected.Labas your numbers add up to 14.9-16m. Thats actually optimistic! But poor math skills ;)Cat lover is right, I think there was a counter effect for tues. I though mon to be 18k(3ksb), Tues 16.5k, up 10% from mon w/o SB.hopefully it comes in at 13-14k. Still just a 30-36% drop from first tues. Thats 11-13% week over week ave. Thats awesome considering all the burn off.We will have a 70 multiplier today w few kids going. .9-1m like labas saidLooking for a snap back in percentage tomorrow.at least a 75% hold would be good from first Wed. 9% ave drop. Come on ladies! 16.5k+ toho 230. 33k+ toho 2200 for 2m. 75% on thu- friday would be 1.5 and 1.65m. 7.5m midweek. And that's all right. Omni you said 6.5m last week. Add 500k for sb mon. I said 7m, add 500k. We got it right, but Kim Jung I'll is gonna wack you unfortunately whe the week comes in at 14.5m+.We got a little excited w mon number. My fault, it was baffling. Eat and digest your last meal well omni, IM3 is not out of play!

Haha , I don't think I make myself clear.

My prediction is that Thur~Fri 1.8m~2m in total.

So, 1.4 + 0.9 + 2 + 1.8 =5.7 m ( I hope this is the worst case)

5.7 m + 7~7.5m = 12.7m~13.2 m (Again, I hope I can see 14m )

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