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On 7/17/2023 at 7:55 AM, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Monday July 17

 

Time / Total / Walkups 

 

Elemental

00:00 / 14,418 (-21%) / - 

15:00 / 35,326 (-16%) / 20,908 (-12%)

17:00 / 43,599 (-19%) / 29,181 (-18%)

19:00 / 51,369 (-22%) / 36,951 (-22%)

21:00 / 57,324 (-23%) / 42,906 (-23%)

23:00 / 59,873 (-23%) / 45,455 (-24%)

FINAL / 60,298 (-23% LW, -77% YD) / 45,880 (-23%)

 

3,813 showings (-22% LW), 15.8 PSA (-1% LW)

 

 

MI7

00:00 / 36,691/ - 

15:00 / 85,336 / 48,645 

17:00 / 100,539 / 63,848

19:00 / 113,338 / 76,647

21:00 / 124,312 / 87,621

23:00 / 128,552 / 91,861

FINAL / 129,152 (-71% YD) / 92,461

 

8,401 showings 15.4 PSA

 

Curiously, both Elemental and MI7 lost a large number of showings from the weekend to some of the smaller holdovers.

Tuesday July 18

 

Time / Total / Walkups 

 

Elemental

01:00 / 18,462 (-7% LW, +28% YD) / -

11:00 / 25,930 (-5% LW) / 7,468 (+2% LW)

13:00 / 32,984 (+2% LW) / 14,522 (+18% LW) 

15:00 / 42,119 (+5% LW*, +19% YD) / 23,737 (+16% LW*, +14% YD)

17:00 / 49,474 (+2% LW, +13% YD) / 31,012 (+9% LW, +6% YD)

19:00 / 56,282 (-3% LW, +10% YD) / 37,820 (-0% LW, +2% YD)

21:00 / 61,655 (+8% YD) / 43,193 (+1% YD)

23:00 / 64,295 (+7% YD) / 45,833 (+1% YD)

FINAL / 64,676 (-6% LW, +7% YD) / 46,214 (-6% LW, +1% YD)

TOTAL / 4,410,034 ADMISSIONS

 

3,861 showings (+1% YD), 16.8 PSA (+9% YD)

 

*The 15:00 number last Tuesday had a backlog error so I have estimated it to be the midpoint of the 13:00 and 17:00 number (40,250).

 

MI7

01:00 / 33,818 (-8% YD) / -

11:00 / 48,363 / 14,545

13:00 / 61,050 / 27,232

15:00 / 77,392 (-9% YD) / 43,574 (-10% YD)

17:00 / 91,558 (-9% YD) / 57,740 (-10% YD)

19:00 / 103,085 (-9% YD) / 69,267 (-10% YD)

21:00 / 112,757 (-9% YD) / 78,939 (-10% YD)

23:00 / 116,884 (-9% YD) / 83,066 (-10% YD)

FINAL / 117,342 (-9% YD) / 83,524 (-10% YD)

TOTAL / 2,014,775 ADMISSIONS

 

8,279 showings(-1% YD), 14.2 PSA (-8% YD)

Edited by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son
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23 hours ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Total Presales for the upcoming days as of Tuesday 00:00

 

Elemental - 43,026 (+1.2% LW)

MI7 - 103,218 (-47.7% LW)

Barbie (T-1) - 38,877

Detective Conan (T-2) - 67,609

Smugglers (T-8) - 54,039

Ransomed (T-15) - 10,386

 

Great sign for Elemental's weekend hold, the presales will likely be close to flat going into Friday. Conan + Barbie combine for about 75% of MI7's T-2 and 54% of its T-1. That, along with MI7 itself still being around will contribute to walkups maybe being a little bit weaker than last week since there will have to be a lot of showings cut to accommodate everything, but I think MI7 will take most of the damage. 

 

Another thing to consider is that some of these presales could also be booked as far back as next week's weekdays since schools are off so it might not indicate a flat weekend, right now I would still lean on the side of a smallish drop.

Total Presales for the upcoming days as of Wednesday 00:00

 

Elemental - 56,655 (-6.4% LW)

MI7 - 119,191 (-60.7% LW)

Barbie (T-0) - 61,256

Detective Conan (T-1) - 89,910

Insidious (T-0) - 41,976

Smugglers (T-7) - 62,404

Ransomed (T-14) - 11,892

 

Included Insidious's presales since they are also at a decent size and it's opening tomorrow too. MI7 + Barbie + Insidious + Conan combine for 312k presales, which is higher than MI7's T-0 last week of 304k. Conan will probably add a fair chunk more onto that tomorrow as well so it's going to be tricky for Elemental to keep showings ahead of all this new competition into the weekend. Elemental's PS also couldn't keep up with last weeks pace at the same point so I think a weekend drop is inevitable now.

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On 7/17/2023 at 4:23 PM, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

CGV starts - Tuesday 00:20

 

Elemental - 8,391 (-10% LW, +29% YD)

MI7 - 15,000 (-12% YD)

 

Admission starts - Tuesday 01:00

 

Elemental - 18,462 (-7% LW, +28% YD, 906 screens)

MI7 - 33,818 (-8% YD, 1,929 screens)

CGV starts - Wednesday 00:20

 

Elemental - 11,000 (+44% LW, +31% YD)

MI7 - 17,000 (-61% LW, +13% YD)

Barbie - N/A (probably late previews)

Insidious - 15,000 (!)

 

Admission starts - Wednesday 01:00

 

Elemental - 23,126 (+17% LW, +25% YD, 892 screens)

MI7 - 35,432 (-68% LW, +5% YD, 1,597 screens)

Barbie - 40,386 (729 screens)

Insidious - 25,081 (676 screens)

 

Some very interesting numbers, Barbie and Insidious both look very frontloaded to me. For example MI7 had an admissions start of around 34% of its PS total last week, meanwhile Barbie starts with 66% and Insidious 60%. Could bode well for Elemental's weekend if these two drop quickly. It only lost 14 screens versus yesterday too while MI7 dropped a hefty 332 (of course showing count will probably be down more proportionally).

Edited by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son
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8 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Unless, I am proven wrong

 

I am seeing 15K CGV Insidious &11K CGV Smugglers - 

 

Can someone check if that's a error.

That seems right, wow that means Insidious must be very frontloaded since even with a 50% CGV ratio that would be 75% of its total PS.

 

Barbie also doesn't have a CGV start for some reason, probably because it's only showing late previews.

 

Smugglers had some previews today so I guess that's continuing into tomorrow?

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Barbie does have admissions! 40,386 start, #1 for the day but at the cost of almost 2/3rds of its presales. Maybe CGV isn't showing it until Thursday? That would explain the big CGV ratio for the other holdovers since they lost screens at other chain(s).

Edited by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son
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6 hours ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Barbie does have admissions! 40,386 start, #1 for the day but at the cost of almost 2/3rds of its presales. Maybe CGV isn't showing it until Thursday? That would explain the big CGV ratio for the other holdovers since they lost screens at other chain(s).

That's weird - I checked the CGV website and there are Barbie screenings on Wednesday.

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July 19, 2023 - Wed - 11 AM
 
Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross
(Total)
Admissions
(Total)
Number of Screens Revenue Share
1  

Mission: Impossible

Jul 12, 2023 $374,664
($16,544,586)
48,747
(2,063,540)
1,683 28.6%
2  

Barbie

 

Jul 19, 2023 $313,477
($313,477)
45,296
(45,296)
743 23.93%
3  

Elemental

 

Jun 14, 2023 $228,649
($34,649,113)
32,899
(4,443,048)
941 17.45%
4  

Insidious: The Red Door

 

Jul 19, 2023 $212,412
($214,165)
28,987
(29,234)
700 16.21%
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Barbie & Insidious so far are very pre-sale front loaded

Elemental up  27.69% from yesterday at 1PM

MI7  up .01%

 

July 19, 2023 - WED - 1PM
 
Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross
(Total)
Admissions
(Total)
Number of Screens Revenue Share
1  

Mission: Impossible

Jul 12, 2023 $468,295
($16,670,112)
61,114
(2,075,902)
1,720 29.89%
2  

Barbie

 

Jul 19, 2023 $344,174
($344,174)
49,547
(49,547)
750 21.97%
3  

Elemental

 

Jun 14, 2023 $299,320
($34,787,781)
42,117
(4,452,266)
966 19.1%
4  

Insidious: The Red Door

 

Jul 19, 2023 $250,705
($252,461)
33,953
(34,200)
708 16%
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58 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Barbie & Insidious so far are very pre-sale front loaded

Elemental up  27.69% from yesterday at 1PM

MI7  up .01%

 

July 19, 2023 - WED - 1PM
 
Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross
(Total)
Admissions
(Total)
Number of Screens Revenue Share
1  

Mission: Impossible

Jul 12, 2023 $468,295
($16,670,112)
61,114
(2,075,902)
1,720 29.89%
2  

Barbie

 

Jul 19, 2023 $344,174
($344,174)
49,547
(49,547)
750 21.97%
3  

Elemental

 

Jun 14, 2023 $299,320
($34,787,781)
42,117
(4,452,266)
966 19.1%
4  

Insidious: The Red Door

 

Jul 19, 2023 $250,705
($252,461)
33,953
(34,200)
708 16%

+28% off yesterday is a nice bump, let's see how much of that lead it can maintain this evening since I doubt those 25k Insidious presales were for midday. Barbie might be skewing late too. I expect MI7 to slow down more versus yesterday though since Elemental already lost some evening shows to it this week as evidenced by its weaker evening walkups on Mon and Tue.

Edited by IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son
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1 minute ago, across the Jat verse said:

So Ele is already closing on 5M. Last 7 days added 850K, still big. Guess can hit 7-8M.

8m would match Bohemian Rhapsody's 19x FSS multiplier which would be ridiculous. Maybe school holidays can help it though.

 

Speaking of, does anyone know what movie has the best multiplier in Korea?

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