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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

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We are talking so much about Home Video release.

Can some one share the drop in box office (in the form of a graph preferably), for a movie before vs after the home video release.

 

A Japanese friend was telling me that the Frozen home video release wont affect box office by more than 15 to 20% per week as long as they keep playing it in a significant number of theaters and do the marketing to still get people into theaters.

Avatar had a strong 16 week run in Japan, and crashed just before the dvd release (April 23, 2010).

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&country=JP&id=avatar.htm

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Avatar had a strong 16 week run in Japan, and crashed just before the dvd release (April 23, 2010).

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&country=JP&id=avatar.htm

The number of screens reduced also by 80% on April 17.

So we can't use this as a great comparision.

 

How about Titanic DVD in Japan. Did the home video release affect box office ? 

I guess at that time VCRs were more popular, and they didn't have VOD ... so this wont be a great comparision either

Maybe we could use Harry Potter for our analysis ... although i am not sure if it had a steady box office like Frozen.

Edited by Annayya
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The number of screens reduced also by 80% on April 17.So we can't use this as a great comparision.

The new Ghibli film opens when Frozen comes out on Blu ray, presumably it will lose a bunch of screens then.
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I doubt the expensive Bluray release will have an effect. The cinema shortage will force them make room for other movies, that will hurt.

But in the end it is not the question of making a few extra millions: the record is worth more than that for advertizing purposes. Disney will not depend on Japans strange love for Pixar anymore, they have their own brand of Princess movies, which will sell in the future.

Edited by Rudolf
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The website seems to crash again.

In Toho, all the movies have around half the seats of

yesterday...

 

yes. anyway, movix and 109 seems to be correct.

 

 

Friday 06/06  2:30pm admissions ( Last Wk - Today )

 

*2 chains

109....1362--1046 -27%

movix..1264--1365 +8%

Edited by Hans13
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Friday 06/06 Admissions (Last Wk - Today )

 

2 chains
109....2943--2216 -24.7% (thu-fri..1577--2216 +40%) 
movix..3552--3288 -7.5%  (thu-fri..2720--3288 +20%)
 
*total.6495--5504 -15%
 
 
Note : This Week Estimates
 
Mon - 158m yen ($1.54m)
 
Tue -  58m yen ($0.57m)
 
Wed - 135m yen ($1.32m)
 
Thu -  59m yen ($0.575m)
 
Fri -  72m yen ($0.7m) - today 
 
 
*total estimate - 21.71 billion yen
 
*Based on BOM - $207.7m + 4.7m = $212.4m (*est)
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One thing is clear : Frozen and SA won't be beaten in the future.The demographic decline was quite slow these last years,not really impactful,but it started to accelerate : Japan lost 250,000 inhabitants in 2013 and should lose around 350,000 a year as soon as 2015,and 600,000 a year as soon as 2020.Animated movies could be hit the most because of the decline in births :2,300,000 in 19501,800,000 in 19801,500,000 in 19901,200,000 in 20001,030,000 in 2013So enjoy this,we won't see that again in Japan.

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I am not so sure. I thought SA can never be beaten in admissions and frozen will do it if disney does not nuke it with dvd release. Even with dvd release its going to come mighty close.

 

But phenomenon like frozen's are hard to predict. Next one may not happen immediately but I will not say it wont happen again.

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Site administrator says that for friday are lost 100% kinezo and 75% toho admissions data. Looking the other 2 chains i think could be 16K/17K admissions, in line with 15% drop.

Presales for weekend: saturday as usual but lost some screen, sunday flat for the moment.

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One thing is clear : Frozen and SA won't be beaten in the future.The demographic decline was quite slow these last years,not really impactful,but it started to accelerate : Japan lost 250,000 inhabitants in 2013 and should lose around 350,000 a year as soon as 2015,and 600,000 a year as soon as 2020.Animated movies could be hit the most because of the decline in births :2,300,000 in 19501,800,000 in 19801,500,000 in 19901,200,000 in 20001,030,000 in 2013So enjoy this,we won't see that again in Japan.

 

That's interesting .... people are dying and there's not enough babies to replace them :P

Meanwhile India continues to grow fast enough to beat China by 2025. Yet, the competition with Indian movies and the extremely low movie ticket price will never let a country like India to end up even in the top 50 international.

Edited by Annayya
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Presales Numbers 06/07 (Sat) - Toho  some Theaters

 

*Shibuya 

-Today Sat  6/7____  831 / 1045 - 79.5%
-Last Sat 5/31_____  958 / 1422 - 67.3%
 
*Roppongi Hills
-Today Sat 6/7_____ 626 / 2583 - 24.2%
-Last Sat 5/31_____ 563 / 3532 - 15.9%
 
 
*Nihonbashi  
-Today Sat 6/7____ 638 / 2354 - 27.1% 
-Last Sat 5/31 ___ 695 / 3584 - 19.3%
 
 
*3 Theaters Total
-Today Sat 6/7 _______  2095 /  5982 - 35%
-Last Sat 5/31 ________ 2216 /  8538 - 27.6% (toho 40683 x18.35)
 
 
*Today Prediction (Toho Admissions)...  37,000--45,000 ($2.5m-3.1m range)
 
today presales are similar level compared to last saturday.
 
 
 
*3 Theaters [shibuya+Nihonbashi+Roppongi]
*Saturday 5/24______ 2417 / 9506 - 25.4%  (toho 44460 x18.39)
*Saturday 5/31______ 2216 / 8538 - 25.9%  (toho 40683 x18.35)
*Saturday 5/17______ 2759 / 9270 - 29.7%  (toho 51979 x18.83)
*Saturday 5/10______ 2800 / 11320- 24.7%  (toho 50503 x18.03)
*Sunday   6/1_______ 4181 / 5892 - 71%    (toho 94303 x22.55) -disconut day
*Sunday   5/18______ 3006 / 8400 - 35.8%  (toho 61998 x20.62)
*Sunday   5/11______ 2802 / 5864 - 47.7%  (toho 57118 x20.38)
Edited by Hans13
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Note: LastWk Saturday 05/31 Admissions [2:30pm-7:00pm-00:25am]
 
Toho   20154--34698--40683
109     5472---8625---9623
kinezo  4437---7194---8437
movix   7735--12235--13993
 
total  37798--62752--72832(actual)
Edited by Hans13
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[順位] [販売数] [映画作品タイトル名]
 *1 *11802 アナと雪の女王
 *2 **8531 PERSONA3 THE MO…
 *3 **2072 ポンペイ
 
Pompei no threat .
Real challenge from persona3  ( a Play Station 2  video game movie)
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 *2 **8531 PERSONA3 THE MO…

 
Real challenge from persona3  ( a Play Station 2  video game movie)

 

 

A little off-topic, but you guys know how Disney licenses its characters to Square Enix for the Kingdom Hearts game franchise? I've always been intrigued by the notion that Square Enix could reciprocate by licensing Final Fantasy characters to WDAS. Granted, some of the more popular Final Fantasy stories are probably too intense for family audiences, but many of the others would be fine. If WDAS ever made a Final Fantasy movie, it'd be interesting to see how it would outperform The Spirits Within and Advent Children. Could be a Japanese box office smash.

 

Or a Disney Chrono Trigger movie. :o  :lol:

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I always thought it would be a natural for Disney to expand in videogames by buying out developers like Square-Enix,Capcom or Nintendo.They would get a huge amount of new franchises to exploit as well.They should think about it.

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