The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey OS Thread: OVER 1B WW!

[Dementeleus]

I've read somewhere the trilogy has already cost 650M.Part II and Part III will cost alot during post-production.

Rival studios are floating the "$315m apiece" number. Probably somewhat (maybe even significantly) less than that.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Remember P&A can cost as much as p&b.

[Dementeleus]

Remember P&A can cost as much as p&b.

I've never heard of P&A costing more than $150m, and that's only for the hugest worldwide releases (which TH certainly qualifies as).

[IndustriousAngel]

As far as I know, The Hobbit was budgeted at 500mil US$ for 2 films. Now we may safely add 100mil for the third because of post and additional shoots and FX which would put the trilogy at 600mil or about 200mil for each film. The shooting was completely on schedule, the original budget also had some pickup shots for 2013 but those will be expanded to about 12 weeks as PJ mentioned at Austin (that's longer than many features take for principal shooting).Now add to those 600mil about 100mil or more for marketing per film and you're at nearly 1billion US$ or even higher - but remember, that's for 3 films. So we can safely assume that "The Hobbit" is not a flop, it will even make its money back during its theatrical run which is a rare thing for big-budgeted films like this.

[lab276]

What an insane amount of money.

[Fake]

Germany trend: 1.225m admissions including Wednesday.So $16-18m weekend.

[Olive]

In GermanyOW- TOTAL adm.LOTR1 2.65M -11.8MLOTR2 2.93M - 10.7MLOTR3 3.06M - 10.4M

[lab276]

Not great.

[Fake]

Not good..... at all!If that trend holds, even 5m total looks difficult.

[lab276]

Wait don't panic! Those OW numbers for the LOTR films are the first seven days!

[IndustriousAngel]

We'll have to wait for the 2nd weekend for a realistic look; H1 opens 1 week earlier than the LotR-films and has no holidays atm. Even today (Fri), the 8pm HFR show has 5x the presales of the 4pm HFR show - everybody's in school, working or shopping. Sat 3pm HFR has more than double the presales than Fri4pm.At my show reactions were very positive, I think it will get good WOM, but if it can manage a multiplier >5 remains to be seen.

[Elessar]

In GermanyOW- TOTAL adm.LOTR1 2.65M -11.8MLOTR2 2.93M - 10.7MLOTR3 3.06M - 10.4M

5 day opening (admissions)2,239,684 LOTR12,634,701 LOTR22,666,776 LOTR3

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Hobbit flopped in HK.

[Robertron]

Ouch.It's all I can say.

[Fake]

Wait don't panic! Those OW numbers for the LOTR films are the first seven days!

That's why I am giving it a 4-4.5x multiplier from 4-day.

[efialtes76]

ItalyOD:€0.650mROTK:€1.3m

[A Marvel Fanboy]

50% drop ....

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Quick breakdown by continents:EU 270m+?Asia 170MLatin-A 100MPacific 50MNA 300MWW 900M~950m

Edited December 14, 2012 by firedeep

[CJohn]

You are ridiculous. You are forgetting Christmas holidays. The Hobbit will reign over all countries until early January. 1B WW is locked.

[Elessar]

I wouldn't be surprised by it missing $1b WW.