JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[cannastop]

Corpse said Saturday was unusually weak. Let's have an early glimpse at Sunday.

mimorin

Sunday, August 6, 10:16AM

 

15392: Kingdom 3 (28% increase from Sat)

10272: Crayon Shin-chan (15% increase from Sat)

9087: Mission Impossible (22% increase from Sat)

7316: Transformers (4% decrease from Sat)

6890: How Do You Live (8% increase from Sat)

6699: Elemental (18% increase from Sat)

 

Well at least this morning seems better.

 

Will update again at the usual 2pm mark, if I'm awake then.

[JustLurking]

Sunday is always the best day for young skewing films since it has the best morning and early afternoon business and weaker evening business isn't much of a concern since it sucks either way

Edited August 6, 2023 by JustLurking

[Issac Newton]

Should be enough for ¥20B? (Currently at ¥19.71B)

[The GOAT]

 

[cannastop]

 

On 8/5/2023 at 1:09 AM, cannastop said:

2PM Report Mimorin August 5th

 

(including independent) like yesterday

 

33160: Kingdom 3 (82% increase over Friday)

30618: Crayon Shin-chan (3% decrease under Friday)

24750: Elemental (2% increase over Friday)

24646: Mission Impossible (91% increase over Friday)

22268: Transformers (26% increase over Friday)

21177: How Do you Live (66% increase over Friday)

 

 

2pm Update Mimorin August 6

Including independent, like yesterday

 

44903: Crayon Shin-chan. (47% increase over Sat)

43727: Kingdom 3 (32% increase over Sat)

35066: Elemental (42% increase over Sat)

30706: Mission Impossible (25% increase over Sat)

25924: How Do You Live (22% increase over Sat)

23413: Transformers (5% increase over Sat)

 

@IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son sign of legs?

Edited August 6, 2023 by cannastop

[JustLurking]

1 minute ago, cannastop said:

 

2pm Update Mimorin August 6

Including independent, like yesterday

 

44903: Crayon Shin-chan. (47% increase over Sat)

43727: Kingdom 3 (32% increase over Sat)

35066: Elemental (42% increase over Sat)

30706: Mission Impossible (25% increase over Sat)

25924: How Do You Live (22% increase over Sat)

23413: Transformers (5% increase over Sat)

 

@IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son sign of legs?

no, like I said family films will always jump on sunday. sunday in general is often the best day of the week in japan but for family films it is usually BY FAR the best day of the week. just look at how even a run of the mill doraemon film does and you'll see that sunday is usually just a big jump.

 

big increase on sun is quite normal, I wouldn't try and extrapolate leg signs until atleast the first set of weekdays

[cannastop]

1 minute ago, JustLurking said:

no, like I said family films will always jump on sunday. sunday in general is often the best day of the week in japan but for family films it is usually BY FAR the best day of the week. just look at how even a run of the mill doraemon film does and you'll see that sunday is usually just a big jump.

 

big increase on sun is quite normal, I wouldn't try and extrapolate leg signs until atleast the first set of weekdays

Hmm OK. I just noticed that How Do You Live didn't have Sunday jumps so I was wondering.

[JustLurking]

55 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Hmm OK. I just noticed that How Do You Live didn't have Sunday jumps so I was wondering.

its been pretty clear from the start given weekday trends that HDYL's audience is really old so it's not surprising tbh. but yeah, it's not looking good for HDYL on sunday, will be well under 400M unless it crawls back.

Edited August 6, 2023 by JustLurking

[Issac Newton]

On 8/2/2023 at 9:32 PM, Issac Newton said:

2019 Doraemon - 35316 FRI | 157910 SAT | 240717 SUN ~ ¥757M 3-Days Start

2020 Doraemon - 65971 FRI | 87355 SAT | 108398 SUN ~ ¥551M 3-Days Start

2022 Doraemon - 23421 FRI | 97303 SAT | 125564 SUN ~ ¥440M 3-Days Start

Bump. Doraemon Comps Full-Day (Mimorin+AEON)

[cannastop]

23 hours ago, cannastop said:

7pm Update Mimorin August 5

 

Including independent, like yesterday

 

67619: Kingdom 3 (89% increase from Yesterday)

47011: Crayon Shin-chan (3% increase from Yesterday)

44059: How Do You Live (73% increase from Yesterday)

43533: Mission Impossible (97% increase from Yesterday)

39541: Elemental (11% increase from Yesterday)

38514: Transformers (17% increase from Yesterday)

7pm Update Mimorin August 6

 

Including independent, like yesterday

 

81797: Kingdom 3 (21% increase from Sat)

66408: Crayon Shin-chan (41% increase from Sat)

54079: Elemental: (37% increase from Sat)

50556: Mission Impossible (16% increase from Sat)

50400: How Do You Live (14% increase from Sat)

39050: Transformers: (1% increase from Sat)

 

I'm mainly doing this because Mimorin doesn't automatically calculate what the daily % drop is. Also just for my own satisfaction.

[Issac Newton]

 

4th movie has been announced - Will it increases or drop?¿

 

2018 Film - ¥1.72B

2019 Film - ¥1.79B

2021 Film - ¥3.43B

 

3rd Film opened on same Weekend as F9 (which did ¥3.667B)

[SchumacherFTW]

7 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

 

4th movie has been announced - Will it increases or drop?¿

 

2018 Film - ¥1.72B

2019 Film - ¥1.79B

2021 Film - ¥3.43B

 

3rd Film opened on same Weekend as F9 (which did ¥3.667B)

Feels like this is way past the peak in popularity both at home or abroad. Maybe 2bn range? 

[JustLurking]

3rd film was boosted by rody becoming something of a fujoshi sensation so this one should come back to earth a bit, agreed on that 2b range

[cannastop]

8 minutes ago, JustLurking said:

3rd film was boosted by rody becoming something of a fujoshi sensation so this one should come back to earth a bit, agreed on that 2b range

What in the world lol

[Issac Newton]

¥2.0B sounds safer (⁠゜⁠o⁠゜⁠;

[Issac Newton]

How Do You Live?

 

WKend - ¥335M // ¥5.469B

 

- Eiga estimates -

[Issac Newton]

Shin Chan 3D

 

¥365M / $2.6M ~ across 3-Days OW

 

ATP looks low.. so Elemental will also fall behind Luiz/Franspeech Estimate. Wonder what Studio will report -

[Issac Newton]

Elemental

 

¥320M / $2.26M ~ across 3-Days OW (Est )

 

That's below "LightYear"(¥383M/267K admits) ~ 2nd Biggest Start for Post-CoVid-19 Disney Animation. With better WOM, Elemental will do better and safely exceed "LightYear" (¥1.223B)

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

where does Franspeech get their numbers from? They are significantly higher in USD than the estimates we have.

 

Edit: ah I see they're trying to guess the ATP but it will probably be much lower

Edited August 6, 2023 by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son

[Issac Newton]

40 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Edit: ah I see they're trying to guess the ATP but it will probably be much lower

Yeah, Family Film has lower ATP which make calculation difficult. I too lost the ability after Ticket Inflation of each chain by ¥100 (each week). JL is good and close to it. Hopefully, Studio should release intial USD Numbers and if not then tomorrow we will get JPY Numbers by Evening -

Edited August 6, 2023 by Issac Newton