JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[JCS]

I would be very happy with at least $35M in Japan for Avengers, anything over that is a great bonus!Especially as it is a superhero film.

[Corpse]

Corpse, could better tell us about the WOM? If it can really push into the mid 50's since SM is the only SH to make in that neighborhood.

It's unlikely to reach the 4-4.5 billion needed for over $50 million regardless of WOM. It's first entire week was a holiday, so legs will of course be cut short (they already are since Obon ended before the Weekend, technically). It's opening weekend doesn't look to be much higher than the opening day, and could be less in admissions since Tuesday was a discount ticket day at Toho locations. After checking a few locations, it's not too far ahead of Umizaru or Wolf Children in ticket sales for today. Obon is over, and Summer Vacation is about to end, too. 3 billion ($40 million) will be the goal I believe, and that's a very impressive total, too.I am in the process of updating User Reviews. While it's online only, it might show how WOM is turning out. Edited August 18, 2012 by Corpse

[Fullbuster]

Why do you think about numbers like $50m, are you crazy ? Do you want to be disappointed ? The success of TA in Japan wasn't sure at all, It just needs $35m to reach $1.5B WW, it's the goal, I'm happy it can pass it.

[Corpse]

User Reviews

Eiga :: Yahoo! Movies :: goo :: Pia :: Average Score

Openers (Wide)

4.50 :: 4.50 :: - :: 4.00 :: 4.33 Avg. (new) :: Fairy Tail: Priestess of the Phoenix :: August :: Week 1

4.00 :: 3.98 :: 3.55 :: 4.00 :: 3.88 Avg. (new) :: The Avengers :: August :: Week 1

3.00 :: 2.82 :: 4.00 :: 3.30 :: 3.28 Avg. (new) :: The Grey :: August :: Week 1

Holdovers (Last Week's Top 10)

3.50 :: 4.48 :: 4.15 :: 4.55 :: 4.17 Avg. (-0.05) :: Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted :: August :: Week 3

4.00 :: 4.22 :: 4.15 :: 4.10 :: 4.12 Avg. (-0.04) :: Umizaru: Brave Hearts :: July :: Week 6

4.00 :: 4.26 :: 3.85 :: 4.25 :: 4.09 Avg. (-0.05) :: The Dark Knight Rises :: July :: Week 4

4.00 :: 3.98 :: 4.10 :: 3.95 :: 4.01 Avg. (+0.01) :: The Wolf Children Ame and Yuki :: July :: Week 5

3.50 :: 3.97 :: 4.00 :: 3.95 :: 3.86 Avg. (-0.13) :: Kamen Rider Fourze: Everyone, Space is Here! :: August :: Week 3

4.00 :: 4.20 :: 2.65 :: 4.00 :: 3.71 Avg. (-0.04) :: Naruto: Road to Ninja :: July :: Week 4

3.50 :: 3.53 :: 3.40 :: 3.65 :: 3.52 Avg. (+0.02) :: Eight Ranger :: July :: Week 4

3.00 :: 3.04 :: 3.40 :: 3.40 :: 3.21 Avg. (+0.01) :: Total Recall :: August :: Week 2

4.00 :: 3.07 :: 3.00 :: 1.85 :: 2.98 Avg. (-0.06) :: Pokemon BW: Kyurem Vs. The Sacred Swordsman :: July :: Week 6

2.50 :: 2.87 :: 2.60 :: 3.20 :: 2.79 Avg. (-0.01) :: Heruta Skelter :: July :: Week 6

Edited August 18, 2012 by Corpse

[Fullbuster]

User Reviews

Eiga :: Yahoo! Movies :: goo :: Pia :: Average Score

Openers (Wide)

4.50 :: 4.50 :: - :: 4.00 :: 4.33 Avg. (new) :: Fairy Tail: Priestess of the Phoenix :: August :: Week 1

4.00 :: 3.98 :: 3.55 :: 4.00 :: 3.88 Avg. (new) :: The Avengers :: August :: Week 1

3.00 :: 2.82 :: 4.00 :: 3.30 :: 3.28 Avg. (new) :: The Grey :: August :: Week 1

Holdovers (Last Week's Top 10)

3.50 :: 4.48 :: 4.15 :: 4.55 :: 4.17 Avg. (-0.05) :: Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted :: August :: Week 3

4.00 :: 4.22 :: 4.15 :: 4.10 :: 4.12 Avg. (-0.04) :: Umizaru: Brave Hearts :: July :: Week 6

4.00 :: 4.26 :: 3.85 :: 4.25 :: 4.09 Avg. (-0.05) :: The Dark Knight Rises :: July :: Week 5

4.00 :: 3.98 :: 4.10 :: 3.95 :: 4.01 Avg. (+0.01) :: The Wolf Children Ame and Yuki :: July :: Week 5

3.50 :: 3.97 :: 4.00 :: 3.95 :: 3.86 Avg. (-0.13) :: Kamen Rider Fourze: Everyone, Space is Here! :: August :: Week 3

4.00 :: 4.20 :: 2.65 :: 4.00 :: 3.71 Avg. (-0.04) :: Naruto: Road to Ninja :: July :: Week 4

3.50 :: 3.53 :: 3.40 :: 3.65 :: 3.52 Avg. (+0.02) :: Eight Ranger :: July :: Week 4

3.00 :: 3.04 :: 3.40 :: 3.40 :: 3.21 Avg. (+0.01) :: Total Recall :: August :: Week 2

4.00 :: 3.07 :: 3.00 :: 1.85 :: 2.98 Avg. (-0.06) :: Pokemon BW: Kyurem Vs. The Sacred Swordsman :: July :: Week 6

2.50 :: 2.87 :: 2.60 :: 3.20 :: 2.79 Avg. (-0.01) :: Heruta Skelter :: July :: Week 6

Japaneses seem to be excited about the first Fairy Tail movie, I can understand I hope it's not bad for The Avengers, I don't think so but..

[Olive]

Fingers crossed for 3 billion Yen.

[Corpse]

A more interesting goal I think is if it reaches about 3.3 billion ($42 million) and beats The Amazing Spider-Man. Only a handful thought that would be possible, I'm sure.

[druv10]

User Reviews

Eiga :: Yahoo! Movies :: goo :: Pia :: Average Score

Openers (Wide)

4.50 :: 4.50 :: - :: 4.00 :: 4.33 Avg. (new) :: Fairy Tail: Priestess of the Phoenix :: August :: Week 1

4.00 :: 3.98 :: 3.55 :: 4.00 :: 3.88 Avg. (new) :: The Avengers :: August :: Week 1

3.00 :: 2.82 :: 4.00 :: 3.30 :: 3.28 Avg. (new) :: The Grey :: August :: Week 1

Holdovers (Last Week's Top 10)

3.50 :: 4.48 :: 4.15 :: 4.55 :: 4.17 Avg. (-0.05) :: Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted :: August :: Week 3

4.00 :: 4.22 :: 4.15 :: 4.10 :: 4.12 Avg. (-0.04) :: Umizaru: Brave Hearts :: July :: Week 6

4.00 :: 4.26 :: 3.85 :: 4.25 :: 4.09 Avg. (-0.05) :: The Dark Knight Rises :: July :: Week 4

4.00 :: 3.98 :: 4.10 :: 3.95 :: 4.01 Avg. (+0.01) :: The Wolf Children Ame and Yuki :: July :: Week 5

3.50 :: 3.97 :: 4.00 :: 3.95 :: 3.86 Avg. (-0.13) :: Kamen Rider Fourze: Everyone, Space is Here! :: August :: Week 3

4.00 :: 4.20 :: 2.65 :: 4.00 :: 3.71 Avg. (-0.04) :: Naruto: Road to Ninja :: July :: Week 4

3.50 :: 3.53 :: 3.40 :: 3.65 :: 3.52 Avg. (+0.02) :: Eight Ranger :: July :: Week 4

3.00 :: 3.04 :: 3.40 :: 3.40 :: 3.21 Avg. (+0.01) :: Total Recall :: August :: Week 2

4.00 :: 3.07 :: 3.00 :: 1.85 :: 2.98 Avg. (-0.06) :: Pokemon BW: Kyurem Vs. The Sacred Swordsman :: July :: Week 6

2.50 :: 2.87 :: 2.60 :: 3.20 :: 2.79 Avg. (-0.01) :: Heruta Skelter :: July :: Week 6

Thanks, by this TDKR has better WOM than TA. Why has TDKR had some bad drops comparatively speaking in Japan?

A more interesting goal I think is if it reaches about 3.3 billion ($42 million) and beats The Amazing Spider-Man. Only a handful thought that would be possible, I'm sure.

50M+ was hypothetical on my part. I'll be happy with 35M+ for TA. :)

[MrPink]

Thanks, by this TDKR has better WOM than TA. Why has TDKR had some bad drops comparatively speaking in Japan?

User reviews skewed by TA's marketing campaign + dedicated TDK fanbase is my guess. As in, the Batman films have a hardcore fan base and they drove out to see it quickly, but it did not broadly appeal itself beyond that Edited August 18, 2012 by MrPink

[Fullbuster]

User reviews skewed by TA's marketing campaign + dedicated TDK fanbase is my guess. As in, the Batman films have a hardcore fan base and they drove out to see it quickly, but it did not broadly appeal itself beyond that

I don't think Batman has a big fanbase there, it's Japan, where Batman isn't famous, same thing for The Avengers.Probably the marketing campaign.

[bballman24]

Batman doesn't have a fan base in Japan like the US.TDK was mixed even in huge internet sites like 2ch.SH genre isn't simply that huge outside SM, and possibly now with TA (TDKR somewhat). Even TA is an anomaly since every other Marvel film tanked big time.

[druv10]

Batman doesn't have a fan base in Japan like the US.TDK was mixed even in huge internet sites like 2ch.SH genre isn't simply that huge outside SM, and possibly now with TA (TDKR somewhat). Even TA is an anomaly since every other Marvel film tanked big time.

Any reason why TA bucked the trend? Could IM3 or Thor 2 next year also buck the trend?

[JCS]

Any reason why TA bucked the trend? Could IM3 or Thor 2 next year also buck the trend?

Probably because it is seen as a epic, event movie and not so much as an unpopular (in Japan) superhero film. The trailer and the New York battle looks similar to Transformers 3...etc which Japan likes.

[Corpse]

August 18-19

Weekend Projections (based on Saturday Data)

1 (-) ¥379 million ($4.7 million), 0, The Avengers (Disney) NEW

2 (1) ¥224 million ($2.8 million), -17%, Umizaru: Brave Hearts (Toho) Week 6

3 (2) ¥207 million ($2.6 million), -8%, The Wolf Children Ame and Yuki (Toho) Week 5

4 (4) ¥133 million ($1.7 million), -22%, Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted (Paramount) Week 3

5 (6) ¥102 million ($1.3 million), -35%, Pokemon BW: Kyurem Vs. The Sacred Swordsman (Toho) Week 6

6 (7) ¥89 million ($1.1 million), -38%, The Dark Knight Rises (Warner Bros.) Week 4

7 (3) ¥88 million ($1.1 million), -58%, Total Recall (FOX) Week 2

8 (5) ¥81 million ($1.0 million), -48%, Kamen Rider Fourze: Everyone, Space is Here! (TOEI) Week 3

9 (8) ¥61 million ($775,000), -51%, Naruto: Road to Ninja (Toho) Week 4

10 (-) ¥42 million ($550,000), 0, Fairy Tail: Priestess of the Phoenix (Shochiku) NEW

'The Avengers' will have about the same opening weekend as 'The Dark Knight Rises' and may see a Top 15 opening weekend so far this year.

'Umizaru 4' holds surprisingly well and may fend of 'Wolf Children's' run at it's position.

'Wolf Children' once again has the best hold (it increased last weekend). The sky's the limit here with it's projected sub-10% post-Obon Week drop being much better than 'Kokuriko Hill', 'Toy Story 3', and 'Arrietty'.

'Total Recall' plummets. Not unexpected though with the mixed reviews and this being it's second weekend and post-Obon Week.

'Fairy Tail' should have performed a bit better, but the low screen count and the many animated films in release this summer certainly affected it. I thought the fanbase would have driven it closer to 100 million.

Edited August 19, 2012 by Corpse

[druv10]

Thanks Corpse. Awesome for TA, so it's around 16M for the 6 day opening. :)

[druv10]

Corpse can you explain why TDKR's not having better holds? It has slightly better average score compared to Wolf Children and on par with Umizaro.

[Corpse]

I honestly don't know. The reviews are there, but this time of year is really big for family films and they thrive the most. The dark tone, and long running time, of The Dark Knight Rises probably doesn't make for a good holiday film.

[druv10]

I honestly don't know. The reviews are there, but this time of year is really big for family films and they thrive the most. The dark tone, and long running time, of The Dark Knight Rises probably doesn't make for a good holiday film.

Thanks, shouldn't that help TA's legs out since it's a great family film?

[RthDeadWov]

TA sat should be around lc240m admits 160k (TDKR lc192m)cume about 1.125m admits 774kPrometheus had previews again sat about 90m (3rd week previews)

[Corpse]

Thanks, shouldn't that help TA's legs out since it's a great family film?

I don't know if I'd call it a great family film. Families have chosen Wolf Children, Madagascar, and Pokemon to attend right now. I expect young males are the primary viewing audience for The Avengers. And don't expect much of The Avengers' legs. It opened on a Tuesday of a Holiday Week, so it's naturally going to be quite frontloaded. What it would have grossed in two or three weeks has just been consumed by the past 6 days. Summer is at and end now, too, so normal weekday grosses will begin very soon.Spider-Man 3 had a 2.2x 6-day multiplier when it opened during Golden Week.Night at the Museum 2 had a 2.5x 5-day multiplier when it opened during Obon Week.A 6-day multiplier around those films is most likely, giving it approx. a 2.9-3.3 billion yen ($37-43 million) range. Edited August 19, 2012 by Corpse