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Biggestgeekever

4 day Actuals pg 62+; MIB3 69.25m TA 47.22m

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Is this accurate for The Avengers? Following the Iron Man path...My projections for this week:Tuesday = $2.90M (cume $526.46M)Wednesday = $2.65M (cume $529.05M)Thursday = $2.55M (cume $531.60M)Friday = $6.95M (cume $538.55M)Saturday = $11.10M (cume $549.65M)Sunday = $6.80M (cume $556.45M)5th Weekend approx cume $25M.Yay, nay?

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Title Mon, May. 28 2012 Locations Avg. Total Wks. Dist. 1 Men in Black 3 $14,661,938 -18% 4,248 -- $3,451 $69,254,717 1 Sony / Columbia 2 Marvel's The Avengers $10,535,543 -19% 3,918 -331 $2,689 $523,907,202 4 Disney 3 Battleship $2,887,560 -25% 3,702 12 $780 $47,443,375 2 Universal 4 The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel $1,977,540 -12% 1,233 879 $1,604 $18,564,239 4 Fox Searchlight 5 Dark Shadows $1,934,859 -25% 3,404 -351 $568 $64,922,142 3 Warner Bros. 6 What to Expect When You're Expecting $1,677,646 -26% 3,021 0 $555 $23,826,813 2 Lionsgate 7 Chernobyl Diaries $1,399,817 -31% 2,433 -- $575 $9,355,124 1 Warner Bros. 8 The Hunger Games $701,977 -15% 1,421 -643 $494 $396,022,168 10 Lionsgate

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Is this accurate for The Avengers?Following the Iron Man path...My projections for this week:Tuesday = $2.90M (cume $526.46M)Wednesday = $2.65M (cume $529.05M)Thursday = $2.55M (cume $531.60M)Friday = $6.95M (cume $538.55M)Saturday = $11.10M (cume $549.65M)Sunday = $6.80M (cume $556.45M)5th Weekend approx cume $25M.Yay, nay?

I think it will fall harder than 33% for the 5th weekend. It should be over 45%.
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But I guess anything is possible. I'd love to see it fall less than 40%. That would ensure it'll make a push for 620.

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But I guess anything is possible. I'd love to see it fall less than 40%. That would ensure it'll make a push for 620.

If TA drops under 40% for the 5th weekend than we are not looking at 620M instead we are looking at 650M.
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I think it will fall harder than 33% for the 5th weekend. It should be over 45%.

Oops you're right... I completely ignored that the $47M cume was a 4-day. The actual 3-day was around $37M. If it drops at 40% though... it could still hit $22M next weekend. Edited by Jordanstine
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I know, right? Chernobyl is a creepy place, it would make for a great, atmospheric horror movie...

For sure!

There are also a lot of incredible/haunting architectures in Russia and eastern countries.

A lot are influenced by sciencefiction, spaceships and ufoes pattern.

I don't know what Hollywood is waiting for to go there!

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how come people think MIB3 will have horrible legs? Isn't the WOM mostly positive?

I would say "lukewarm". It still definitely seems like a walk-up kind of film and if those people end up deciding to try out Snow White or Prometheus...welll...I saw the film yesterday and did enjoy it but I think in the last forty minutes there were maybe two minutes that had, you know, ACTUAL ALIENS. I mean you got Rick Baker to make these delightful retro alien creatures and you BARELY do anything with them. I cannot under any circumstance see how this movie couldn't have been done for half the supposed cost.
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Is this accurate for The Avengers? Following the Iron Man path...My projections for this week:Tuesday = $2.90M (cume $526.46M)Wednesday = $2.65M (cume $529.05M)Thursday = $2.55M (cume $531.60M)Friday = $6.95M (cume $538.55M)Saturday = $11.10M (cume $549.65M)Sunday = $6.80M (cume $556.45M)5th Weekend approx cume $25M.Yay, nay?

I was low by 20% last week, so my guesses are obviously wild. Here are this week's guesses tho:T - 2.6mW - 2.1mH - 2.4mW/E - 20mI can see lee drops due to lack of competition this week; I was expecting mib to compete better than it now appears to be doing.
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... I cannot under any circumstance see how this movie couldn't have been done for half the supposed cost.

Agreed. I don't know where the 200+m went, but it didn't look a expensive as that. I liked it, 3/5.
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how come people think MIB3 will have horrible legs? Isn't the WOM mostly positive?

WOM on MIB is "meh". Not bad, but not good either. With so TA still doing good business and so many movies coming out in the next couple of weeks, I feel MIB will fall quickly. I doubt it gets a 3x multiplier off the 3-day.
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