Danhjpn Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 17 minutes ago, Bruce said: -21% from last Fri +45% from Thurs Fri number just increased to 328k, so -20% from last fri 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, Korra Legion said: Finally found some of those presales as sat CGV comes in 271k, +10% from last week. I am projecting ~355k CGV final for ~770k day (-7% weekly) the fuck. 0.3 wlkups. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danhjpn Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, Korra Legion said: KOBIS eod should be ~900-950, with a ludicrous presale loading on sun — perhaps 350k start 420k end or something. After that the bank should be much lower. 10M+ admits still on the table? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joyous Legion Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: the fuck. 0.3 wlkups. You ain’t seen nothing yet 😛 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joyous Legion Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 I just have no idea how much it will drop from here, but 10M should be pretty safe, yeah Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 10m is not even a damn problem Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 (edited) 10 minutes ago, XXR It's 2 Damn Cold Out said: ATWOW > 10M admits? 11M? Odds look pretty decent for it but will realistically depend on how much its PS keeps chugging afterwards. Yesterday was really strong at +140k but today was a bit on the weaker side. Will probably be at like 5.6-5.7M or so by end of weekend I guess with a second week of near 3M - would have to collapse pretty hard for <10 from here Since its walkups are so weak (think it's fair to say a good chunk of typical walkup business has turned to buying in advance for this film by now) you can get a good grasp of how the holds will be at this point just by looking at PS. Edited December 23, 2022 by JustLurking Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GOGODanca Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 Any other movies in the past that have behaved similar to A2 in terms of ridiculous presales and low walkups? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 (edited) I believe The all presale is on the Christmas vacation Edited December 23, 2022 by Bruce Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stephanos13 Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 (edited) I guess people want to go to the best screening possible (format and seats) and they won't just go to just some random screening. Edited December 23, 2022 by stephanos13 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joyous Legion Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, GOGODanca said: Any other movies in the past that have behaved similar to A2 in terms of ridiculous presales and low walkups? Not that we have tracked. This is some endgame OD/ Sat/Sun bullshit, except that that was caused by running into the max feasible gross and here’s there’s plenty of slack. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 14 minutes ago, Bruce said: I believe The all presale is on the Christmas vacation Someone correct me if I'm wrong but I don't think SK has christmas vacation other than the 25th. They get a bit of a break on new years though iirc. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danhjpn Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 24 minutes ago, JustLurking said: Odds look pretty decent for it but will realistically depend on how much its PS keeps chugging afterwards. Yesterday was really strong at +140k but today was a bit on the weaker side. Will probably be at like 5.6-5.7M or so by end of weekend I guess with a second week of near 3M - would have to collapse pretty hard for <10 from here Since its walkups are so weak (think it's fair to say a good chunk of typical walkup business has turned to buying in advance for this film by now) you can get a good grasp of how the holds will be at this point just by looking at PS. 96% egg guarantees it won't happen? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 (edited) Take my word,Avatar 2 at least 10m in SK Edited December 23, 2022 by Bruce Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted December 23, 2022 Share Posted December 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, Danhjpn said: 96% egg guarantees it won't happen? Guarantees is a dumb term and I'm not going to go debate the semantics of locked in case it misses, but with a second week this solid, strong reception and no competition, there isn't much reason to expect it to collapse. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wotad Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 11 hours ago, JustLurking said: Odds look pretty decent for it but will realistically depend on how much its PS keeps chugging afterwards. Yesterday was really strong at +140k but today was a bit on the weaker side. Will probably be at like 5.6-5.7M or so by end of weekend I guess with a second week of near 3M - would have to collapse pretty hard for <10 from here Since its walkups are so weak (think it's fair to say a good chunk of typical walkup business has turned to buying in advance for this film by now) you can get a good grasp of how the holds will be at this point just by looking at PS. Couldnt walk up be weak because people are simply buying tickets to good screens before they get sold out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joyous Legion Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 Midday update: basically no change, 0.3 walk-ups was perhaps a somewhat bold call but working out just so. Maybe up it to 775k. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joyous Legion Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 23 hours ago, Legion in Boots said: ~355k CGV 356 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, Legion in Boots said: 356 do better precision on the dot or bust 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joyous Legion Posted December 24, 2022 Share Posted December 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, JustLurking said: do better precision on the dot or bust Really thought I had this one after 22:20 😭 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
