Wally Posted November 16, 2013 Share Posted November 16, 2013 It won't do New Moon numbers. That would be a 110% increase, a bit more than double of THG OW, so 20 million should be reachable, isn't it? Anyway, and if I am not wrong, that is not the real growth since Brazilian Real has lost about a 20% of its value relative to March 2012. In order to know real growth, we have that it would be really growing about a 150% in Brazil (without inflation). Yes, that's right. Though, I do hope it does 20M in here. If the word of mouth is good, which I'm pretty sure it will be, it might do a little more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted November 16, 2013 Share Posted November 16, 2013 It won't do New Moon numbers. Yes, that's right. Though, I do hope it does 20M in here. If the word of mouth is good, which I'm pretty sure it will be, it might do a little more. Ok. I said this not only for Brazilian case but to make us an idea of the potential growth in other similar markets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alisson23 Posted November 16, 2013 Share Posted November 16, 2013 It won't do New Moon numbers. Gonna see Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted November 16, 2013 Share Posted November 16, 2013 That is some serious increase. 600M OS is in play if most markets all follow a similar path. Bigger than Thor 2 is a lock now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alisson23 Posted November 16, 2013 Share Posted November 16, 2013 Wally did you already watch the movie? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted November 16, 2013 Share Posted November 16, 2013 (edited) That is some serious increase. 600M OS is in play if most markets all follow a similar path. Bigger than Thor 2 is a lock now. That is what I am thinking. And that takes to think that 1 billion WW would be in play. When I have seen the Brazilian number I have said wow. Considering the drop of the currency that is a very huge increase. It is just an OD from one market, but still very remarkable. Very interesting OS run to follow. Edited November 16, 2013 by peludo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted November 16, 2013 Share Posted November 16, 2013 (edited) That is some serious increase. 600M OS is in play if most markets all follow a similar path. Bigger than Thor 2 is a lock now. opening day was inflated by holiday in Brazil. It will increase pretty much everywhere but I don't think by that amount Edited November 16, 2013 by John Marston Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted November 16, 2013 Share Posted November 16, 2013 So far 2013 movies with breakout OS runs: Croods, IM3, WWZ, DM2, Gravity ... Looks CF is joining the league. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted November 16, 2013 Share Posted November 16, 2013 opening day was inflated by holiday in Brazil. It will increase pretty much everywhere but I don't think by that amount The question is that with last year exchange rate and if it finally does 6.5 OW, we would be talking about 8 million OW. Considering THG opened to just 3.1 million the increase in admissions is extremely remarkable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted November 16, 2013 Share Posted November 16, 2013 opening day was inflated by holiday in Brazil. It will increase pretty much everywhere but I don't think by that amount Despite holiday, still 150%+ increase. Even with 100% increases everywhere OS, 550M OS is done. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted November 16, 2013 Author Share Posted November 16, 2013 The question is that with last year exchange rate and if it finally does 6.5 OW, we would be talking about 8 million OW. Considering THG opened to just 3.1 million the increase in admissions is extremely remarkable. Stupid exchange rate :/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Stupid exchange rate :/ Well, we have had very similar situations with very big movies in the past. In 2001, both HP1 and FOTR should have done a 50% more in Eurozone countries if Euro had had the value it has today. It would have mean about 100 million $ more for each movie OS. For that reason I have always thought that WW numbers are not fair enough. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 (edited) Despite holiday, still 150%+ increase. Even with 100% increases everywhere OS, 550M OS is done. It wont though 100% increases in developed markets never happens. Not beeing a downer just a realist. Edited November 17, 2013 by Lordmandeep Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 It wont though 100% increases in developed markets never happens. Not beeing a downer just a realist. This one has a chance as hype was minimal in most markets. Plus it does not have to double everywhere. lots of developing markets will triple or more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 True I see around 500 or so million but the last one still made 300+ overseas. So its not increasing from nothing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 I think 500m should be easy at this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDC1987 Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 True I see around 500 or so million but the last one still made 300+ overseas. So its not increasing from nothing. THG did not do $300 million overseas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wally Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Wally did you already watch the movie? Yes, I did earlier this evening. Why? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wally Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 True I see around 500 or so million but the last one still made 300+ overseas. So its not increasing from nothing. Actually, THG fell short of 300M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Catching Fire should have some massive increases in some countries but will it increase in every country? That is the question Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...