RTX Posted July 12, 2012 Share Posted July 12, 2012 TASM seems to be following TF3 rather than TF1 at this stage. TF3 increased 55% on Friday with basically no competition, TASM will be facing Ace Age, which should take kiddies, so a sub-50% increase is possible.But I'll admit these numbers make 30M weekend likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 12, 2012 Share Posted July 12, 2012 So a rough estimate puts ASM at 31 mill this weekend. Should be right around a 50% drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted July 12, 2012 Share Posted July 12, 2012 (edited) looks like it will cross 200 million this weekend and should pass 270 million now. Edited July 12, 2012 by Lordmandeep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 12, 2012 Share Posted July 12, 2012 looks like it will cross 200 million this weekend and should pass 270 million now. How do you see it crossing 200 this weekend? I think it'll be at 197.5-198. And 270? Really? How? It'll likely drop 55-60% next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted July 12, 2012 Author Share Posted July 12, 2012 TF3 got a 3.3x multiplier from the weekend of DH2 opening. Hancock got a 3.6x multiplier from the weekend of TDK opening. Even Hellboy managed over 2.9x from that weekend.I'd say TASM gets 3.3x multiplier from whatever it makes on TDKR opening.Now my projections:Thurs: 6.7M (flat)Fri: 10.1M (+50%)Sat: 13.3M (+32%)Sun: 10.0M (-25%)So it will be at 200M by Sunday, and maybe 217M by Thursday.I believe TASM will drop 60-62% against TDKR for a 13M weekend and 260M. If it drops 65%, it will have 11.7M weekend and 255M finish. Even if it drops 70% (which won't happen), it will still make 10M weekend and finish with 250M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTX Posted July 12, 2012 Share Posted July 12, 2012 TASM can easily drop 70% vs TDKR. Seriously, who would want to see it once TDKR is out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted July 12, 2012 Share Posted July 12, 2012 Wed TASM 6.7, Ted 4, Brave 2.7,MM 2.5, Sav 1.5Great number for TASM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted July 12, 2012 Share Posted July 12, 2012 TF3 got a 3.3x multiplier from the weekend of DH2 opening. Hancock got a 3.6x multiplier from the weekend of TDK opening. Even Hellboy managed over 2.9x from that weekend.I'd say TASM gets 3.3x multiplier from whatever it makes on TDKR opening.Now my projections:Thurs: 6.7M (flat)Fri: 10.1M (+50%)Sat: 13.3M (+32%)Sun: 10.0M (-25%)So it will be at 200M by Sunday, and maybe 217M by Thursday.I believe TASM will drop 60-62% against TDKR for a 13M weekend and 260M. If it drops 65%, it will have 11.7M weekend and 255M finish. Even if it drops 70% (which won't happen), it will still make 10M weekend and finish with 250M.Friday could be higher but thursday could also drop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted July 12, 2012 Share Posted July 12, 2012 TASM can easily drop 70% vs TDKR. Seriously, who would want to see it once TDKR is out? Congrats on 1000 bad posts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
