POTUS 2020 Posted April 23, 2015 Share Posted April 23, 2015 7M+ Thursday? What kinda of increase can we expect through out the week? Last weekend did 5 times thursday.hopefully at least that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted April 23, 2015 Share Posted April 23, 2015 So something like 320 or so after the weekend? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 23, 2015 Share Posted April 23, 2015 (edited) TF4 FF7 Day Yuan % +/- Last Week % BO -OW Total $ Tot Yuan % +/- Last Week TF4 vs FF7 Total $ Tot % Cume TF4 Mltplr DayxM +OW $Proj Fri 195 195 32 Sat 223 14.4% 418 69 51 - MN Sun 213 -4.6% 631 103 347 63.1% 398 64 -37.9% Mon 123 -42.1% 9.07 754 124 184 -47.0% 49.5% 582 94 -24.0% 11.03 2,421 390 Tues 112 -8.9% 8.25 866 142 167 -9.2% 48.8% 749 121 -14.9% 12.12 2,416 389 Wed 95 -15.7% 6.97 961 157 137 -18.0% 44.8% 886 143 -9.3% 14.35 2,358 380 Thur 84 -11.0% 6.21 1045 171 114 -16.8% 35.4% 1000 161 -5.8% 16.10 2,228 359 Fri 87 3.4% -55.3% 6.42 1132 186 142 24.6% 63.0% 1142 184 -0.7% 15.58 2,604 419 Sat 130 48.8% -41.9% 9.55 1262 207 225 58.5% 73.6% 1367 220 6.6% 10.47 2,748 443 Sun 118 -9.0% -44.6% 8.69 1379 226 184 -18.2% -47.0% 56.1% 1551 250 10.6% 11.51 2,509 404 Mon 54 -58.33% -56.1% 4.02 1433 235 72 -60.9% -60.9% 33.3% 1623 262 11.4% 24.85 2,181 351 Tue 53 -1.85% -52.8% 3.95 1486 244 63 -12.5% -62.3% 18.9% 1686 272 11.6% 25.32 1,987 320 Wed 43 -18.87% -54.5% 3.20 1529 251 51 -19.0% -62.8% 18.6% 1737 280 11.7% 31.21 1,984 319 Thu 39 -9.30% -53.7% 2.91 1568 257 45 -11.8% -60.5% 15.4% 1782 287 11.8% 34.41 1,940 312 Fri 42 7.69% -51.8% 3.13 1610 264 Sat 62 47.62% -52.2% 4.62 1672 274 Sun 58 -6.45% -50.8% 4.32 1730 284 Average Proj 371 Str8 Up TF/FF Day TF4 FF7 %Cume TF4 Fri to Thu FF7 F/Su 1 195 398 104.3% Yuan $$$ +/- Yuan $$$ +/- TF v FF S/M 2 223 184 39.4% Wk1 1045 171 1000 161 -4.3% S/T 3 213 167 18.8% Wk2 524 86 -49.9% 782 126 -21.8% 49.4% M/W 4 123 137 17.5% Wk3 256 42 -51.1% 390 63 -50.1% 52.3% Proj w Ap 30 T/Th 5 112 114 15.5% Wk4 81 13 -68.4% 300 48 -23.1% 270.4% Proj w M1,2.3 W/F 6 95 142 18.9% Wk5 42 7 -48.1% 75 12 -75.0% 78.6% Th/S 7 84 225 30.8% Tot 1947.4 319 2547 411 30.8% F/Su 8 87 184 37.0% S/M 9 130 72 28.7% S/T 10 118 63 22.2% M/W 11 54 51 21.2% T/Th 12 53 45 20.0% Total 1486 1782 19.9% Tot $ 244 287 18.0% Proj$ 30 319 376 18.0% Drops were steep this week but it still out performed TF4s second summer Thursday by 15%. The weekend bump should be larger from Thursday being that it is not summer. Looking for at least 5x Thursday like last week for 37.5m and a cume of 325m+. This size of this number is doubly important as it could be mirrored next weekend during the holidays. Edited April 23, 2015 by No Prisoners 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted April 24, 2015 Share Posted April 24, 2015 Th actuals 44,6 yuan cume 1,790 mln yuan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 24, 2015 Share Posted April 24, 2015 Friday(4/24/2015) estimates #/Title: Daily(yuan)~Total(yuan)~Total($) 1.Furious 7: 58M~1848M~$298.3M #2 all time grosser 2.The Left Ear: 53.4M~53.4M~$8.6M 3.Home: 7.2M~7.2M~$1.2M 4.Ever Since We Love: 6.3M~124M~$20M 5.Sabotage:5.6M~5.6M~$0.9M (Current exchange rate $=6.201 Yuan). 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted April 24, 2015 Share Posted April 24, 2015 27% increase? Not bad? 50% increase Saturday? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted April 24, 2015 Share Posted April 24, 2015 FF7 is headed for ~60% drop from last weekend, i.e. around $36M. Don't think it can reach $400M. I think all other OS markets will add up to about $35M so this weekend will be $68-74M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 24, 2015 Share Posted April 24, 2015 TF4 FF7 Day Yuan % +/- Last Week Total $ Tot Yuan % +/- Last Week TF4 vs FF7 Total $ Tot % Cume Fri 195 195 32 Sat 223 14.4% 418 69 51 - MN Sun 213 -4.6% 631 103 347 63.1% 398 64 -37.9% Mon 123 -42.1% 754 124 185 -46.7% 50.3% 583 94 -23.9% Tues 112 -8.9% 866 142 167 -9.7% 48.8% 750 121 -14.8% Wed 95 -15.7% 961 157 137 -18.0% 44.8% 887 143 -9.2% Thur 84 -11.0% 1045 171 115 -16.1% 36.6% 1002 162 -5.6% Fri 87 3.4% -55.3% 1132 186 142 23.5% 63.0% 1144 185 -0.6% Sat 130 48.8% -41.9% 1262 207 226 59.2% 74.4% 1370 221 6.8% Sun 118 -9.0% -44.6% 1379 226 185 -18.1% -46.7% 56.9% 1555 251 10.9% Mon 54 -58.33% -56.1% 1433 235 73 -60.5% -60.5% 35.2% 1628 263 11.7% Tue 53 -1.85% -52.8% 1486 244 64 -12.3% -61.7% 20.8% 1692 273 12.0% Wed 43 -18.87% -54.5% 1529 251 52 -18.8% -62.0% 20.9% 1744 281 12.2% Thu 39 -9.30% -53.7% 1568 257 45 -13.5% -60.9% 15.4% 1789 289 12.2% Fri 42 7.69% -51.8% 1610 264 58 28.9% -59.2% 38.1% 1847 298 12.8% Sat 62 47.62% -52.2% 1672 274 p 92 58.6% -59.3% 48.4% 1939 313 14.1% Sun 58 -6.45% -50.8% 1730 284 p 75 -18.5% -59.5% 29.3% 2014 325 14.5% Nice bump from Thursday but still down 59% from last Friday. Its enough however to give it a chance at 400m with the May Day bump Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted April 24, 2015 Share Posted April 24, 2015 Silly question. When is May Day? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted April 24, 2015 Share Posted April 24, 2015 (edited) Silly question. When is May Day? May 1st. This year and next year will see lower May Day bumps as it falls on the weekend as opposed to mid-week. A mid-week holiday makes people treat it as a holiday week instead of a single day. Edited April 24, 2015 by grim22 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cynosure Posted April 24, 2015 Share Posted April 24, 2015 1st of may. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted April 24, 2015 Share Posted April 24, 2015 Very good Friday bump Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted April 24, 2015 Author Share Posted April 24, 2015 Weekend could be 58/100/80, Probably will finish around $360m. Latest projection: http://imgsrc.baidu.com/forum/pic/item/5bdc8b510fb30f2405b7be24cd95d143ad4b03b8.jpg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 24, 2015 Share Posted April 24, 2015 (edited) Silly question. When is May Day? May Day is May 1 in many countries.The China holiday is May 1,2,3. Evening of April 30th bumps as well. May 1st. This year and next year will see lower May Day bumps as it falls on the weekend as opposed to mid-week. A mid-week holiday makes people treat it as a holiday week instead of a single day. Friday and Saturday are workdays so the bump still happens in a big way compared to a regular weekend, but yes , Monday thru Wednesday would be a bigger boost, April 30 - May 3 Bump Classmate CA2 April Yuan May Yuan Pre/wk April Yuan Prev/wk May Yuan Prev/wk W A30 29 Wed 7.0 W A30 5.5 -14% Thu Thu M1 51 Thu 7.0 -45% Th M1 11 57% Fri 22.0 Fri M2 46 109% Fri 5.8 -51% Fri M2 13 124% Sat 39.3 Sat M3 32 -19% Sat 10.4 53% Sat M3 8 -23% Sun 36.5 Sun 13 -64% Sun 9.0 -53% Sun closed Mon 21.4 Mon 4.7 -47% Tue 18.7 Tue 2.8 -61% Fri-Sat 61 Fri-Sat 78 27.2% W-Sat 30.2 W-Sat 38 24.2% Fri-Mon 119.2 W-Sat 158 32.6% May Day CM Week - Week CA2 F-M W-Sa Increase W-Sa W-Sa Increase 119.2 158 32.6% 30.2 37.5 24.2% $ 19.5 25.9 32.6% $ 5.0 6.1 24.2% FF7 ??? FF7 ??? Th-Su Th-Su Increase Th-Su Th-Su Increase 270 358 32.6% 270 335 24.2% 44.3 58.7 32.6% 44.3 55.0 24.2% Class mates was a hit and managed beat its opening 4 days by 32% on the 30th to the 3rd. CA2 was at the end of its run, the numbers are small and the same effect happened Other movies fell but they were not hits. Should FF7 get a bump it could be as high as 390+ by Sunday with 8 days to go Edited April 24, 2015 by No Prisoners Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted April 24, 2015 Author Share Posted April 24, 2015 390m+ by next Sunday (5.3), really ?? I love the table you make but I think you need to chill down a little tiny bit..... you do know Helios and Silent Separation open next Thursday, right .... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 24, 2015 Share Posted April 24, 2015 390m+ by next Sunday (5.3), really ?? I love the table you make but I think you need to chill down a little tiny bit..... you do know Helios and Silent Separation open next Thursday, right .... Its a best case scenario based on an observation of historical data presented as a possibility. As in "should it bump it could be"... I will not chill down. You need to chill up It was obvious to me since day 1 it would get deep into the 300's when you were talking 270. You're not omniscient. Stop pretending to be so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 24, 2015 Share Posted April 24, 2015 Weekend could be 58/100/80, Probably will finish around $360m. Latest projection: http://imgsrc.baidu.com/forum/pic/item/5bdc8b510fb30f2405b7be24cd95d143ad4b03b8.jpg 75% drop? Really? Did you get this out of the Chinese BO Handbook; "all movies must drop 75% in week 4". Did you take into account that its biggest movie of all time? or that its a holiday weekend and holdovers can perform well? Or did you put the same amount of thought into this as Forrest Gump put into Shrimpin'. OK Ill go with 335Y Thursday thru Sunday, not my actual prediction, just best case scenario, to your 88Y just to show how wrong you are, lol. over under 211,5 we'll see next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted April 24, 2015 Author Share Posted April 24, 2015 Your $390m by next Sunday best case scenario is a pipe dream (best scenario should be $365m by May 3, even without those openers next week. but what do I know ) Yes I did predict $270m even after that OD, apparently I was too conservative and pessimistic. however did you say $200m more after last Sunday's cume of $251m. Is F7 still making to your $450m ? As a poor predictor, I just can't tell at all. Clearly you know CBO better than me and probably anyone else, because you are the know-them-all box officer master .... No Prisoners. What a lame BO predictor I am, competely unaware of the fact that it's a holiday weekend or how should holdovers performers or the movies coming out. I admit that I simply know very little about CBO. So I should, and will, just quit predicting. In fact, I have already been posting very little on the forums in the past year, realizing how incompetent my bo knownledge is and how many execellent bo watchers are out there. After all, the world doesnot need a failed predictor. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 25, 2015 Share Posted April 25, 2015 Yes I did predict $270m even after that OD, apparently I was too conservative and pessimistic. however did you say $200m more after last Sunday's cume of $251m. Is F7 still making to your $450m ? As a poor predictor, I just can't tell at all. I raised a question not a statement, learn the difference. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted April 25, 2015 Share Posted April 25, 2015 Moderation: Settle down, you guys. It's possible to disagree without throwing shade at each other. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...