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Official France Box Office Thread

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5th week : 1,13M

6th week : 700k-800k

7th week : 400k-500k

8th week : 250k-350k

Rest : 750k-1,5M

 

Total : 13,55M-14,6M

 

12M admits locked

13M admits almost locked

14M admits looks like 50/50

Edited by LPLC
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Avatar: WoW
    Drop% Weekly Weekly Drop  
1st Weekend 1,847,065        
Mon-Tue 892,783   2,739,848   2,739,848
2nd Weekend 1,823,143 -1.30%     4,562,991
Mon-Tue 1,187,167   3,010,310 9.87% 5,750,158
3rd Weekend 2,440,191 33.85%     8,190,349
Mon-Tue 503,520   2,943,711 -2.21% 8,693,869
4th Weekend 1,408,481 -42.28%     10,102,350
Mon-Tue 224,018   1,632,499 -44.54% 10,326,368
5th Weekend 974,174 -30.84%     11,300,542
Mon-Tue 152,374   1,126,548 -30.99% 11,452,916

 

That's 5th Week 1M+ week in a row.

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BOX-OFFICE prévisionnel (du 18 au 24 janvier 2023) 

Rang

Titre

Entrées
Variation hebdo
Cumul (Millions)
Budget
Nbre de salles
1

790 000

- 30 %
12,243

350 M$

998
2
Babylon

450 000

New
0,450

110 M$

584
3
Tirailleurs

180 000

- 35 %
0,918

12,1 M€

596
4
La guerre des Lulus

180 000

New
0,180

8 M€

589
5

135 000

- 15 %
2,452

90 M$

728
6
Les cyclades

120 000

- 30 %
0,290

5,8 M€

443
7
L'immensita

75 000

- 20 %
0,167

11,7 M€

207
8

75 000

- 15 %
0,346

- M$

383
9
L'emprise du démon

50 000

- 40 %
0,135

- M$

254
10
Tempête

50 000

- 35 %
0,685

13,3 M€

617
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On 1/19/2023 at 3:23 PM, LPLC said:

BOX-OFFICE prévisionnel (du 18 au 24 janvier 2023) 

Rang

Titre

Entrées
Variation hebdo
Cumul (Millions)
Budget
Nbre de salles
1

790 000

- 30 %
12,243

350 M$

998
2
Babylon

450 000

New
0,450

110 M$

584
3
Tirailleurs

180 000

- 35 %
0,918

12,1 M€

596
4
La guerre des Lulus

180 000

New
0,180

8 M€

589
5

135 000

- 15 %
2,452

90 M$

728
6
Les cyclades

120 000

- 30 %
0,290

5,8 M€

443
7
L'immensita

75 000

- 20 %
0,167

11,7 M€

207
8

75 000

- 15 %
0,346

- M$

383
9
L'emprise du démon

50 000

- 40 %
0,135

- M$

254
10
Tempête

50 000

- 35 %
0,685

13,3 M€

617

New estimates:

Avatar-730k(-60k)

Babylon- 520k(+70k)

PiB-155k(+20k)

 

 

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If A2 has 33% drop every week for rest of it's run, it will end up 13.77M admissions. If it has 30% drop, then it will end up at roughly 14M admissions. If it has 25% drop, then it will end up at roughly 14.47M admissions

Edited by upriser7
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38 minutes ago, upriser7 said:

If A2 has 33% drop every week for rest of it's run, it will end up 13.77M admissions. If it has 30% drop, then it will end up at roughly 14M admissions. If it has 25% drop, then it will end up at roughly 14.47M admissions

 

what did avatar 1's first run end up at?

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Like in Italian or Bulgarian threads, here are my expectations

 

 

 

 

Likely over 3M admits :

 

 

- Aquaman 2

 

- Guardians of the Galaxy 3

 

- Dune Part Two

 

- Indiana Jones 5

 

- Super Mario Bros Movie

 

- Mission Impossible 7

 

- The Little Mermaid

 

 

 

Likely over 2M admits :

 

 

- Transformers Rise of the Beasts

 

- Oppenheimer

 

- Fast X

 

- Hunger Games The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes

 

- Wonka

 

- The Marvels

 

- Creed 3

 

 

 

Likely over 1M admits :

 

 

- The Flash

 

- Ant Man 3

 

- Spider-Man Across the Spider-Verse

 

- Elemental 

 

- The Equalizer 3

 

- Barbie

 

- John Wick 4

 

- Shazam 2

 

- Trolls 3 

 

- The meg 2

 

- The nun 2

 

 

 

I don't know but maybe around (over / under) 1M admits :

 

 

- Plane 

 

- 65

 

- The expendables 4 

 

- Dungeons & Dragons

 

- Scream 6

 

- Gran Turismo

 

Edited by LPLC
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5 hours ago, LPLC said:

Like in Italian or Bulgarian threads, here are my expectations

 

 

 

 

Likely over 3M admits :

 

 

- Aquaman 2

 

- Guardians of the Galaxy 3

 

- Dune Part Two

 

- Indiana Jones 5

 

 

 

Likely over 2M admits :

 

 

- Transformers Rise of the Beasts

 

- Oppenheimer

 

- Fast X

 

- Super Mario Bros Movie

 

- Hunger Games The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes

 

- Wonka

 

- The Marvels

 

- The Little Mermaid

 

- Mission Impossible 7

 

- Creed 3

 

 

 

Likely over 1M admits :

 

 

- The Flash

 

- Ant Man 3

 

- Spider-Man Across the Spider-Verse

 

- Elemental 

 

- The Equalizer 3

 

- Barbie

 

- John Wick 4

 

- Shazam 2

 

- Trolls 3 

 

- The meg 2

 

- The nun 2

 

 

 

I don't know but maybe around (over / under) 1M admits :

 

 

- Plane 

 

- 65

 

- The expendables 4 

 

- Dungeons & Dragons

 

- Scream 6

 

- Gran Turismo

 

I'd bump MI7 , Super Mario Bros movie and The Little Mermaid to the first group

 

Fallout made ove 3M this one won't be under

Super Mario is a huge known game that will play well with families 

The little Mermaid I just have a feeling this will do good , Disney remakes most of the time do

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On 1/25/2023 at 11:42 PM, simoimo19 said:

I'd bump MI7 , Super Mario Bros movie and The Little Mermaid to the first group

 

Fallout made ove 3M this one won't be under

Super Mario is a huge known game that will play well with families 

The little Mermaid I just have a feeling this will do good , Disney remakes most of the time do

Yes you are right, thank you

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BOX-OFFICE prévisionnel (du 25 au 31 janvier 2023) 

Rang

Titre

Entrées
Variation hebdo
Cumul (Millions)
Budget
Nbre de salles
1

465 000

- 35 %
12,637

350 M$

892
2

355 000

- 30 % 
0,864

110 M$

584
3
Pattie et la colère de Poséidon 

170 000

New
0,170

8,9 M€

526 
4
La guerre des Lulus

130 000

- 35 % 
0,330

8 M€

441
5
Mayday

125 000

New
0,125

25 M$

399 
6

125 000

- 15 %
2,591

90 M$

728
7
La famille Asada 

110 000

New
0,110

- M$

108
8
Tirailleurs

105 000

- 40 %
1,019

12,1 M€

874
9
Tar

85 000

New
0,085

- M$

196 
10
Divertimento

75 000

New
0,075

- M€

276

 

I think 14M is unlikely now for A2 but still possible with holidays and 13M are locked, let's try 13,5M

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could someone do me a solid and pass me a well developed french article on avatar 2 getting the all time box office record?

 

or will they only be written after actuals are out?

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