lab276 Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 I can't believe you're bumping a post you made 5 days before it came out lab. That's funny.Well, it's something. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 (edited) And it feels much longer than five days. I don't know why. Edited June 9, 2012 by lab276 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Yea, but all you have to do 5 days before a film comes out is be able to read. Making bold statements like kids will hate it, it will make less than 125 mill, the 2nd one sucked so kids will stay away (not that you said all of this, but you know what I mean) three months back, that's where a prediction comes in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Well, I sticked with my predictiong until the end (under 40M OW) and I failed miserably. I am happy I was wrong, tho. Good to see Madagascar 3 doing so well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 I don't even remember reading the tracking numbers, it's just the overwhelming feeling that something has to break out eventually. I thought the box office would be stronger at the time and Madagascar would be totally lost in the rut, in addition to whatever I said before abut it looking terrible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 I don't even remember reading the tracking numbers, it's just the overwhelming feeling that something has to break out eventually. I thought the box office would be stronger at the time and Madagascar would be totally lost in the rut, in addition to whatever I said before abut it looking terrible.Well, it's fun to be vindicated. If ASM ends up breaking out, there are a litany of posts that you can bump with me claiming it will fail. Part of teh fun of making predictions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Well, it's fun to be vindicated. If ASM ends up breaking out, there are a litany of posts that you can bump with me claiming it will fail. Part of teh fun of making predictions. Absolutely, and it's good you stuck to your guns. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 yeah, I underestimated this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Yep, many did. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 (edited) This film is very entertaining just like most DWA pics. Edited June 9, 2012 by Olive Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandrew Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 What is the general consensus on this? what are the criticas liking about it? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 What is the general consensus on this? what are the criticas liking about it?Critics don't matter. It got a very good A- cinemascore. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magic Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 I didn't see this doing 60M after the legs the second one had. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 (edited) 60M is not that great considering it is 3D. I wouldn't call it a break out. Also it's the first animated kids film in a while. Finally something for parents to take their brats to Edited June 9, 2012 by Shriekofthevulture Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 60M is not that great considering it is 3D. I wouldn't call it a break outIt is great. It'll be very close to 200 mill when all the coin is counted. Might even beat ASM. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magic Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 It is great. It'll be very close to 200 mill when all the coin is counted. Might even beat ASM. :lol: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 competition from Brave and Ice Age and Spider-Man should prevent it from reaching 200M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forg Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Just saw it, very fun movie to watch. Kids (and kids at heart) will totally love this one. Oh I know a lot of you here hate the Afro Circus bit but it works well with kids. It's a visually appealing movie. Glad to see this doing well in the box office and while before I said that Dreamworks should have kept the original May date, moving it to June worked for it as Avengers was such a phenomenon that it could have affected the movie's BO but releasing it in June worked for it, it had the family audience by itself Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 competition from Brave and Ice Age and Spider-Man should prevent it from reaching 200MWell, it doesn't need to hit 200 to be a success. It should do 180 for sure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Here is a sampling of non Pixar animated films released in the summer and their multipliers:Despicable Me: 256 mill off a 56 mill opening: 4.48Shrek 4: 238 off 70: 3.4Kung Fu Panda: 215 off 60: 3.58Ice Age 3: 196 off 41: 4.78Kung Fu Panda 2: 165 off 47: 3.5Over the Hedge: 155 off 38: 4.07Now, the lowest opening of these animated films in the summer is 38 mill but that was for an original film. So the next lowest is 41 mill for IA3. Now it ended up being really well received and had a massive multiplier. So let;s say Madagascar is not well received and it opens to about what IA3 did. Give it a 43 mill opening. Give it a low multiplier of 3.4 (which is the lowest multpiler on here..shrek 4) and with that you have 146 mill. Voila. This is not making less than 100 mill and I'll put a big bet on that. There is simply no precedent for it.3.5 looks pretty doable seeing as KFP did that and two weeks later Pixar supposedly would kill its legs also. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
