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baumer

Thursday numbers (big jump for Avengers)

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1 Marvel's The Avengers $4,445,167 12% 4,249 -100 $1,046 $476,684,788 3 Disney2 Battleship $1,678,950 1% 3,690 -- $455 $33,505,345 1 Universal3 The Dictator $1,543,000 2% 3,008 5 $513 $31,848,463 1 Paramount4 Dark Shadows $1,151,342 10% 3,755 0 $307 $55,482,896 2 Warner Bros.5 What to Expect When You're Expecting $1,051,634 7% 3,021 -- $348 $15,021,248 1 Lionsgate6 The Hunger Games $399,295 21% 2,064 -467 $193 $393,008,785 9 Lionsgate7 Think Like a Man $257,412 7% 1,722 -295 $149 $86,871,941 5 Sony / Screen Gems8 The Lucky One (2012) $206,128 19% 2,005 -834 $103 $57,712,833 5 Warner Bros.9 The Pirates! Band of Misfits $168,395 13% 1,840 -1008 $92 $26,204,304 4 Sony / Columbia10 The Five-Year Engagement $135,125 10% 1,175 -1394 $115 $27,655,285 4 UniversalLimited (100 — 999) # Title Thu, May. 24 2012 Locations Avg. Total Wks. Dist.1 The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel $471,005 2% 354 176 $1,331 $10,203,496 3 Fox Searchlight2 Chimpanzee $99,724 16% 895 -505 $111 $27,373,646 5 Disneynature3 The Cabin in the Woods $52,238 9% 448 -581 $117 $40,758,721 6 Lionsgate4 Mirror Mirror $46,568 33% 407 -200 $114 $61,718,257 8 Relativity Media5 Dr. Seuss' The Lorax $45,480 20% 379 -76 $120 $210,363,770 12 Universal6 Wrath of the Titans $40,941 1% 360 95 $114 $82,695,376 8 Warner Bros.7 The Three Stooges $39,583 10% 594 -433 $67 $41,981,354 6 Fox8 Girl in Progress $34,720 10% 322 0 $108 $2,278,273 2 Lionsgate / Pantelion9 Safe (2012) $34,020 1% 503 -1187 $68 $16,736,953 4 Lionsgate10 The Raven $33,981 3% 432 -1456 $79 $15,675,490 4 Relativity Media11 American Reunion $24,650 31% 290 -231 $85 $56,592,105 7 Universal12 Journey 2: The Mysterious Island $20,227 22% 245 -15 $83 $102,933,493 15 Warner Bros. / New Line13 Salmon Fishing in the Yemen $16,373 21% 134 -66 $122 $8,780,835 11 CBS Films14 Lockout $8,894 16% 191 -64 $47 $14,326,865 6 Open Road15 A Thousand Words $6,000 11% 110 -17 $55 $18,397,943 11 Paramount16 The Artist $4,247 18% 103 -648 $41 $44,563,750 26 Weinstein Company

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Ray's weekend predictions on BOM says Sony is projecting 80m for the 4 day. Usually the studios try to lowball their projections/predictions so there's more room to avoid dissapointment. They must think it will do better than that. I think MIB 3 is going to surprise a lot of people.

Hope so, MIB really deserves it
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The Friday increases are going to be subdued for everything; Thursday was extraordinarily strong, and I'd caution against comparing to recent Memorial Day weekends, since this is the first one since 2007 to have no openers on Thursday (first since 2006 if you count 8pm previews). Sub 100% for Avengers though? It wouldn't knock me on my ass, but we'll see. :PAs for MIB3, I don't see less than $60m for the 3-day with that midnight figure. Prince of Persia got ~500k from its midnights.

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The Friday increases are going to be subdued for everything; Thursday was extraordinarily strong, and I'd caution against comparing to recent Memorial Day weekends, since this is the first one since 2007 to have no openers on Thursday (first since 2006 if you count 8pm previews). Sub 100% for Avengers though? It wouldn't knock me on my ass, but we'll see. :PAs for MIB3, I don't see less than $60m for the 3-day with that midnight figure. Prince of Persia got ~500k from its midnights.

Iron Man 2 was up 9% the Thursday before Memorial Day and increased 140% on that Friday, I see TA around there.
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with 100% it still goes to 43.5 million for the 4-day.So that seems the floor.With 120% it goes to over 48 million.Also a low drop is possibile...Last weekend in Canada, TA was down less than 30% over the 3-days over the Holiday

Edited by Lordmandeep
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