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A Marvel Fanboy

China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

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There will be only two Hollywood movies in 2013 top 10, the least year since 1994.

2012 had 7.

2011 had 6.

2010 had 5.

 

In almost every relative index, 2013 has the worst performance for Hollywood in China since like 1994. Local films have been playing especially strong this year. Should will slow a little down in 2014 I think.

 

Gross of #10 movie in past 10 years:

2004 $4.59m

2005 $5.06m

2006 $7.93m

2007 $8.62m

2008 $16.64m

2009 $22.84m

2010 $32.89m

2011 $40.05m

2012 $61.66m

2013 $78.92m

 

10 years ago, $4.6m was enough for a yearly top 10 spot; today less than $78m cant make. That is some serious market explosion.

 

Random forecast for gross of #10 movie in next 10 years:

2014 $90m

2015 $120m

2016 $150m

2017 $180m

2018 $210m

2019 $240m

2020 $260m

2021 $280m

2022 $290m

2023 $300m

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